Lehigh
Patriot League
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#294
Expected Predictive Rating-9.6#308
Pace72.1#88
Improvement+3.6#41

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#292
First Shot-0.9#215
After Offensive Rebound-3.5#348
Layup/Dunks-1.3#223
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#127
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#192
Freethrows+0.0#177
Improvement+2.3#56

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#284
First Shot-2.3#257
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#271
Layups/Dunks-4.2#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#165
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#41
Freethrows-2.3#311
Improvement+1.3#106
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 3.7% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.5% 10.3% 1.8%
.500 or above in Conference 78.0% 92.4% 74.5%
Conference Champion 3.3% 8.3% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.3% 3.4% 2.1%
First Round1.2% 2.1% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Away) - 19.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 49 - 1111 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 64   @ Rutgers L 70-73 OT 5%     0 - 1 +7.7 -4.1 +12.2
  Nov 13, 2021 305   NJIT L 56-73 61%     0 - 2 -27.8 -21.3 -6.1
  Nov 16, 2021 137   @ Monmouth L 75-85 13%     0 - 3 -5.9 -0.3 -4.8
  Nov 19, 2021 289   @ Merrimack L 45-55 39%     0 - 4 -15.0 -21.8 +5.5
  Nov 23, 2021 337   Columbia W 79-72 73%     1 - 4 -7.2 -7.3 -0.4
  Nov 26, 2021 67   @ Virginia L 43-61 5%     1 - 5 -7.5 -17.3 +7.2
  Nov 28, 2021 301   St. Francis (PA) L 68-79 61%     1 - 6 -21.6 -8.5 -13.3
  Dec 01, 2021 134   @ Yale L 72-82 13%     1 - 7 -5.4 -1.1 -4.0
  Dec 04, 2021 342   Maryland Eastern Shore L 75-81 75%     1 - 8 -20.9 -2.0 -18.9
  Dec 21, 2021 255   Albany L 52-68 49%     1 - 9 -23.5 -17.9 -6.4
  Dec 28, 2021 70   @ Maryland L 55-76 6%     1 - 10 -10.8 -12.3 +1.5
  Jan 01, 2022 330   @ American W 63-61 53%     2 - 10 1 - 0 -6.7 -8.6 +2.1
  Jan 04, 2022 129   Colgate W 85-81 23%     3 - 10 2 - 0 +4.0 +6.9 -3.1
  Jan 07, 2022 266   @ Army L 55-77 32%     3 - 11 2 - 1 -25.0 -17.1 -8.5
  Jan 10, 2022 344   Holy Cross W 77-69 77%     4 - 11 3 - 1 -7.6 -6.9 -0.9
  Jan 13, 2022 331   @ Bucknell W 97-64 53%     5 - 11 4 - 1 +24.3 +14.8 +8.4
  Jan 16, 2022 259   Loyola Maryland L 57-69 49%     5 - 12 4 - 2 -19.6 -12.9 -7.9
  Jan 19, 2022 148   @ Navy W 69-61 15%     6 - 12 5 - 2 +11.4 +1.1 +10.5
  Jan 22, 2022 198   @ Boston University L 64-73 20%    
  Jan 26, 2022 266   Army W 73-72 53%    
  Jan 29, 2022 344   @ Holy Cross W 73-70 58%    
  Feb 02, 2022 148   Navy L 64-70 29%    
  Feb 05, 2022 198   Boston University L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 09, 2022 129   @ Colgate L 67-80 11%    
  Feb 12, 2022 307   Lafayette W 73-70 63%    
  Feb 14, 2022 331   Bucknell W 77-71 73%    
  Feb 20, 2022 259   @ Loyola Maryland L 67-72 30%    
  Feb 23, 2022 330   American W 73-67 72%    
  Feb 26, 2022 307   @ Lafayette L 70-72 41%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 3.6 2.6 0.5 0.0 7.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.1 7.8 5.6 0.7 0.0 16.4 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 8.3 7.2 0.8 0.0 18.6 4th
5th 0.1 2.2 8.8 9.4 1.8 0.0 22.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.4 9.8 9.3 2.5 0.1 25.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 2.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.3 1.6 6.3 13.8 20.6 22.3 17.9 10.5 4.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 92.3% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 68.8% 1.2    0.5 0.5 0.1
13-5 30.4% 1.5    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1
12-6 4.3% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.2% 7.7% 7.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 1.7% 9.7% 9.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 1.5
13-5 4.9% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 4.5
12-6 10.5% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.4 10.2
11-7 17.9% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.6 17.3
10-8 22.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.5 21.8
9-9 20.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.3 20.3
8-10 13.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.7
7-11 6.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 6.2
6-12 1.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.6
5-13 0.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.4 97.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%