Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.0#338
Expected Predictive Rating-15.3#341
Pace75.2#47
Improvement+1.0#125

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#280
First Shot-1.9#241
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#315
Layup/Dunks-4.9#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#37
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#144
Freethrows-0.9#257
Improvement+0.9#125

Defense
Total Defense-8.1#347
First Shot-7.4#349
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#242
Layups/Dunks-4.0#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#43
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#290
Freethrows-2.8#327
Improvement+0.2#172
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 1.5% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 23.5% 10.8% 29.0%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Denver (Away) - 30.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 30 - 80 - 14
Quad 44 - 105 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 242   @ Ball St. L 69-73 17%     0 - 1 -6.0 -4.9 -1.2
  Nov 17, 2021 55   @ Kansas St. L 64-79 3%     0 - 2 -3.6 -0.2 -3.4
  Nov 20, 2021 178   @ Montana L 47-68 10%     0 - 3 -19.1 -20.5 -0.6
  Nov 23, 2021 14   @ Texas Tech L 40-96 1%     0 - 4 -38.1 -18.9 -21.7
  Nov 26, 2021 4   @ Purdue L 40-97 1%     0 - 5 -35.3 -24.0 -14.2
  Nov 30, 2021 273   SIU Edwardsville L 65-75 38%     0 - 6 -18.9 -11.9 -6.9
  Dec 04, 2021 222   Eastern Washington L 81-92 26%     0 - 7 -16.4 +3.0 -19.2
  Dec 08, 2021 106   Drake L 70-78 10%     0 - 8 -6.0 -3.3 -2.7
  Dec 11, 2021 251   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 73-87 32%     0 - 9 -21.3 -10.7 -9.0
  Dec 15, 2021 108   @ UNLV L 71-84 5%     0 - 10 -6.2 +1.6 -7.7
  Dec 20, 2021 288   St. Thomas L 73-80 42%     0 - 11 0 - 1 -17.0 +0.6 -18.7
  Dec 22, 2021 213   Western Illinois W 84-78 25%     1 - 11 1 - 1 +1.2 +3.5 -2.6
  Jan 01, 2022 120   @ Oral Roberts L 62-107 6%     1 - 12 1 - 2 -39.3 -21.9 -9.1
  Jan 06, 2022 347   North Dakota W 98-82 66%     2 - 12 2 - 2 -0.4 +10.7 -11.6
  Jan 08, 2022 188   North Dakota St. L 67-71 21%     2 - 13 2 - 3 -7.6 -16.3 +9.2
  Jan 10, 2022 265   @ UMKC L 61-64 20%     2 - 14 2 - 4 -6.0 -14.7 +8.9
  Jan 13, 2022 98   South Dakota St. L 86-95 8%     2 - 15 2 - 5 -5.7 +6.2 -11.7
  Jan 15, 2022 234   @ South Dakota L 70-105 16%     2 - 16 2 - 6 -36.5 -6.3 -29.6
  Jan 22, 2022 317   @ Denver L 73-78 30%    
  Jan 27, 2022 120   Oral Roberts L 75-88 12%    
  Jan 29, 2022 265   UMKC L 68-72 38%    
  Feb 03, 2022 188   @ North Dakota St. L 68-81 10%    
  Feb 05, 2022 347   @ North Dakota L 77-78 46%    
  Feb 10, 2022 234   South Dakota L 73-79 31%    
  Feb 12, 2022 98   @ South Dakota St. L 75-95 3%    
  Feb 19, 2022 317   Denver L 75-76 52%    
  Feb 24, 2022 213   @ Western Illinois L 75-87 12%    
  Feb 26, 2022 288   @ St. Thomas L 75-82 24%    
Projected Record 5 - 23 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.7 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 2.7 0.8 0.0 4.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 6.2 3.0 0.1 10.7 7th
8th 0.1 2.9 11.1 6.7 0.6 21.4 8th
9th 2.2 12.5 21.9 11.6 1.5 0.0 49.8 9th
10th 3.7 5.3 2.1 0.2 11.3 10th
Total 5.8 17.9 27.0 24.3 15.4 6.8 2.1 0.5 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.1% 0.1
9-9 0.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4
8-10 2.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.1
7-11 6.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.8
6-12 15.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.4
5-13 24.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 24.3
4-14 27.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 27.0
3-15 17.9% 17.9
2-16 5.8% 5.8
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.8%