Northridge
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #29
New Haven Semi-State Rank #8
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #2
Elkhart Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.2%
Advance to State Finals 27.1%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Huntington Invitational Penn Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Minutemen Invitational NLC Round Robin 2 New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NIC / NLC Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional
Date 8/15 8/21 8/28 8/31 9/11 9/14 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16
Team Rating 421 543 317 365 618 391 396 465 413 449 412
Team Adjusted Rating 405 317 365 495 391 396 465 413 449 412
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Huntington Invitational Penn Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Minutemen Invitational NLC Round Robin 2 New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NIC / NLC Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional
86  Haylee Hile 11 19:42 19:51 18:55 19:28 20:40 19:41 19:28 19:36 19:45 20:27 19:49
93  Tame Baylis 11 19:46 19:55 19:33 19:28 19:53 19:45 20:14 19:46 19:39 19:41
195  Clare Ritchie 12 20:16 20:04 20:24 20:44 20:16 19:59 20:30 20:17 20:03 20:06
276  Emma Long 11 20:37 20:50 20:37 20:30 20:46 20:28 20:36 20:40 20:29 20:32 20:30
661  Kylie McMann 11 21:51 21:10 20:53 21:19 22:40 21:57 22:47 22:00
667  Ella Hoefer 12 21:52 21:53 21:55 21:27 21:50 22:37 21:57
732  Delaney Lopez 12 22:02 21:50 22:06 21:59 21:52 22:00 22:17 21:50
782  Delaney Lopez Martinez 12 22:08 22:08 22:06
823  Kennedy Troyer 10 22:13 22:39 21:53 22:06 22:04 22:10 22:10 22:28
1,103  Isabella Furfaro 9 22:44 22:51 23:02 23:12 22:43 22:22 22:54 22:07
1,168  Hayley Troyer 12 22:53 23:24 22:24 22:38 22:33 22:37 23:05 23:26
1,300  Izzy Snyder 9 23:11 23:25 22:59 22:45 23:40
Gretchen Ludwig 9 24:29 24:18 25:18 24:16 24:16 24:49 25:17 23:25
Karsyn Smaka 11 24:34 23:57 25:53




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 27.1% 18.4 430 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.2 3.1 3.7 3.7 3.8 2.9 2.2 1.0 0.4
Semi-State 100% 7.4 194 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.5 6.9 16.8 23.0 25.3 18.5 5.6 0.5 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.9 54 7.3 91.7 1.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 28 99.5 0.5



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Haylee Hile 85.4% 79.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 80.0% 84.9%
Tame Baylis 80.7% 83.0 0.0 73.5% 79.8%
Clare Ritchie 30.0% 118.3 4.0% 12.6%
Emma Long 27.1% 147.8 0.0% 0.9%
Kylie McMann 27.1% 195.7 0.0% 0.0%
Ella Hoefer 27.1% 195.5 0.0% 0.0%
Delaney Lopez 27.1% 199.8 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Haylee Hile 100% 17.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.4 2.7 3.8 4.6 6.1 7.0 7.2 6.9 6.7 6.8 5.5 5.2 5.0 4.6 3.4 2.8 3.0 100.0%
Tame Baylis 100% 18.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.5 2.6 3.4 4.7 5.1 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.7 6.4 5.9 5.1 5.4 4.4 3.8 3.6 100.0%
Clare Ritchie 100% 39.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.5 2.0 100.0%
Emma Long 100% 58.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Kylie McMann 100% 121.6 43.5%
Ella Hoefer 100% 122.2 42.8%
Delaney Lopez 100% 130.0 24.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Haylee Hile 100% 3.1 1.0 21.9 24.5 22.3 16.3 8.2 3.7 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Tame Baylis 100% 3.6 0.6 14.9 20.9 23.2 19.0 12.0 5.5 2.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Clare Ritchie 100% 7.9 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.7 10.8 14.9 18.7 17.4 12.4 9.0 4.9 2.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Emma Long 100% 11.4 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.2 4.4 6.9 13.3 15.3 16.2 13.4 10.2 6.6 4.2 2.4 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Kylie McMann 100% 32.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.8 1.3 1.6 2.5 100.0%
Ella Hoefer 100% 32.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.4 100.0%
Delaney Lopez 100% 35.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Haylee Hile 1.0 54.3 37.3 7.3 0.8 0.2
Tame Baylis 1.2 38.0 48.4 11.2 2.0 0.4 0.0 0.0
Clare Ritchie 3.4 0.3 2.4 31.7 35.4 17.5 8.1 2.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Emma Long 5.8 0.0 1.7 8.9 21.0 24.3 20.4 13.5 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1
Kylie McMann 15.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.6 4.6 7.1 10.5 14.1 16.7 16.5 13.5 7.4 3.4 1.4 0.3 0.3 0.1
Ella Hoefer 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.5 4.5 6.6 10.5 12.5 17.3 17.4 14.0 8.1 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Delaney Lopez 17.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 3.0 3.8 6.9 10.8 16.3 20.8 17.6 9.8 4.7 2.4 0.7 0.6 0.2