Columbia City
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #76
New Haven Semi-State Rank #16
West Noble Regional Rank #8
Northrop Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington Invitational Warsaw Invitational Oak Hill Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northeast 8 Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional
Date 8/21 8/24 8/28 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16
Team Rating 757 812 920 656 1,008 651 677 912 820 733 817
Team Adjusted Rating 797 758 656 824 651 677 806 811 733 808
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington Invitational Warsaw Invitational Oak Hill Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northeast 8 Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional
220  Lilyana Lahr 12 20:23 20:11 20:03 20:28 20:35 20:52 20:29 20:04 20:15
541  Felice Mullinax 10 21:30 22:14 21:40 21:02 21:49 20:50 21:09 22:04 21:12 21:34 21:22
652  Hailey Whiteleather 12 21:50 21:31 21:02 21:16 21:58 21:14 21:29 22:44 22:24 22:54
776  Emma Kennedy 9 22:06 22:50 23:36 22:50 22:47 21:48 21:42 21:54 22:29 21:37 22:27
991  Ava Ward 10 22:32
1,133  Ayla Wagner 10 22:50 22:30 22:55 22:03 23:09 27:39
1,233  Karris Sigler 12 23:02 22:47 23:02 22:11 22:47 23:48 23:17 22:48 23:30 23:52
1,250  Lindsay Taylor 10 23:05 23:38 24:21 23:45 22:55 23:02 22:41 22:34 22:41
1,382  Breanna Taylor 10 23:19 22:52 22:58 23:12 23:13 24:10
Eden Freeman 12 23:38 24:39 22:44 23:59 23:42 23:17 23:43 23:57 23:11
Libby Snyder 9 24:19 26:07 25:06 24:19 23:30 24:10 24:04 24:15




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 7.7 202 6.3 41.1 36.3 12.5 3.8
Sectionals 100% 6.3 180 14.3 36.4 49.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lilyana Lahr 6.2% 123.3 6.2% 6.2%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lilyana Lahr 96.8% 44.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.1 96.8% 96.8%
Felice Mullinax 0.8% 83.5 0.8% 0.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lilyana Lahr 100% 22.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.2 2.1 2.6 2.9 2.9 4.2 4.0 4.5 5.2 6.1 6.1 6.4 6.6 7.8 100.0%
Felice Mullinax 100% 45.4 0.0 72.3%
Hailey Whiteleather 100% 53.6 32.1%
Emma Kennedy 100% 60.3 9.0%
Ava Ward 100% 70.2 0.2%
Ayla Wagner 100% 75.9 0.0%
Karris Sigler 100% 78.8 0.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lilyana Lahr 16.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.8 3.5 4.5 5.6 6.1 7.6 7.6 8.8 8.9 9.8 9.8 7.6 6.4 4.1 1.6 0.6
Felice Mullinax 32.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.0 2.6
Hailey Whiteleather 38.4 0.1 0.1
Emma Kennedy 43.1 0.0
Ava Ward 48.5
Ayla Wagner 51.2
Karris Sigler 53.1