College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#203
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#147
Pace84.5#1
Improvement-3.6#321

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#210
First Shot-3.0#271
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#53
Layup/Dunks-0.9#206
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#141
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#267
Freethrows+0.1#175
Improvement-2.7#321

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#186
First Shot-3.4#287
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#16
Layups/Dunks-0.3#195
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#305
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#144
Freethrows-2.4#316
Improvement-1.0#231
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 8.0% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.3 14.8
.500 or above 69.2% 86.3% 64.9%
.500 or above in Conference 41.8% 65.1% 35.9%
Conference Champion 2.3% 7.3% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 2.4% 8.6%
First Four0.4% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round5.2% 7.9% 4.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Towson (Away) - 20.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 42 - 5
Quad 35 - 67 - 11
Quad 410 - 417 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2021 346   South Carolina St. W 106-74 90%     1 - 0 +16.1 +2.8 +6.0
  Nov 12, 2021 280   Lipscomb W 86-77 77%     2 - 0 -0.4 -8.4 +6.6
  Nov 13, 2021 259   Loyola Maryland W 79-72 71%     3 - 0 -0.6 -2.5 +1.3
  Nov 16, 2021 34   North Carolina L 83-94 16%     3 - 1 -2.0 -1.8 +1.7
  Nov 22, 2021 46   @ Oklahoma St. L 66-96 10%     3 - 2 -17.5 -5.8 -7.5
  Nov 27, 2021 100   @ Chattanooga W 68-66 18%     4 - 2 +9.8 -1.9 +11.8
  Nov 30, 2021 135   Tulane W 81-77 45%     5 - 2 +3.4 +1.1 +2.0
  Dec 03, 2021 102   @ Furman L 88-91 OT 19%     5 - 3 +4.4 +2.8 +2.1
  Dec 07, 2021 135   @ Tulane W 86-72 27%     6 - 3 +18.5 +8.2 +9.0
  Dec 12, 2021 299   Presbyterian W 78-76 OT 80%     7 - 3 -8.5 -4.5 -4.1
  Dec 16, 2021 293   @ Stetson L 59-67 63%     7 - 4 -13.3 -16.3 +3.0
  Dec 22, 2021 184   @ Old Dominion W 82-80 37%     8 - 4 +3.6 +8.8 -5.2
  Dec 31, 2021 146   Delaware L 66-67 49%     8 - 5 0 - 1 -2.5 -10.0 +7.6
  Jan 09, 2022 232   Elon W 65-61 67%     9 - 5 1 - 1 -2.3 -11.3 +9.0
  Jan 17, 2022 256   UNC Wilmington L 78-86 71%     9 - 6 1 - 2 -15.5 -3.8 -11.2
  Jan 20, 2022 114   @ Towson L 72-80 20%    
  Jan 22, 2022 180   @ James Madison L 80-84 35%    
  Jan 25, 2022 340   William & Mary W 83-70 89%    
  Jan 27, 2022 132   Hofstra L 80-82 46%    
  Jan 29, 2022 217   Northeastern W 76-73 63%    
  Feb 03, 2022 340   @ William & Mary W 81-73 75%    
  Feb 05, 2022 232   @ Elon L 75-76 47%    
  Feb 12, 2022 256   @ UNC Wilmington W 77-76 51%    
  Feb 14, 2022 158   Drexel W 77-76 54%    
  Feb 17, 2022 180   James Madison W 83-82 57%    
  Feb 19, 2022 114   Towson L 74-77 40%    
  Feb 22, 2022 217   @ Northeastern L 73-75 42%    
  Feb 24, 2022 146   @ Delaware L 75-80 29%    
  Feb 26, 2022 158   @ Drexel L 74-79 32%    
  Feb 28, 2022 132   @ Hofstra L 77-84 26%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.6 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 3.5 1.2 0.1 6.9 3rd
4th 0.2 2.6 5.4 2.2 0.1 10.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 7.4 3.4 0.3 13.9 5th
6th 0.2 3.3 8.0 5.2 0.5 17.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.8 7.6 5.1 0.8 0.0 16.5 7th
8th 0.2 2.5 6.5 4.8 0.7 0.0 14.7 8th
9th 0.3 1.8 4.4 2.6 0.5 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.1 3.5 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.3 7.8 12.2 16.5 16.7 16.1 11.4 7.6 4.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 95.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 87.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 55.2% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 16.3% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 17.2% 17.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 25.8% 25.8% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.8% 15.6% 15.6% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.5
12-6 4.2% 13.4% 13.4% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 3.7
11-7 7.6% 11.6% 11.6% 14.3 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 6.8
10-8 11.4% 9.7% 9.7% 14.4 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 10.3
9-9 16.1% 5.7% 5.7% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 15.1
8-10 16.7% 4.2% 4.2% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 16.0
7-11 16.5% 2.4% 2.4% 15.7 0.1 0.3 16.1
6-12 12.2% 1.8% 1.8% 15.8 0.0 0.2 12.0
5-13 7.8% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.7
4-14 3.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 3.3
3-15 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 1.4
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.1 1.0 94.6 0.0%