LaPorte
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #30
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #5
Chesterton Regional Rank #3
New Prairie Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 21st place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 70.8%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional
Date 8/21 8/28 9/4 9/11 9/18 10/2 10/9 10/16
Team Rating 426 481 374 420 412 425 347 394 433
Team Adjusted Rating 481 374 420 412 425 347 394 433
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional
30  Brenna Sobecki 11 19:01 18:51 18:48 18:45 19:17 19:23 18:33 19:03 19:15
78  Lila Gillisse 9 19:37 19:56 19:19 19:48 19:47 19:33 19:07 19:39 19:39
291  Ella Dubbs 12 20:42 22:17 20:25 20:39 20:26 20:30 20:18 20:36 21:10
440  Faith Spain 9 21:13 21:39 21:15 21:31 21:15 21:11 20:53 21:04 21:04
549  Natalie Poston 9 21:31 21:21 21:34 22:08 21:39 21:36 21:36 21:12 21:11
594  Lilly Burke 12 21:39 21:55 21:14 21:27 21:22 21:35 21:55 22:03
616  Ella Minich 12 21:43 21:13 21:12 22:03 21:19 21:48 21:23 22:09 22:07
619  Rylee Stephany 12 21:43 21:46 21:20 21:15 21:35 22:08 22:01
669  Alli Bender 12 21:52 22:06 23:17 21:44 21:14 21:41 21:34 22:09
761  Tatum Bumgardner 11 22:04 22:10 21:39 21:59 22:00 22:28 21:55
1,015  Megan Lambert 10 22:35 22:41 22:59 22:49 23:13 21:45 22:05
1,104  Hannah Steder 12 22:45 23:25 23:13 22:39 22:27 22:45 22:31
1,294  Grace Foglesong 10 23:10 24:46 22:36 23:10 22:54 23:39




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 70.8% 20.7 467 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 3.0 5.4 8.2 11.7 12.7 12.7 10.0 4.7
Semi-State 100% 5.9 202 0.0 3.2 12.1 25.5 30.0 18.1 7.6 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.0 94 0.0 0.2 98.9 0.8 0.0
Sectionals 100% 3.0 84 0.1 99.8 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Sobecki 99.9% 29.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.5 1.5 1.3 2.3 2.1 3.0 3.4 3.3 3.9 3.5 4.1 99.7% 99.9%
Lila Gillisse 88.1% 70.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 59.2% 83.2%
Ella Dubbs 70.8% 157.7 0.0% 0.1%
Faith Spain 70.8% 180.2 0.0% 0.0%
Natalie Poston 70.8% 190.4 0.0% 0.0%
Lilly Burke 70.8% 193.8 0.0% 0.0%
Ella Minich 70.8% 195.7 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Sobecki 100% 5.5 0.1 0.3 2.5 14.3 22.5 21.1 17.6 11.1 5.4 2.8 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Lila Gillisse 100% 11.9 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.1 6.3 10.0 11.1 10.3 9.3 8.4 6.0 5.3 4.9 3.3 3.3 2.7 2.0 2.1 1.4 1.5 1.1 1.0 100.0%
Ella Dubbs 100% 61.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 94.6%
Faith Spain 100% 93.5 45.8%
Natalie Poston 100% 109.7 14.5%
Lilly Burke 100% 116.2 6.7%
Ella Minich 100% 119.5 5.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Sobecki 100% 3.8 0.2 2.7 19.4 34.4 31.2 9.5 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Lila Gillisse 100% 7.1 0.0 0.6 3.5 17.7 25.9 18.5 12.0 7.6 4.2 3.3 2.3 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ella Dubbs 100% 23.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.6 2.2 3.0 4.1 5.3 7.4 8.5 9.0 10.0 9.5 100.0%
Faith Spain 100% 32.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.8 100.0%
Natalie Poston 100% 37.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 100.0%
Lilly Burke 100% 39.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ella Minich 100% 40.4 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Sobecki 3.8 0.3 2.7 19.0 33.8 31.5 10.2 2.0 0.4 0.0
Lila Gillisse 6.8 0.5 4.1 19.9 31.7 21.3 9.2 5.4 3.0 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0
Ella Dubbs 18.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.5 2.4 3.8 5.0 8.9 17.4 17.9 14.2 9.2 6.3 4.4 3.0 1.8
Faith Spain 24.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.4 3.5 5.8 7.6 9.3 10.8 12.3
Natalie Poston 28.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.2 3.1 4.5
Lilly Burke 30.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.0 2.0
Ella Minich 30.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.3