California
Pac-12
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#107
Expected Predictive Rating+2.8#126
Pace62.0#330
Improvement+1.6#100

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#174
First Shot-0.5#196
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#135
Layup/Dunks-0.3#174
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#78
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#245
Freethrows-0.2#191
Improvement+1.3#92

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#67
First Shot+3.1#78
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#68
Layups/Dunks-1.4#233
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#85
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#70
Freethrows+0.4#159
Improvement+0.3#165
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 1.0% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.0 13.3
.500 or above 14.3% 33.5% 11.5%
.500 or above in Conference 4.5% 13.5% 3.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.5% 5.0% 18.2%
First Four0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 1.0% 0.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arizona (Home) - 12.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 9
Quad 22 - 63 - 15
Quad 36 - 29 - 17
Quad 45 - 114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 247   UC San Diego L 67-80 86%     0 - 1 -20.1 -10.8 -9.0
  Nov 13, 2021 108   @ UNLV L 52-55 40%     0 - 2 +3.8 -10.4 +13.9
  Nov 15, 2021 172   San Diego W 75-70 76%     1 - 2 +2.1 +5.9 -3.7
  Nov 18, 2021 142   Southern Utah W 75-68 2OT 71%     2 - 2 +5.7 -8.7 +13.6
  Nov 22, 2021 35   Florida L 60-80 25%     2 - 3 -8.5 -7.2 -1.5
  Nov 24, 2021 23   Seton Hall L 59-62 21%     2 - 4 +9.9 -4.1 +13.8
  Nov 28, 2021 78   Fresno St. W 65-57 49%     3 - 4 +12.7 +2.2 +11.2
  Dec 02, 2021 124   Oregon St. W 73-61 65%     4 - 4 1 - 0 +12.4 +5.8 +7.7
  Dec 05, 2021 111   @ Utah L 58-66 41%     4 - 5 1 - 1 -1.3 -8.7 +6.9
  Dec 08, 2021 336   Idaho St. W 72-46 95%     5 - 5 +11.9 +5.7 +10.2
  Dec 11, 2021 95   Santa Clara W 72-60 54%     6 - 5 +15.4 -0.9 +16.2
  Dec 19, 2021 243   Dartmouth W 61-55 86%     7 - 5 -1.0 -5.3 +5.1
  Dec 22, 2021 260   Pacific W 73-53 87%     8 - 5 +12.3 +5.4 +8.9
  Jan 02, 2022 119   Arizona St. W 74-50 63%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +24.9 +10.2 +16.4
  Jan 06, 2022 26   USC L 63-77 29%     9 - 6 2 - 2 -3.9 +0.9 -6.1
  Jan 08, 2022 12   UCLA L 52-60 18%     9 - 7 2 - 3 +6.2 -7.4 +12.4
  Jan 12, 2022 130   @ Washington L 55-64 48%     9 - 8 2 - 4 -4.1 -7.5 +2.5
  Jan 15, 2022 52   @ Washington St. L 57-65 24%     9 - 9 2 - 5 +3.7 +3.0 -0.9
  Jan 23, 2022 2   Arizona L 63-76 12%    
  Jan 27, 2022 12   @ UCLA L 58-73 8%    
  Jan 29, 2022 26   @ USC L 58-69 15%    
  Feb 01, 2022 76   @ Stanford L 61-67 28%    
  Feb 03, 2022 130   Washington W 67-62 68%    
  Feb 05, 2022 52   Washington St. L 62-64 45%    
  Feb 09, 2022 124   @ Oregon St. L 65-66 44%    
  Feb 12, 2022 40   @ Oregon L 61-70 20%    
  Feb 17, 2022 69   Colorado L 62-63 48%    
  Feb 19, 2022 111   Utah W 67-64 62%    
  Feb 26, 2022 76   Stanford L 64-65 50%    
  Mar 03, 2022 119   @ Arizona St. L 61-63 43%    
  Mar 05, 2022 2   @ Arizona L 60-78 5%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 3.7 0.9 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.7 6.4 2.7 0.2 12.0 7th
8th 0.1 2.6 9.2 5.0 0.5 17.4 8th
9th 0.1 2.0 9.8 7.5 0.9 0.0 20.2 9th
10th 0.0 1.3 7.3 7.4 1.3 0.0 17.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 4.8 6.1 1.6 0.0 13.5 11th
12th 0.6 2.5 3.3 1.0 0.1 7.6 12th
Total 0.7 3.5 9.5 16.5 21.6 20.9 14.5 8.4 3.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 14.3% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 17.0% 2.0% 15.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 15.3%
11-9 1.0% 4.4% 2.0% 2.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.4%
10-10 3.3% 0.8% 0.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 3.3
9-11 8.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4 0.1%
8-12 14.5% 0.5% 0.5% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.5
7-13 20.9% 0.2% 0.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.9
6-14 21.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 21.5
5-15 16.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.4
4-16 9.5% 9.5
3-17 3.5% 3.5
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%