Colorado
Pac-12
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#69
Expected Predictive Rating+10.1#56
Pace66.5#247
Improvement+3.9#36

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#90
First Shot+4.5#50
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#272
Layup/Dunks+4.7#31
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#164
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#269
Freethrows+2.6#22
Improvement-0.3#198

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#64
First Shot+2.6#90
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#37
Layups/Dunks+0.6#161
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#42
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#196
Freethrows+0.3#167
Improvement+4.2#11
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.7% 1.5% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.6% 27.3% 12.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 17.1% 25.6% 10.7%
Average Seed 10.0 9.7 10.4
.500 or above 97.8% 99.5% 96.5%
.500 or above in Conference 47.4% 63.2% 35.3%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.6% 2.2%
First Four5.9% 7.5% 4.6%
First Round15.4% 23.3% 9.5%
Second Round6.1% 9.7% 3.3%
Sweet Sixteen1.6% 2.6% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: USC (Home) - 43.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 7
Quad 24 - 26 - 10
Quad 37 - 212 - 12
Quad 47 - 019 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 166   Montana St. W 94-90 OT 84%     1 - 0 +1.4 +11.4 -10.4
  Nov 13, 2021 193   New Mexico W 87-76 86%     2 - 0 +7.1 +3.0 +3.1
  Nov 15, 2021 349   Maine W 90-46 98%     3 - 0 +27.1 +12.2 +15.4
  Nov 19, 2021 133   Southern Illinois L 63-67 71%     3 - 1 -1.9 +1.7 -4.3
  Nov 20, 2021 190   Duquesne W 84-76 OT 81%     4 - 1 +6.7 +5.5 +0.8
  Nov 22, 2021 181   Brown W 54-52 79%     5 - 1 +1.3 -14.6 +16.0
  Nov 28, 2021 76   Stanford W 80-76 61%     6 - 1 +8.9 +16.0 -6.9
  Dec 01, 2021 12   @ UCLA L 61-73 15%     6 - 2 0 - 1 +7.2 +0.5 +6.0
  Dec 04, 2021 15   Tennessee L 54-69 34%     6 - 3 -2.9 -9.8 +6.8
  Dec 08, 2021 222   Eastern Washington W 60-57 89%     7 - 3 -2.4 -10.5 +8.4
  Dec 10, 2021 269   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 65-54 93%     8 - 3 +2.7 -9.3 +12.3
  Dec 18, 2021 228   Cal St. Bakersfield W 60-46 89%     9 - 3 +8.1 -5.8 +15.6
  Jan 06, 2022 52   Washington St. W 83-78 54%     10 - 3 1 - 1 +11.7 +9.6 +1.8
  Jan 09, 2022 130   Washington W 78-64 78%     11 - 3 2 - 1 +13.9 +4.7 +8.7
  Jan 13, 2022 2   @ Arizona L 55-76 10%     11 - 4 2 - 2 +1.0 -10.6 +13.1
  Jan 15, 2022 119   @ Arizona St. W 75-57 58%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +23.9 +9.0 +15.1
  Jan 20, 2022 26   USC L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 22, 2022 12   UCLA L 66-72 29%    
  Jan 25, 2022 40   @ Oregon L 67-72 29%    
  Jan 27, 2022 130   @ Washington W 70-67 59%    
  Jan 30, 2022 52   @ Washington St. L 64-68 34%    
  Feb 03, 2022 40   Oregon L 69-70 51%    
  Feb 05, 2022 124   Oregon St. W 72-65 77%    
  Feb 12, 2022 111   Utah W 72-66 73%    
  Feb 17, 2022 107   @ California W 63-62 52%    
  Feb 19, 2022 76   @ Stanford L 67-69 41%    
  Feb 24, 2022 119   Arizona St. W 69-62 76%    
  Feb 26, 2022 2   Arizona L 69-78 21%    
  Mar 05, 2022 111   @ Utah W 70-69 52%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 2.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.8 4.1 1.7 0.2 7.8 3rd
4th 0.2 2.7 6.4 3.4 0.3 13.0 4th
5th 0.2 3.3 8.3 4.8 0.5 0.0 17.2 5th
6th 0.1 3.4 9.0 6.1 1.0 0.0 19.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.4 7.9 5.7 1.0 0.0 17.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.9 3.8 0.6 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.2 2.2 2.6 0.4 0.0 5.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 1.6 0.5 0.0 2.9 10th
11th 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.5 1.9 5.2 10.6 15.8 18.8 18.3 14.1 9.1 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 95.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 56.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 16.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 4.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 100.0% 14.3% 85.7% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.3% 100.0% 9.0% 91.0% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 1.4% 93.7% 8.8% 84.9% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 93.1%
13-7 4.1% 81.6% 6.0% 75.5% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.8 80.4%
12-8 9.1% 60.0% 4.3% 55.7% 9.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.6 1.6 0.5 0.0 3.6 58.2%
11-9 14.1% 32.1% 2.5% 29.6% 10.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.9 1.0 0.1 9.6 30.3%
10-10 18.3% 14.1% 2.0% 12.1% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.0 0.0 15.7 12.3%
9-11 18.8% 4.4% 1.0% 3.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.0 17.9 3.4%
8-12 15.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 15.6 0.3%
7-13 10.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 10.5 0.0%
6-14 5.2% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 5.2
5-15 1.9% 1.9
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 18.6% 1.9% 16.8% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.8 2.8 3.7 5.3 3.1 0.2 0.0 81.4 17.1%