UTEP
Conference USA
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#168
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#193
Pace67.8#200
Improvement+0.6#156

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#242
First Shot-1.2#225
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#268
Layup/Dunks-4.1#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#107
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#150
Freethrows+1.0#103
Improvement-1.6#276

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#102
First Shot+0.8#155
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#60
Layups/Dunks-1.3#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#44
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#95
Freethrows-2.1#303
Improvement+2.2#61
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 1.9% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.2 14.6
.500 or above 48.2% 52.0% 20.8%
.500 or above in Conference 45.8% 49.6% 18.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 2.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.7% 1.8% 0.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Home) - 87.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 33 - 54 - 13
Quad 410 - 214 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 93   @ New Mexico St. L 71-77 20%     0 - 1 +2.7 +1.6 +1.1
  Nov 19, 2021 260   @ Pacific W 73-64 60%     1 - 1 +6.3 +0.5 +5.8
  Nov 22, 2021 143   UC Riverside L 40-52 55%     1 - 2 -13.3 -27.2 +13.0
  Nov 24, 2021 320   Florida A&M W 67-53 88%     2 - 2 +1.4 -8.2 +10.0
  Dec 03, 2021 93   New Mexico St. L 69-72 36%     2 - 3 +0.7 +3.8 -3.4
  Dec 07, 2021 7   @ Kansas L 52-78 4%     2 - 4 -5.6 -13.0 +7.4
  Dec 12, 2021 193   @ New Mexico W 77-69 45%     3 - 4 +9.1 -0.2 +9.0
  Dec 16, 2021 323   McNeese St. W 82-72 88%     4 - 4 -2.8 +1.3 -4.2
  Dec 21, 2021 327   NC Central W 70-61 89%     5 - 4 -4.5 +2.7 -5.9
  Dec 22, 2021 117   Bradley L 66-73 46%     5 - 5 -6.0 -3.4 -2.9
  Dec 30, 2021 50   @ UAB L 62-75 13%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -1.0 -4.4 +3.2
  Jan 06, 2022 82   Louisiana Tech L 52-64 33%     5 - 7 0 - 2 -7.4 -19.8 +12.7
  Jan 08, 2022 309   Southern Miss W 87-54 85%     6 - 7 1 - 2 +22.0 +14.4 +9.0
  Jan 13, 2022 195   @ Charlotte L 53-66 46%     6 - 8 1 - 3 -12.0 -20.8 +8.8
  Jan 15, 2022 184   @ Old Dominion W 78-70 OT 43%     7 - 8 2 - 3 +9.6 -0.5 +9.5
  Jan 20, 2022 318   Texas San Antonio W 74-62 88%    
  Jan 23, 2022 318   @ Texas San Antonio W 72-65 73%    
  Jan 27, 2022 151   Florida Atlantic W 69-67 58%    
  Jan 29, 2022 252   Florida International W 68-61 77%    
  Feb 03, 2022 83   @ North Texas L 54-64 17%    
  Feb 05, 2022 167   @ Rice L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 13, 2022 200   Marshall W 76-72 66%    
  Feb 17, 2022 82   @ Louisiana Tech L 63-73 18%    
  Feb 19, 2022 309   @ Southern Miss W 68-62 70%    
  Feb 26, 2022 50   UAB L 65-72 27%    
  Mar 03, 2022 167   Rice W 73-70 61%    
  Mar 05, 2022 83   North Texas L 57-62 35%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 1.2 0.2 2.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.1 3.3 0.9 0.0 6.6 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 6.4 2.8 0.2 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 2.2 8.1 4.7 0.4 0.0 15.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 7.1 7.2 1.1 0.0 16.4 7th
8th 0.4 5.4 8.3 2.1 0.0 16.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 3.3 7.4 2.8 0.2 14.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 4.8 2.8 0.2 9.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 4.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 1.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.5 4.5 10.2 16.9 20.8 20.4 14.6 7.5 2.7 0.6 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 51.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 9.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 20.7% 20.7% 12.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.6% 12.4% 12.4% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-6 2.7% 7.9% 7.9% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.5
11-7 7.5% 4.6% 4.6% 13.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 7.2
10-8 14.6% 2.4% 2.4% 13.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 14.2
9-9 20.4% 1.7% 1.7% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 20.0
8-10 20.8% 1.1% 1.1% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 20.6
7-11 16.9% 0.6% 0.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 16.8
6-12 10.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.2
5-13 4.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.4
4-14 1.5% 1.5
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 98.3 0.0%