La Salle
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#226
Expected Predictive Rating-5.6#264
Pace70.2#137
Improvement+3.9#35

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#248
First Shot-2.2#251
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#209
Layup/Dunks-1.9#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#167
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#167
Freethrows-0.5#225
Improvement+2.6#44

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#185
First Shot-0.4#180
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#182
Layups/Dunks-0.4#198
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#53
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#280
Freethrows+0.9#125
Improvement+1.4#100
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.5
.500 or above 2.6% 6.2% 1.1%
.500 or above in Conference 3.8% 9.0% 1.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 29.8% 16.0% 35.4%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Home) - 28.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 33 - 74 - 15
Quad 47 - 410 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 284   Sacred Heart L 81-86 OT 74%     0 - 1 -14.7 -11.7 -2.2
  Nov 13, 2021 255   Albany W 67-64 66%     1 - 1 -4.5 -8.6 +4.0
  Nov 17, 2021 146   @ Delaware L 82-85 OT 26%     1 - 2 +0.5 -0.2 +1.0
  Nov 20, 2021 266   Army W 61-58 68%     2 - 2 -5.0 -12.9 +7.9
  Nov 28, 2021 6   Villanova L 46-72 5%     2 - 3 -10.6 -17.1 +5.0
  Dec 01, 2021 122   @ Temple L 57-73 21%     2 - 4 -10.6 -12.5 +1.9
  Dec 04, 2021 344   Holy Cross W 84-65 87%     3 - 4 +3.4 +4.0 -0.2
  Dec 07, 2021 341   Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-55 86%     4 - 4 +11.3 +2.4 +9.6
  Dec 11, 2021 211   Penn W 76-74 56%     5 - 4 -2.8 +3.2 -5.9
  Dec 18, 2021 331   @ Bucknell L 70-82 71%     5 - 5 -20.7 -11.6 -8.7
  Dec 30, 2021 215   Fordham L 61-69 57%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -12.9 -9.4 -3.6
  Jan 08, 2022 75   Virginia Commonwealth L 66-85 22%     5 - 7 0 - 2 -14.1 +1.4 -15.2
  Jan 11, 2022 80   St. Bonaventure L 76-80 OT 23%     5 - 8 0 - 3 +0.7 +1.2 -0.3
  Jan 17, 2022 157   @ Saint Joseph's W 75-64 28%     6 - 8 1 - 3 +13.9 +2.2 +11.4
  Jan 19, 2022 89   @ Rhode Island L 54-56 13%     6 - 9 1 - 4 +7.0 -10.4 +17.3
  Jan 22, 2022 99   Richmond L 69-75 29%    
  Jan 26, 2022 154   Massachusetts L 76-77 48%    
  Jan 29, 2022 53   @ Davidson L 63-78 8%    
  Feb 02, 2022 271   @ George Washington W 70-69 50%    
  Feb 05, 2022 123   George Mason L 68-71 39%    
  Feb 08, 2022 71   Saint Louis L 66-74 24%    
  Feb 12, 2022 99   @ Richmond L 66-77 14%    
  Feb 15, 2022 71   @ Saint Louis L 63-76 10%    
  Feb 19, 2022 154   @ Massachusetts L 74-80 27%    
  Feb 23, 2022 215   @ Fordham L 64-67 36%    
  Feb 26, 2022 72   Dayton L 62-70 24%    
  Mar 02, 2022 157   Saint Joseph's L 72-73 48%    
  Mar 05, 2022 190   @ Duquesne L 67-71 33%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 2.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.0 7th
8th 0.7 3.3 1.9 0.2 6.1 8th
9th 0.3 4.1 4.1 0.5 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.1 2.9 6.6 1.6 0.1 11.3 10th
11th 0.0 1.9 8.1 4.0 0.2 14.2 11th
12th 0.0 1.0 7.4 7.1 0.8 0.0 16.4 12th
13th 1.2 7.1 8.8 1.9 0.1 19.1 13th
14th 1.9 6.1 6.8 1.8 0.1 16.7 14th
Total 1.9 7.3 15.0 20.0 20.4 16.3 10.3 5.1 2.6 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 25.0% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.1% 11.1% 11.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 1.0% 1.0% 13.0 0.0 0.2
10-8 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 14.0 0.0 0.8
9-9 2.6% 0.5% 0.5% 14.6 0.0 0.0 2.6
8-10 5.1% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.1
7-11 10.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.2
6-12 16.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.2
5-13 20.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.4
4-14 20.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.0
3-15 15.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.0
2-16 7.3% 7.3
1-17 1.9% 1.9
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.4%