Hagerstown
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #189
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #53
Rushville Regional Rank #11
Connersville Sectional Rank #11
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Ethan Cheesman Memorial Connersville 6-Way Hagerstown Invitational Union Co., Cowan, Hagerstown, Monroe Cent. East Central Invitational Wayne County Invitational Eastern Hancock Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Tri-Eastern Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional
Date 8/18 8/22 8/29 9/1 9/5 9/10 9/19 9/22 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17
Team Rating 1,387 NEI NEI 1,361 NEI 1,380 1,376
Team Adjusted Rating NEI NEI 1,353 NEI 1,380 1,358
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Ethan Cheesman Memorial Connersville 6-Way Hagerstown Invitational Union Co., Cowan, Hagerstown, Monroe Cent. East Central Invitational Wayne County Invitational Eastern Hancock Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Tri-Eastern Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional
1,050  Ella Nicholson 12 22:42 NEI NEI NEI 22:55 22:39 22:09 NEI 23:28 22:19 24:49 22:54 22:43
1,242  Ava Moore 10 23:05 NEI NEI NEI 23:30 22:40 23:23 NEI 22:55 22:47 23:25 22:34 24:45
Mary Lach 9 24:01 NEI NEI NEI 24:16 23:43 NEI 23:14 24:00 25:35 23:52
Taylor Pass 11 24:56 NEI NEI NEI 24:45 25:27 24:55 NEI 25:04 25:17 24:48 25:18 24:48
Jenna Smith 10 25:20
Erica Grams 10 25:34 NEI NEI NEI 25:55 25:05 25:34 NEI 26:17 26:13 25:21 26:28
Haven Ragen 10 25:54 25:52
Jewelianna Warfel 12 26:14 NEI 25:49 28:48 26:50 NEI 26:11 28:10 25:05 25:39 26:59
Kyley Farmer 12 26:59 NEI 26:34 27:03 NEI 27:06




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 9.2 251 0.0 15.3 52.3 32.4
Sectionals 100% 4.0 119 12.5 14.3 35.6 37.5 0.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ella Nicholson 0.0% 158.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ella Nicholson 100% 50.1 100.0%
Ava Moore 100% 56.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ella Nicholson 13.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 7.7 11.4 14.4 15.0 13.8 12.6 11.3 9.0 3.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
Ava Moore 16.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.7 3.6 5.6 8.1 12.6 19.7 34.2 8.5 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1