Stanford
Pac-12
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.4#76
Expected Predictive Rating+10.5#54
Pace70.7#121
Improvement+3.3#50

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#103
First Shot-0.2#181
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#24
Layup/Dunks+1.0#133
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#240
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#211
Freethrows+0.8#118
Improvement-0.5#210

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#59
First Shot+3.1#76
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#51
Layups/Dunks+2.6#85
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#150
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#198
Freethrows+0.5#155
Improvement+3.8#16
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.0% 3.2% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.9% 43.2% 17.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 21.5% 41.6% 16.6%
Average Seed 9.8 9.3 10.1
.500 or above 85.8% 96.0% 83.2%
.500 or above in Conference 52.2% 75.6% 46.4%
Conference Champion 1.0% 4.0% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.3% 1.5%
First Four6.3% 8.3% 5.8%
First Round19.4% 38.7% 14.7%
Second Round7.7% 15.9% 5.7%
Sweet Sixteen1.9% 3.8% 1.5%
Elite Eight0.6% 1.2% 0.4%
Final Four0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Arizona (Home) - 19.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 23 - 8
Quad 24 - 47 - 11
Quad 35 - 212 - 13
Quad 45 - 017 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 171   Tarleton St. W 62-50 83%     1 - 0 +9.1 -0.1 +11.2
  Nov 12, 2021 95   @ Santa Clara L 72-88 46%     1 - 1 -7.6 -0.6 -6.5
  Nov 15, 2021 287   San Jose St. W 76-62 94%     2 - 1 +4.3 +2.3 +3.0
  Nov 17, 2021 186   Valparaiso W 74-60 84%     3 - 1 +10.6 -3.3 +13.4
  Nov 20, 2021 5   @ Baylor L 48-86 10%     3 - 2 -16.6 -12.2 -7.1
  Nov 23, 2021 272   N.C. A&T W 79-65 92%     4 - 2 +5.4 -2.0 +6.6
  Nov 28, 2021 69   @ Colorado L 76-80 39%     4 - 3 +6.3 +14.0 -7.9
  Dec 12, 2021 40   Oregon W 72-69 47%     5 - 3 1 - 0 +11.1 +3.4 +7.8
  Dec 16, 2021 243   Dartmouth W 89-78 OT 90%     6 - 3 +4.0 +8.4 -5.1
  Dec 19, 2021 17   Texas L 53-60 26%     6 - 4 +7.2 -9.5 +16.3
  Dec 22, 2021 66   Wyoming W 66-63 47%     7 - 4 +11.1 +1.2 +10.1
  Dec 23, 2021 104   Liberty W 79-76 61%     8 - 4 +7.5 +2.4 +4.9
  Jan 11, 2022 26   USC W 75-69 40%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +16.1 +5.7 +10.3
  Jan 13, 2022 52   @ Washington St. W 62-57 34%     10 - 4 3 - 0 +16.7 -2.0 +18.8
  Jan 15, 2022 130   @ Washington L 64-67 60%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +1.9 -0.3 +2.0
  Jan 20, 2022 2   Arizona L 71-81 20%    
  Jan 22, 2022 119   Arizona St. W 71-64 75%    
  Jan 27, 2022 26   @ USC L 65-73 22%    
  Jan 29, 2022 12   @ UCLA L 65-77 12%    
  Feb 01, 2022 107   California W 67-61 72%    
  Feb 03, 2022 52   Washington St. W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 06, 2022 130   Washington W 74-66 77%    
  Feb 10, 2022 40   @ Oregon L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 12, 2022 124   @ Oregon St. W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 17, 2022 111   Utah W 74-68 71%    
  Feb 19, 2022 69   Colorado W 69-67 59%    
  Feb 26, 2022 107   @ California W 65-64 50%    
  Mar 03, 2022 2   @ Arizona L 68-83 8%    
  Mar 05, 2022 119   @ Arizona St. W 68-66 54%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.0 1.0 0.2 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.9 4.3 2.4 0.2 9.0 3rd
4th 0.3 2.8 6.8 4.1 0.5 0.0 14.4 4th
5th 0.3 3.5 9.2 5.9 1.0 0.0 20.0 5th
6th 0.1 3.2 9.0 5.9 0.9 0.0 19.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.9 7.0 4.9 0.9 0.0 14.7 7th
8th 0.5 4.0 3.6 0.6 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.8 2.5 0.5 0.0 4.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.4 0.0 2.3 10th
11th 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.4 4.1 8.9 14.6 18.3 19.0 15.7 10.3 5.1 1.6 0.5 0.1 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-5 65.4% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0
14-6 28.2% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.1% 100.0% 25.7% 74.3% 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.5% 100.0% 10.2% 89.8% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 1.6% 96.4% 5.9% 90.5% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 96.2%
13-7 5.1% 84.1% 4.5% 79.6% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.8 83.3%
12-8 10.3% 62.9% 3.8% 59.2% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.8 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.8 61.5%
11-9 15.7% 37.8% 1.9% 35.9% 10.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.5 2.3 1.1 0.0 9.7 36.6%
10-10 19.0% 16.2% 1.8% 14.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 1.1 0.1 15.9 14.7%
9-11 18.3% 4.1% 0.9% 3.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 17.6 3.2%
8-12 14.6% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.4 0.4%
7-13 8.9% 0.1% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 8.9
6-14 4.1% 0.6% 0.6% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1
5-15 1.4% 1.4
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 22.9% 1.7% 21.1% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.6 3.7 4.9 6.1 3.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 77.1 21.5%