Seattle
Western Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#160
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#152
Pace72.8#73
Improvement+2.4#73

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#196
First Shot-0.3#185
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#214
Layup/Dunks-3.6#307
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#270
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#24
Freethrows-0.6#234
Improvement+0.2#165

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#143
First Shot+1.5#128
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#223
Layups/Dunks+0.7#157
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#170
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#51
Freethrows-2.9#330
Improvement+2.2#65
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 11.6% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.2 14.6
.500 or above 98.9% 99.8% 98.4%
.500 or above in Conference 96.1% 98.9% 94.6%
Conference Champion 16.5% 27.6% 10.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round8.3% 11.6% 6.5%
Second Round0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Abilene Christian (Away) - 34.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 33 - 34 - 8
Quad 415 - 319 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 277   Alcorn St. W 69-66 81%     1 - 0 -6.1 -9.8 +3.6
  Nov 12, 2021 52   @ Washington St. L 61-79 14%     1 - 1 -6.3 -0.3 -7.2
  Nov 14, 2021 336   Idaho St. W 77-51 90%     2 - 1 +11.9 +3.2 +9.9
  Nov 18, 2021 326   Morgan St. W 93-80 89%     3 - 1 -0.4 +6.8 -8.2
  Nov 22, 2021 356   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 77-56 97%     4 - 1 -0.6 -8.7 +7.7
  Nov 27, 2021 288   St. Thomas W 81-64 83%     5 - 1 +7.0 +2.2 +5.8
  Dec 01, 2021 323   McNeese St. W 78-62 88%     6 - 1 +3.2 -7.2 +9.2
  Dec 05, 2021 197   VMI L 82-89 66%     6 - 2 -11.0 -3.4 -7.0
  Dec 08, 2021 108   UNLV L 56-76 34%     6 - 3 -15.7 -11.3 -5.5
  Dec 12, 2021 247   UC San Diego W 73-51 76%     7 - 3 +14.9 +0.2 +15.7
  Dec 18, 2021 130   @ Washington L 56-64 32%     7 - 4 -3.1 -15.6 +13.0
  Jan 06, 2022 350   @ Chicago St. W 93-77 87%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +4.0 +15.6 -11.6
  Jan 12, 2022 128   Utah Valley W 71-65 51%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +6.0 -3.0 +8.9
  Jan 15, 2022 297   Dixie St. W 79-68 84%     10 - 4 3 - 0 +0.6 -7.8 +7.2
  Jan 17, 2022 236   @ California Baptist W 92-85 OT 57%     11 - 4 4 - 0 +5.5 -0.2 +4.3
  Jan 20, 2022 141   @ Abilene Christian L 68-72 34%    
  Jan 22, 2022 171   @ Tarleton St. L 64-66 40%    
  Jan 26, 2022 162   Stephen F. Austin W 73-70 61%    
  Jan 29, 2022 212   Sam Houston St. W 72-67 69%    
  Feb 03, 2022 96   @ Grand Canyon L 64-72 21%    
  Feb 05, 2022 93   @ New Mexico St. L 67-75 21%    
  Feb 10, 2022 276   UT Rio Grande Valley W 82-73 82%    
  Feb 12, 2022 335   Lamar W 78-64 91%    
  Feb 16, 2022 276   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-75 64%    
  Feb 19, 2022 236   California Baptist W 76-69 75%    
  Feb 21, 2022 93   New Mexico St. L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 24, 2022 128   @ Utah Valley L 67-72 32%    
  Feb 26, 2022 297   @ Dixie St. W 80-74 67%    
  Mar 05, 2022 350   Chicago St. W 78-61 95%    
Projected Record 19 - 10 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 2.5 5.9 5.2 2.1 0.5 0.1 16.5 1st
2nd 0.1 3.6 9.3 5.5 0.9 0.0 19.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.2 9.6 5.1 0.5 17.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 6.9 6.1 0.5 0.0 14.4 4th
5th 0.3 3.8 6.7 0.8 0.0 11.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 5.1 1.8 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.0 2.5 0.2 6.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.9 0.3 3.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.8 6.9 12.6 17.9 20.3 17.5 12.0 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 97.8% 2.1    1.9 0.2
15-3 84.9% 5.2    3.5 1.6 0.1
14-4 49.5% 5.9    2.2 2.7 1.0 0.1
13-5 14.4% 2.5    0.3 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.1
12-6 1.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.5% 16.5 8.5 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 44.4% 44.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.5% 30.2% 30.2% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 2.1% 25.0% 25.0% 13.5 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.6
15-3 6.2% 20.1% 20.1% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.9
14-4 12.0% 15.5% 15.5% 14.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.5 0.0 10.1
13-5 17.5% 11.9% 11.9% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.1 15.4
12-6 20.3% 6.5% 6.5% 14.8 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 19.0
11-7 17.9% 3.5% 3.5% 15.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 17.3
10-8 12.6% 3.2% 3.2% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 12.2
9-9 6.9% 0.9% 0.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 6.8
8-10 2.8% 2.8
7-11 0.9% 0.9
6-12 0.2% 0.2
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.3% 8.3% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.4 3.0 0.7 91.7 0.0%