Mississippi
Southeastern
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.3#109
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#127
Pace65.2#284
Improvement-2.5#285

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#178
First Shot+0.3#166
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#211
Layup/Dunks+0.0#163
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#61
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#217
Freethrows-1.1#265
Improvement+0.4#153

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#68
First Shot+2.1#111
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#29
Layups/Dunks-0.2#192
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#307
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#58
Freethrows+1.0#106
Improvement-2.9#329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 1.1% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Average Seed 10.6 10.5 10.8
.500 or above 16.8% 33.2% 12.3%
.500 or above in Conference 3.2% 8.8% 1.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 12.5% 5.0% 14.5%
First Four0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round0.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi St. (Away) - 21.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 10
Quad 24 - 45 - 14
Quad 34 - 38 - 17
Quad 46 - 114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 281   New Orleans W 82-61 90%     1 - 0 +11.5 +1.5 +9.1
  Nov 12, 2021 351   Charleston Southern W 93-68 97%     2 - 0 +7.5 +2.5 +2.4
  Nov 18, 2021 37   Marquette L 72-78 27%     2 - 1 +4.7 +6.9 -2.3
  Nov 19, 2021 232   Elon W 74-56 78%     3 - 1 +14.2 -5.0 +18.4
  Nov 21, 2021 54   Boise St. L 50-60 32%     3 - 2 -0.9 -13.7 +12.4
  Nov 26, 2021 357   Mississippi Valley W 73-58 99%     4 - 2 -9.0 -3.3 -3.8
  Nov 30, 2021 291   Rider W 75-51 91%     5 - 2 +13.8 -1.9 +15.6
  Dec 04, 2021 41   Memphis W 67-63 36%     6 - 2 +12.0 -4.7 +16.6
  Dec 11, 2021 112   Western Kentucky L 48-71 51%     6 - 3 -18.8 -20.5 +0.4
  Dec 15, 2021 159   Middle Tennessee W 62-52 74%     7 - 3 +7.7 -10.2 +17.8
  Dec 18, 2021 72   Dayton W 76-68 47%     8 - 3 +13.0 +5.5 +7.4
  Dec 21, 2021 237   Samford L 73-75 85%     8 - 4 -8.6 -0.3 -8.4
  Jan 05, 2022 15   @ Tennessee L 60-66 OT 12%     8 - 5 0 - 1 +11.1 -6.2 +17.7
  Jan 08, 2022 48   Mississippi St. W 82-72 38%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +17.4 +11.5 +6.0
  Jan 11, 2022 60   @ Texas A&M L 51-67 26%     9 - 6 1 - 2 -5.0 -8.6 +1.6
  Jan 15, 2022 8   Auburn L 71-80 15%     9 - 7 1 - 3 +6.3 +11.2 -5.6
  Jan 18, 2022 126   Missouri L 53-78 66%     9 - 8 1 - 4 -24.9 -14.3 -12.8
  Jan 22, 2022 48   @ Mississippi St. L 62-70 21%    
  Jan 24, 2022 35   Florida L 64-69 35%    
  Jan 26, 2022 31   Arkansas L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 29, 2022 55   Kansas St. L 61-63 44%    
  Feb 01, 2022 13   @ LSU L 56-71 8%    
  Feb 05, 2022 35   @ Florida L 62-72 17%    
  Feb 09, 2022 16   Alabama L 68-76 25%    
  Feb 12, 2022 126   @ Missouri L 65-66 45%    
  Feb 15, 2022 113   South Carolina W 67-64 62%    
  Feb 19, 2022 201   @ Georgia W 71-68 61%    
  Feb 23, 2022 8   @ Auburn L 61-77 6%    
  Feb 26, 2022 60   Texas A&M L 63-65 45%    
  Mar 01, 2022 3   @ Kentucky L 60-77 5%    
  Mar 05, 2022 85   Vanderbilt W 65-64 52%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 4th
5th 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 0.9 0.1 2.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 2.7 0.5 0.0 4.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.0 2.2 0.1 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 5.9 5.6 0.7 0.0 13.4 10th
11th 0.0 1.4 7.9 9.0 1.6 0.0 19.9 11th
12th 0.0 1.4 8.5 10.4 2.7 0.1 23.2 12th
13th 0.2 2.7 9.0 8.7 2.6 0.2 23.3 13th
14th 0.8 2.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 5.3 14th
Total 1.0 5.0 12.3 18.8 22.0 18.6 12.3 6.8 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 58.9% 2.8% 56.1% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 57.7%
10-8 0.7% 14.6% 1.1% 13.5% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 13.6%
9-9 2.3% 3.8% 0.3% 3.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 3.6%
8-10 6.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.8 0.1%
7-11 12.3% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 12.3
6-12 18.6% 18.6
5-13 22.0% 22.0
4-14 18.8% 18.8
3-15 12.3% 12.3
2-16 5.0% 5.0
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.6 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%