Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#259
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#226
Pace67.6#206
Improvement+1.1#121

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#278
First Shot-0.2#183
After Offensive Rebound-3.6#349
Layup/Dunks+1.9#104
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#193
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#212
Freethrows-1.1#268
Improvement+0.9#119

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#211
First Shot-3.1#280
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#47
Layups/Dunks-1.9#250
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#211
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#207
Freethrows-0.2#209
Improvement+0.2#171
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 6.5% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 80.6% 85.5% 61.2%
.500 or above in Conference 88.9% 92.8% 73.0%
Conference Champion 8.4% 9.7% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four3.0% 3.0% 3.1%
First Round4.5% 4.9% 2.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Home) - 80.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 43 - 6
Quad 414 - 716 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 34   @ North Carolina L 67-83 5%     0 - 1 -2.0 -4.7 +3.6
  Nov 12, 2021 346   South Carolina St. W 75-65 78%     1 - 1 -3.4 -6.5 +2.6
  Nov 13, 2021 203   @ College of Charleston L 72-79 29%     1 - 2 -6.3 -5.7 +0.0
  Nov 14, 2021 280   Lipscomb L 65-70 57%     1 - 3 -11.9 -17.9 +6.2
  Nov 17, 2021 302   @ Coppin St. L 49-71 52%     1 - 4 -27.7 -25.3 -2.1
  Nov 28, 2021 219   @ Fairfield W 75-70 32%     2 - 4 +4.8 +9.5 -4.2
  Dec 01, 2021 350   Chicago St. W 78-64 87%     3 - 4 -3.0 -7.0 +3.0
  Dec 04, 2021 282   Mount St. Mary's W 61-55 67%     4 - 4 -3.5 -8.2 +5.3
  Dec 08, 2021 80   @ St. Bonaventure L 71-84 9%     4 - 5 -3.3 +10.1 -14.9
  Dec 12, 2021 332   Hampton W 67-54 80%     5 - 5 -0.8 -6.8 +6.5
  Jan 01, 2022 266   @ Army L 74-77 OT 42%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -6.0 -8.0 +2.3
  Jan 04, 2022 344   Holy Cross W 79-70 84%     6 - 6 1 - 1 -6.6 -3.3 -3.3
  Jan 07, 2022 198   @ Boston University W 66-58 28%     7 - 6 2 - 1 +9.0 +0.4 +9.5
  Jan 10, 2022 331   Bucknell W 71-67 79%     8 - 6 3 - 1 -9.7 -6.7 -2.8
  Jan 13, 2022 307   Lafayette W 74-60 71%     9 - 6 4 - 1 +3.1 +1.5 +2.9
  Jan 16, 2022 294   @ Lehigh W 69-57 51%     10 - 6 5 - 1 +6.7 +0.6 +7.2
  Jan 19, 2022 198   Boston University L 50-67 46%     10 - 7 5 - 2 -21.1 -18.3 -5.3
  Jan 22, 2022 330   American W 72-63 80%    
  Jan 24, 2022 129   @ Colgate L 65-75 16%    
  Jan 29, 2022 331   @ Bucknell W 73-69 62%    
  Feb 02, 2022 266   Army W 71-68 63%    
  Feb 05, 2022 148   Navy L 63-66 39%    
  Feb 09, 2022 344   @ Holy Cross W 71-66 68%    
  Feb 12, 2022 129   Colgate L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 16, 2022 307   @ Lafayette W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 20, 2022 294   Lehigh W 72-67 70%    
  Feb 23, 2022 148   @ Navy L 61-69 20%    
  Feb 26, 2022 330   @ American W 69-65 61%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 3.4 3.2 0.9 0.1 8.4 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 6.6 5.4 0.6 13.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.4 9.4 8.5 1.0 21.4 3rd
4th 0.1 2.3 8.9 9.1 1.4 0.0 21.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 7.5 7.9 1.8 0.0 19.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.6 4.8 4.8 1.4 0.0 12.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.1 2.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.8 7.7 14.8 20.7 21.5 17.3 9.8 3.8 0.9 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
14-4 83.5% 3.2    1.7 1.3 0.2
13-5 34.8% 3.4    0.6 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0
12-6 4.7% 0.8    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.4% 8.4 3.4 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 38.2% 38.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.9% 19.8% 19.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
14-4 3.8% 17.2% 17.2% 15.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 3.2
13-5 9.8% 10.7% 10.7% 15.7 0.3 0.7 8.8
12-6 17.3% 8.0% 8.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.2 15.9
11-7 21.5% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.0 1.2 20.3
10-8 20.7% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8 19.9
9-9 14.8% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5 14.3
8-10 7.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 7.5
7-11 2.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 2.8
6-12 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.9 94.0 0.0%