North Central (Indpls)
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #9
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #4
Noblesville Regional Rank #2
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 7th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 6.9%
Top 10 at State Finals 44.6%
Advance to State Finals 69.7%
Advance to Semi-State 99.2%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Noblesville Invitational (4k) Marion Invitational Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invitational RH Flashrock Invite North Central/Carmel JV
Date 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/12 9/19 9/19
Team Rating 270 349 267 254 865 414 1,112
Team Adjusted Rating 274 267 254 270 286 270
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Noblesville Invitational (4k) Marion Invitational Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invitational RH Flashrock Invite North Central/Carmel JV
21  Ellen Baker 12 18:44 18:36 18:42
84  Sophia Tipmore 10 19:39 19:37 19:40 19:24 19:42
122  Margot Grotland 10 19:57 19:56 20:05 19:53 19:55
190  Rahiwa Tezera 11 20:16 20:17 20:17 20:11 20:37
231  Mary Edwards 10 20:27 20:33 20:17 20:34
277  Maddie Rocchio 9 20:37 20:27 20:47
287  Emma Vatnsdal 10 20:39 20:40 20:37 20:37
554  Eleanor Hostetler 10 21:32 21:37 21:04 21:10 21:50
652  Reagan Shaar 11 21:47 21:45 21:28 22:26 21:14
766  Mia Rivas 10 22:07 22:21 22:01 22:06 22:09
799  Evy Krueger 9 22:12 22:56 21:27
802  Anna Youtsey 10 22:13 21:17 22:14 23:14 22:15
811  Claire Ekienberry 9 22:14 21:48 22:40
941  Sami Tezera 9 22:36 22:41 22:29
1,184  Ellen Osterman 11 23:07 23:38
1,218  Zoe Munn 11 23:12 23:41 23:19 23:11
1,338  Aj Jackson 11 23:28 24:08 22:47




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 69.7% 9.5 309 0.3 1.7 4.9 7.0 9.0 7.4 7.3 7.1 6.3 5.2 4.7 3.5 1.7 1.9 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
Semi-State 99.2% 5.4 174 6.6 12.8 17.2 17.5 15.7 13.3 9.3 4.6 1.6 0.8 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.0 110 33.7 41.8 18.8 4.9 0.7 0.2
Sectionals 100% 1.1 57 90.1 9.3 0.7



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ellen Baker 94.6% 22.7 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.8 2.4 2.5 3.0 3.2 3.6 4.3 4.1 4.3 4.3 3.4 3.6 4.1 3.8 3.7 82.0% 93.5%
Sophia Tipmore 69.7% 71.7 0.1 0.0% 3.7%
Margot Grotland 69.7% 97.0 0.0% 0.2%
Rahiwa Tezera 69.7% 126.7 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Edwards 69.7% 142.1 0.0% 0.0%
Maddie Rocchio 69.7% 155.2 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Vatnsdal 69.7% 156.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ellen Baker 100% 9.5 0.7 1.5 2.4 3.8 6.6 7.7 10.8 11.5 10.2 9.5 8.2 5.5 3.9 4.2 2.6 2.9 2.1 1.4 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 100.0% 100.0%
Sophia Tipmore 99.6% 35.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.5 2.9 47.1% 86.6%
Margot Grotland 99.2% 49.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0% 57.1%
Rahiwa Tezera 99.2% 67.2 0.1 0.0% 18.2%
Mary Edwards 99.2% 77.0 0.0% 6.4%
Maddie Rocchio 99.2% 86.2 0.0% 2.3%
Emma Vatnsdal 99.2% 87.9 0.0% 1.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ellen Baker 100% 6.9 0.4 1.8 3.6 8.8 15.3 22.1 15.8 9.7 7.7 4.8 4.0 2.5 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Sophia Tipmore 100% 18.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.9 2.6 4.1 7.8 10.0 11.3 11.9 8.5 7.3 5.9 5.4 4.6 3.8 100.0%
Margot Grotland 100% 25.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.9 2.9 4.2 6.1 6.5 6.4 6.6 5.8 6.2 100.0%
Rahiwa Tezera 100% 34.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.8 1.7 2.7 100.0%
Mary Edwards 100% 40.5 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 100.0%
Maddie Rocchio 100% 44.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Emma Vatnsdal 100% 45.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ellen Baker 3.5 3.0 16.5 61.4 16.7 2.4 0.1 0.1
Sophia Tipmore 7.1 3.6 12.4 31.3 21.3 12.4 7.2 3.8 3.0 2.2 1.6 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1
Margot Grotland 10.3 0.1 1.2 5.4 13.1 13.4 13.1 11.8 9.9 8.6 8.1 6.4 3.8 2.5 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
Rahiwa Tezera 15.6 0.8 1.9 3.3 5.9 5.3 6.9 7.5 10.1 13.8 10.7 10.2 8.2 5.2 4.2 2.4 2.0 1.0 0.5
Mary Edwards 18.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.8 2.8 5.0 6.1 7.6 11.2 11.1 9.9 10.7 9.4 7.5 5.3 4.4 2.8
Maddie Rocchio 20.8 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.8 3.5 4.9 6.7 8.6 11.9 12.0 9.1 10.1 8.6 7.4
Emma Vatnsdal 21.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.0 2.2 3.4 4.8 7.1 7.8 8.3 9.7 12.6 10.4 10.9 7.0