UMKC
Summit League
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#265
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#252
Pace65.6#273
Improvement-2.8#295

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#328
First Shot-1.8#239
After Offensive Rebound-4.3#356
Layup/Dunks+3.9#52
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#353
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#174
Freethrows-1.5#291
Improvement-5.1#356

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#149
First Shot-1.7#240
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#25
Layups/Dunks-3.2#293
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#33
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#28
Freethrows-5.2#355
Improvement+2.3#49
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.6% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 19.8% 31.3% 10.5%
.500 or above in Conference 44.5% 60.5% 31.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.5% 2.8%
First Four1.2% 1.2% 1.2%
First Round1.5% 2.0% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota St. (Home) - 44.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 32 - 63 - 10
Quad 49 - 612 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 91   @ Minnesota L 56-71 10%     0 - 1 -6.2 -7.8 +0.4
  Nov 12, 2021 21   @ Iowa L 57-89 4%     0 - 2 -16.3 -14.1 -1.0
  Nov 15, 2021 126   @ Missouri W 80-66 16%     1 - 2 +19.1 +6.8 +11.6
  Nov 22, 2021 336   @ Idaho St. W 74-58 64%     2 - 2 +6.9 +10.4 -1.0
  Nov 27, 2021 145   Morehead St. L 62-70 26%     2 - 3 -6.9 -1.3 -6.8
  Nov 28, 2021 194   @ Arkansas St. L 55-66 26%     2 - 4 -9.9 -11.8 +0.6
  Dec 10, 2021 321   Green Bay W 64-55 75%     3 - 4 -3.7 -10.8 +7.9
  Dec 12, 2021 273   @ SIU Edwardsville L 56-60 44%     3 - 5 -7.9 -16.2 +8.2
  Dec 20, 2021 98   @ South Dakota St. L 57-89 10%     3 - 6 0 - 1 -23.7 -21.4 -0.2
  Dec 22, 2021 234   @ South Dakota W 68-57 35%     4 - 6 1 - 1 +9.5 +2.5 +8.6
  Jan 10, 2022 338   Nebraska Omaha W 64-61 80%     5 - 6 2 - 1 -11.5 -23.2 +11.4
  Jan 15, 2022 120   Oral Roberts L 72-84 27%     5 - 7 2 - 2 -11.3 -4.1 -7.0
  Jan 17, 2022 317   Denver L 55-63 73%     5 - 8 2 - 3 -19.9 -22.8 +2.7
  Jan 20, 2022 188   North Dakota St. L 63-65 45%    
  Jan 22, 2022 347   North Dakota W 73-62 86%    
  Jan 27, 2022 317   @ Denver W 66-65 53%    
  Jan 29, 2022 338   @ Nebraska Omaha W 72-68 62%    
  Jan 31, 2022 213   @ Western Illinois L 66-72 28%    
  Feb 03, 2022 288   St. Thomas W 71-67 68%    
  Feb 05, 2022 213   Western Illinois L 69-70 49%    
  Feb 08, 2022 288   @ St. Thomas L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 12, 2022 120   @ Oral Roberts L 65-76 14%    
  Feb 17, 2022 347   @ North Dakota W 71-65 69%    
  Feb 19, 2022 188   @ North Dakota St. L 61-68 24%    
  Feb 24, 2022 234   South Dakota W 66-65 56%    
  Feb 26, 2022 98   South Dakota St. L 70-79 22%    
Projected Record 11 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 5.6 6.1 3.3 0.8 0.1 17.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.7 8.1 6.9 1.3 0.1 18.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 7.9 7.3 1.1 0.0 17.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 7.3 8.1 1.2 0.0 17.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 5.3 6.7 1.3 0.0 14.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.9 4.7 0.9 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.3 1.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.6 2.3 6.0 11.3 16.3 19.0 18.0 13.6 7.6 3.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 38.5% 0.0    0.0
14-4 4.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 1.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.3% 13.6% 13.6% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 1.1% 8.7% 8.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0
12-6 3.8% 7.1% 7.1% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.5
11-7 7.6% 3.7% 3.7% 15.7 0.1 0.2 7.3
10-8 13.6% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.1 0.3 13.2
9-9 18.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.4 17.6
8-10 19.0% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.3 18.7
7-11 16.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 16.1
6-12 11.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 11.2
5-13 6.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.9
4-14 2.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.3
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.4 1.7 97.9 0.0%