Bradley
Missouri Valley
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.5#117
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#180
Pace67.7#203
Improvement+5.4#11

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#133
First Shot+1.5#135
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#191
Layup/Dunks-0.5#181
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#233
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#44
Freethrows-1.2#276
Improvement+5.5#3

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#108
First Shot+1.2#137
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#100
Layups/Dunks+2.6#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#219
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#117
Freethrows-2.6#318
Improvement-0.1#185
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 6.2% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.0 14.5
.500 or above 46.2% 56.1% 27.0%
.500 or above in Conference 63.4% 73.3% 44.1%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.2% 1.1%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.5%
First Round5.5% 6.1% 4.2%
Second Round0.7% 0.8% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Illinois (Home) - 66.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 36 - 68 - 13
Quad 47 - 315 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 98   @ South Dakota St. L 65-81 32%     0 - 1 -7.7 -18.5 +12.9
  Nov 13, 2021 248   Howard L 64-76 84%     0 - 2 -19.1 -8.9 -11.1
  Nov 19, 2021 47   Colorado St. L 60-66 27%     0 - 3 +4.0 -12.1 +16.2
  Nov 20, 2021 181   Brown L 62-65 66%     0 - 4 -3.7 -2.7 -1.3
  Nov 22, 2021 190   Duquesne L 70-78 68%     0 - 5 -9.3 -4.8 -4.4
  Nov 27, 2021 349   Maine W 71-39 96%     1 - 5 +15.1 -3.0 +20.2
  Dec 01, 2021 101   Northern Iowa W 71-69 54%     2 - 5 1 - 0 +4.5 -0.8 +5.4
  Dec 04, 2021 273   SIU Edwardsville W 80-55 87%     3 - 5 +16.1 -1.0 +15.5
  Dec 07, 2021 88   @ Toledo L 65-67 30%     3 - 6 +7.0 -0.4 +7.3
  Dec 18, 2021 157   Saint Joseph's W 77-73 71%     4 - 6 +1.9 +2.3 -0.5
  Dec 21, 2021 212   Sam Houston St. W 87-61 71%     5 - 6 +23.7 +13.9 +9.8
  Dec 22, 2021 168   @ UTEP W 73-66 54%     6 - 6 +9.4 +6.6 +3.1
  Jan 02, 2022 169   @ Indiana St. L 71-76 54%     6 - 7 1 - 1 -2.6 -2.4 +0.0
  Jan 05, 2022 77   Missouri St. L 69-71 45%     6 - 8 1 - 2 +2.7 +2.1 +0.5
  Jan 08, 2022 28   @ Loyola Chicago L 71-78 OT 15%     6 - 9 1 - 3 +7.8 +0.5 +7.8
  Jan 12, 2022 270   Evansville W 79-47 87%     7 - 9 2 - 3 +23.5 +8.7 +16.9
  Jan 16, 2022 202   @ Illinois St. L 65-74 60%     7 - 10 2 - 4 -8.2 -6.8 -1.9
  Jan 19, 2022 106   @ Drake W 83-71 37%     8 - 10 3 - 4 +19.0 +15.9 +3.6
  Jan 22, 2022 133   Southern Illinois W 65-61 66%    
  Jan 26, 2022 186   @ Valparaiso W 68-66 55%    
  Jan 30, 2022 169   Indiana St. W 73-67 73%    
  Feb 02, 2022 101   @ Northern Iowa L 70-74 33%    
  Feb 05, 2022 270   @ Evansville W 67-60 72%    
  Feb 09, 2022 28   Loyola Chicago L 63-69 30%    
  Feb 12, 2022 106   Drake W 69-67 58%    
  Feb 15, 2022 133   @ Southern Illinois L 63-64 44%    
  Feb 19, 2022 202   Illinois St. W 77-69 77%    
  Feb 23, 2022 77   @ Missouri St. L 67-73 27%    
  Feb 26, 2022 186   Valparaiso W 71-64 75%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.1 1.4 0.2 6.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 3.6 6.4 2.9 0.2 13.3 3rd
4th 0.3 4.6 9.9 4.9 0.4 0.0 20.1 4th
5th 0.1 4.2 11.4 5.8 0.5 22.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.8 9.3 4.8 0.5 17.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 5.6 4.1 0.4 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.9 2.4 0.3 6.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.2 2.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.7 5.3 11.1 18.1 21.5 20.0 13.3 6.4 1.9 0.2 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 35.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.9% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1
12-6 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.2% 17.1% 17.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 1.9% 14.9% 14.9% 12.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.6
12-6 6.4% 12.3% 12.3% 13.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 5.6
11-7 13.3% 9.1% 9.1% 13.5 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 12.1
10-8 20.0% 6.8% 6.8% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 18.7
9-9 21.5% 4.5% 4.5% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 20.5
8-10 18.1% 3.1% 3.1% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 17.5
7-11 11.1% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.8
6-12 5.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 5.2
5-13 1.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.7
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.7 1.5 0.6 94.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 11.2 4.8 23.8 28.6 28.6 14.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%