Bucknell
Patriot League
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.2#331
Expected Predictive Rating-13.0#334
Pace71.5#99
Improvement-5.1#353

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#276
First Shot+0.4#160
After Offensive Rebound-4.2#355
Layup/Dunks-1.6#239
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#174
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#100
Freethrows+0.0#181
Improvement-2.3#310

Defense
Total Defense-7.4#345
First Shot-6.6#341
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#254
Layups/Dunks-3.5#303
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#303
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#293
Freethrows+1.4#86
Improvement-2.8#325
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 45.7% 25.9% 62.1%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Away) - 45.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 30 - 70 - 11
Quad 47 - 137 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 97   @ North Carolina St. L 70-88 5%     0 - 1 -9.7 -4.5 -4.4
  Nov 14, 2021 211   Penn L 68-73 27%     0 - 2 -9.8 -8.5 -1.3
  Nov 17, 2021 291   Rider W 81-74 46%     1 - 2 -3.2 -2.1 -1.7
  Nov 20, 2021 202   @ Illinois St. L 100-105 OT 13%     1 - 3 -4.2 +2.1 -5.1
  Nov 23, 2021 196   Mercer L 68-78 18%     1 - 4 -11.5 -9.6 -1.6
  Nov 24, 2021 291   Rider L 79-85 37%     1 - 5 -13.7 -2.5 -10.7
  Nov 28, 2021 246   Siena W 65-56 OT 34%     2 - 5 +1.9 -7.7 +9.8
  Dec 01, 2021 301   @ St. Francis (PA) L 67-93 29%     2 - 6 -31.6 -10.9 -19.7
  Dec 04, 2021 132   @ Hofstra L 69-88 8%     2 - 7 -14.3 -1.5 -13.6
  Dec 07, 2021 144   @ Princeton L 69-82 9%     2 - 8 -9.4 -2.6 -7.3
  Dec 18, 2021 226   La Salle W 82-70 29%     3 - 8 +6.4 +4.4 +1.6
  Dec 22, 2021 99   @ Richmond L 50-81 5%     3 - 9 -22.7 -17.7 -6.5
  Jan 01, 2022 198   @ Boston University L 61-63 13%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -1.0 -6.4 +5.2
  Jan 04, 2022 266   Army L 89-96 38%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -15.0 +11.3 -26.2
  Jan 07, 2022 148   @ Navy L 55-73 9%     3 - 12 0 - 3 -14.6 -11.3 -4.3
  Jan 10, 2022 259   @ Loyola Maryland L 67-71 21%     3 - 13 0 - 4 -6.6 -2.3 -4.5
  Jan 13, 2022 294   Lehigh L 64-97 47%     3 - 14 0 - 5 -43.3 -15.6 -26.6
  Jan 16, 2022 330   @ American L 55-63 40%     3 - 15 0 - 6 -16.7 -11.9 -6.3
  Jan 19, 2022 129   Colgate L 56-75 15%     3 - 16 0 - 7 -19.0 -14.6 -5.9
  Jan 22, 2022 344   @ Holy Cross L 73-74 45%    
  Jan 26, 2022 148   Navy L 64-74 19%    
  Jan 29, 2022 259   Loyola Maryland L 69-73 38%    
  Feb 02, 2022 129   @ Colgate L 67-83 6%    
  Feb 05, 2022 307   @ Lafayette L 71-76 29%    
  Feb 09, 2022 330   American W 74-71 61%    
  Feb 12, 2022 344   Holy Cross W 76-72 67%    
  Feb 14, 2022 294   @ Lehigh L 71-77 27%    
  Feb 19, 2022 307   Lafayette L 73-74 50%    
  Feb 23, 2022 266   @ Army L 70-78 21%    
  Feb 26, 2022 198   Boston University L 67-74 26%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 1.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.1 6.0 3.4 0.6 0.0 15.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.9 9.0 10.2 3.8 0.6 0.0 25.5 8th
9th 0.0 2.3 10.5 11.1 3.5 0.3 0.0 27.8 9th
10th 1.0 5.9 11.0 8.7 2.7 0.2 0.0 29.5 10th
Total 1.0 5.9 13.3 21.1 23.6 18.1 10.3 4.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.3% 0.3
8-10 1.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 1.5
7-11 4.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.8
6-12 10.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.2
5-13 18.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 18.0
4-14 23.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 23.6
3-15 21.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 21.0
2-16 13.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.3
1-17 5.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.9
0-18 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%