Bethune-Cookman
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.0#348
Expected Predictive Rating-13.9#336
Pace67.4#219
Improvement-1.5#240

Offense
Total Offense-9.6#353
First Shot-6.6#333
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#338
Layup/Dunks-1.0#212
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.7#351
Freethrows-2.4#326
Improvement-4.4#351

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#304
First Shot-4.7#322
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#149
Layups/Dunks-1.8#244
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#151
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#245
Freethrows-1.8#293
Improvement+2.9#27
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 9.9% 19.4% 5.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.1% 2.0% 9.3%
First Four0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jackson St. (Home) - 30.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 50 - 10
Quad 47 - 137 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 191   @ South Florida L 54-75 9%     0 - 1 -19.8 -11.0 -9.8
  Nov 12, 2021 159   @ Middle Tennessee L 51-71 7%     0 - 2 -17.2 -12.2 -7.3
  Nov 15, 2021 111   @ Utah L 55-86 4%     0 - 3 -24.3 -13.6 -12.1
  Nov 20, 2021 227   Bryant W 81-75 15%     1 - 3 +2.8 -1.6 +3.9
  Nov 21, 2021 244   Air Force L 65-73 18%     1 - 4 -12.5 +0.1 -13.5
  Nov 23, 2021 104   Liberty L 51-59 5%     1 - 5 -3.5 -10.8 +5.8
  Nov 28, 2021 23   @ Seton Hall L 70-84 1%     1 - 6 +1.4 +3.6 -2.1
  Dec 05, 2021 81   @ Central Florida L 45-81 2%     1 - 7 -26.4 -23.9 -1.6
  Dec 09, 2021 97   @ North Carolina St. L 48-65 3%     1 - 8 -8.7 -19.1 +8.9
  Dec 22, 2021 177   @ Marist L 45-68 8%     1 - 9 -21.1 -24.6 +3.1
  Jan 03, 2022 320   Florida A&M W 66-59 44%     2 - 9 1 - 0 -5.6 -8.5 +3.2
  Jan 05, 2022 252   @ Florida International L 65-68 14%     2 - 10 -5.4 -6.2 +0.8
  Jan 08, 2022 322   Grambling St. L 66-68 45%     2 - 11 1 - 1 -14.8 -8.9 -5.9
  Jan 10, 2022 240   Southern L 59-69 24%     2 - 12 1 - 2 -16.8 -15.5 -1.3
  Jan 15, 2022 357   @ Mississippi Valley W 62-60 68%     3 - 12 2 - 2 -17.0 -19.9 +2.9
  Jan 17, 2022 356   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 63-69 60%     3 - 13 2 - 3 -22.5 -17.9 -4.7
  Jan 22, 2022 268   Jackson St. L 57-63 30%    
  Jan 24, 2022 277   Alcorn St. L 64-69 34%    
  Jan 29, 2022 339   Alabama St. L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 31, 2022 334   @ Alabama A&M L 59-64 30%    
  Feb 05, 2022 303   Prairie View L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 07, 2022 204   Texas Southern L 60-70 19%    
  Feb 12, 2022 277   @ Alcorn St. L 61-71 16%    
  Feb 14, 2022 268   @ Jackson St. L 54-65 15%    
  Feb 19, 2022 334   Alabama A&M L 61-62 51%    
  Feb 21, 2022 339   Alabama St. W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 26, 2022 240   @ Southern L 62-74 12%    
  Feb 28, 2022 322   @ Grambling St. L 65-71 27%    
  Mar 05, 2022 320   @ Florida A&M L 61-67 26%    
Projected Record 7 - 22 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 1.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 1.2 0.0 2.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 2.7 0.3 4.7 6th
7th 1.2 4.6 1.5 0.0 7.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 5.9 4.0 0.2 11.5 8th
9th 0.1 2.2 8.0 7.4 0.9 18.6 9th
10th 1.2 6.8 13.2 10.0 2.0 0.1 33.3 10th
11th 1.1 5.1 6.8 3.6 0.7 0.0 17.3 11th
12th 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.1 12th
Total 1.9 7.2 14.0 19.1 20.0 16.6 11.2 5.8 2.9 0.8 0.2 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 73.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 12.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.1% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
11-7 0.8% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.0 0.8
10-8 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 2.8
9-9 5.8% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 5.7
8-10 11.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.1
7-11 16.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 16.6
6-12 20.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.0
5-13 19.1% 19.1
4-14 14.0% 14.0
3-15 7.2% 7.2
2-16 1.9% 1.9
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.9%