Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#138
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#179
Pace66.0#264
Improvement-4.4#346

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#149
First Shot-0.1#179
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#85
Layup/Dunks+3.3#64
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#263
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#256
Freethrows+0.5#144
Improvement-2.4#312

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#155
First Shot-4.1#304
After Offensive Rebounds+4.6#1
Layups/Dunks-0.2#194
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#246
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#329
Freethrows+0.9#118
Improvement-2.0#291
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.5 12.8
.500 or above 1.9% 4.2% 1.2%
.500 or above in Conference 3.3% 7.4% 1.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 31.6% 16.5% 36.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Tech (Home) - 25.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 6
Quad 23 - 94 - 15
Quad 32 - 46 - 19
Quad 45 - 111 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 243   Dartmouth W 73-57 79%     1 - 0 +9.0 +5.4 +5.1
  Nov 12, 2021 344   Holy Cross W 85-55 94%     2 - 0 +14.4 +5.3 +9.8
  Nov 14, 2021 219   Fairfield W 72-64 74%     3 - 0 +2.8 +0.0 +3.1
  Nov 17, 2021 89   @ Rhode Island L 49-57 24%     3 - 1 +1.0 -11.0 +10.8
  Nov 20, 2021 111   Utah L 61-68 40%     3 - 2 -2.8 -8.2 +5.1
  Nov 21, 2021 89   Rhode Island L 65-71 32%     3 - 3 +0.4 +5.9 -6.3
  Nov 26, 2021 337   Columbia W 73-60 92%     4 - 3 -1.2 -1.8 +1.6
  Nov 29, 2021 191   South Florida W 64-49 70%     5 - 3 +11.2 +5.4 +8.4
  Dec 03, 2021 65   Notre Dame W 73-57 35%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +21.6 +8.4 +14.9
  Dec 11, 2021 71   @ Saint Louis L 68-79 21%     6 - 4 -0.8 +1.1 -2.0
  Dec 13, 2021 255   Albany L 57-61 80%     6 - 5 -11.5 -3.8 -8.5
  Jan 02, 2022 34   North Carolina L 65-91 24%     6 - 6 1 - 1 -17.0 -7.3 -9.0
  Jan 08, 2022 139   @ Pittsburgh L 67-69 40%     6 - 7 1 - 2 +2.1 +1.5 +0.4
  Jan 12, 2022 125   Georgia Tech L 76-81 55%     6 - 8 1 - 3 -4.8 +3.2 -7.8
  Jan 15, 2022 68   @ Clemson W 70-68 20%     7 - 8 2 - 3 +12.5 +1.3 +11.2
  Jan 19, 2022 86   @ Louisville L 54-67 24%     7 - 9 2 - 4 -3.9 -12.2 +8.3
  Jan 22, 2022 32   Virginia Tech L 61-69 26%    
  Jan 24, 2022 49   @ Wake Forest L 65-76 15%    
  Jan 26, 2022 34   @ North Carolina L 69-81 11%    
  Jan 29, 2022 139   Pittsburgh W 66-63 61%    
  Feb 01, 2022 67   @ Virginia L 55-64 19%    
  Feb 08, 2022 61   Syracuse L 72-76 35%    
  Feb 12, 2022 10   Duke L 65-78 12%    
  Feb 16, 2022 65   @ Notre Dame L 64-73 18%    
  Feb 19, 2022 61   @ Syracuse L 70-79 18%    
  Feb 21, 2022 42   Florida St. L 66-72 30%    
  Feb 23, 2022 97   @ North Carolina St. L 67-74 25%    
  Feb 26, 2022 68   Clemson L 67-71 37%    
  Mar 02, 2022 58   Miami (FL) L 70-75 36%    
  Mar 05, 2022 125   @ Georgia Tech L 65-69 34%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 0.8 0.0 1.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 2.1 0.3 3.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 3.0 1.4 0.0 5.3 10th
11th 0.0 1.0 4.2 3.5 0.3 0.0 9.0 11th
12th 0.0 1.1 5.6 6.5 1.7 0.0 15.0 12th
13th 0.1 1.8 7.6 9.4 3.2 0.2 22.2 13th
14th 0.1 1.9 7.8 9.5 3.7 0.3 23.2 14th
15th 2.0 6.6 6.5 2.3 0.2 0.0 17.7 15th
Total 2.1 8.5 16.1 20.6 20.0 15.1 9.4 4.9 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7 4.2% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0% 20.8% 20.8% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.8%
12-8 0.2% 6.0% 6.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-9 0.8% 3.3% 3.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
10-10 2.3% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 2.3
9-11 4.9% 0.6% 0.6% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9
8-12 9.4% 0.3% 0.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 9.4
7-13 15.1% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 15.1
6-14 20.0% 20.0
5-15 20.6% 20.6
4-16 16.1% 16.1
3-17 8.5% 8.5
2-18 2.1% 2.1
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.1%