Georgetown
Big East
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#155
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#204
Pace74.5#58
Improvement-3.6#318

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#125
First Shot-0.8#211
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#27
Layup/Dunks-2.9#287
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#217
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#138
Freethrows+1.6#73
Improvement-2.2#305

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#209
First Shot-1.2#215
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#170
Layups/Dunks+0.8#154
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#232
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#278
Freethrows+0.9#108
Improvement-1.3#254
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.4 14.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.9% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 80.7% 63.0% 82.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Away) - 11.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 11
Quad 22 - 73 - 17
Quad 32 - 34 - 20
Quad 45 - 19 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 243   Dartmouth L 60-69 76%     0 - 1 -16.0 -14.3 -1.8
  Nov 16, 2021 330   American W 79-57 90%     1 - 1 +8.3 -6.3 +13.2
  Nov 19, 2021 246   Siena W 83-65 77%     2 - 1 +10.9 +14.0 -1.9
  Nov 25, 2021 33   San Diego St. L 56-73 15%     2 - 2 -5.5 -5.7 -0.2
  Nov 26, 2021 157   Saint Joseph's L 74-77 50%     2 - 3 -2.6 -0.1 -2.4
  Nov 30, 2021 187   Longwood W 91-83 65%     3 - 3 +4.5 +11.9 -7.8
  Dec 05, 2021 113   @ South Carolina L 67-80 28%     3 - 4 -6.4 -3.5 -2.0
  Dec 08, 2021 254   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 100-71 78%     4 - 4 +21.6 +11.3 +6.8
  Dec 11, 2021 61   Syracuse W 79-75 30%     5 - 4 +9.9 +4.8 +5.1
  Dec 15, 2021 248   Howard W 85-73 77%     6 - 4 +4.9 -1.9 +5.5
  Dec 18, 2021 57   TCU L 73-80 29%     6 - 5 -0.9 +2.0 -2.6
  Jan 07, 2022 37   Marquette L 64-92 23%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -19.8 -8.0 -10.0
  Jan 13, 2022 118   Butler L 58-72 48%     6 - 7 0 - 2 -13.0 -10.6 -2.8
  Jan 16, 2022 92   @ St. John's L 69-88 22%     6 - 8 0 - 3 -10.2 -2.4 -7.2
  Jan 20, 2022 44   @ Providence L 66-78 11%    
  Jan 22, 2022 6   Villanova L 61-76 9%    
  Jan 25, 2022 18   @ Connecticut L 65-81 6%    
  Jan 29, 2022 118   @ Butler L 65-70 29%    
  Feb 01, 2022 23   Seton Hall L 73-83 19%    
  Feb 06, 2022 44   Providence L 68-75 26%    
  Feb 09, 2022 94   @ DePaul L 74-82 21%    
  Feb 12, 2022 45   Creighton L 70-77 27%    
  Feb 14, 2022 45   @ Creighton L 68-80 12%    
  Feb 16, 2022 37   @ Marquette L 70-83 12%    
  Feb 19, 2022 6   @ Villanova L 58-78 3%    
  Feb 21, 2022 92   St. John's L 80-83 40%    
  Feb 24, 2022 94   DePaul L 76-79 40%    
  Feb 27, 2022 18   Connecticut L 68-79 18%    
  Mar 02, 2022 23   @ Seton Hall L 70-85 8%    
  Mar 05, 2022 19   @ Xavier L 69-85 7%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 3 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.0 0.3 3.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 3.6 2.7 0.7 0.0 8.9 9th
10th 0.8 4.6 7.7 4.3 1.1 0.1 18.6 10th
11th 6.4 16.9 21.2 16.1 6.5 1.1 0.1 68.3 11th
Total 6.4 16.9 22.0 20.9 15.9 9.5 5.3 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0 0.0
10-10 0.1% 0.1
9-11 0.2% 2.5% 2.5% 12.0 0.0 0.2
8-12 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 12.0 0.0 0.7
7-13 2.1% 2.1
6-14 5.3% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 5.3
5-15 9.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.5
4-16 15.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.9
3-17 20.9% 20.9
2-18 22.0% 22.0
1-19 16.9% 16.9
0-20 6.4% 6.4
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.4%