South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.1#113
Expected Predictive Rating+6.8#85
Pace76.1#30
Improvement-1.5#242

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#214
First Shot-6.6#335
After Offensive Rebound+5.3#1
Layup/Dunks-3.0#291
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#51
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#298
Freethrows-2.3#325
Improvement+0.4#152

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#47
First Shot+5.9#29
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#211
Layups/Dunks+4.9#26
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#155
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#43
Freethrows-3.1#333
Improvement-2.0#286
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.0% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.5% 1.9% 0.2%
Average Seed 10.5 10.4 11.0
.500 or above 29.7% 34.5% 11.5%
.500 or above in Conference 5.3% 6.4% 1.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.5% 5.2% 30.8%
First Four0.7% 0.9% 0.1%
First Round1.1% 1.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia (Home) - 79.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 10
Quad 23 - 35 - 13
Quad 34 - 39 - 16
Quad 45 - 014 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 311   South Carolina Upstate W 78-60 92%     1 - 0 +6.9 -13.5 +17.8
  Nov 12, 2021 144   Princeton L 62-66 62%     1 - 1 -2.9 -11.1 +8.1
  Nov 14, 2021 112   Western Kentucky W 75-64 50%     2 - 1 +15.2 -2.8 +17.0
  Nov 18, 2021 50   UAB W 66-63 39%     3 - 1 +10.0 -6.9 +16.7
  Nov 23, 2021 115   Wofford W 85-74 61%     4 - 1 +12.2 +8.9 +3.1
  Nov 28, 2021 291   Rider W 65-58 90%     5 - 1 -3.2 -7.6 +4.8
  Dec 01, 2021 173   @ Coastal Carolina L 56-80 58%     5 - 2 -21.9 -18.7 -2.4
  Dec 05, 2021 155   Georgetown W 80-67 72%     6 - 2 +11.0 -0.6 +10.7
  Dec 12, 2021 42   Florida St. W 66-65 27%     7 - 2 +11.4 -2.3 +13.6
  Dec 18, 2021 68   @ Clemson L 56-70 27%     7 - 3 -3.5 -14.0 +10.9
  Dec 22, 2021 266   Army W 105-75 87%     8 - 3 +22.0 +17.6 +1.2
  Jan 04, 2022 8   Auburn L 66-81 15%     8 - 4 0 - 1 +0.3 -3.1 +4.1
  Jan 08, 2022 85   @ Vanderbilt W 72-70 31%     9 - 4 1 - 1 +11.2 +1.4 +9.8
  Jan 11, 2022 15   @ Tennessee L 46-66 12%     9 - 5 1 - 2 -2.9 -15.6 +12.6
  Jan 15, 2022 35   Florida L 63-71 32%     9 - 6 1 - 3 +1.0 -0.3 +0.5
  Jan 18, 2022 31   @ Arkansas L 59-75 17%     9 - 7 1 - 4 -1.6 -8.8 +7.8
  Jan 22, 2022 201   Georgia W 78-70 79%    
  Jan 26, 2022 85   Vanderbilt L 68-69 52%    
  Jan 29, 2022 60   @ Texas A&M L 64-71 24%    
  Feb 01, 2022 48   @ Mississippi St. L 66-74 20%    
  Feb 05, 2022 15   Tennessee L 64-72 25%    
  Feb 08, 2022 3   Kentucky L 66-79 13%    
  Feb 12, 2022 201   @ Georgia W 76-73 60%    
  Feb 15, 2022 109   @ Mississippi L 64-67 38%    
  Feb 19, 2022 13   LSU L 63-73 19%    
  Feb 23, 2022 48   Mississippi St. L 68-71 39%    
  Feb 26, 2022 16   @ Alabama L 70-83 11%    
  Mar 01, 2022 126   Missouri W 72-68 66%    
  Mar 05, 2022 8   @ Auburn L 66-82 7%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 1.4 0.2 0.0 2.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.1 1.1 0.0 5.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.8 3.0 0.2 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 6.9 7.1 0.9 0.0 16.1 10th
11th 0.0 1.4 8.4 9.7 2.3 0.1 21.7 11th
12th 0.0 1.2 7.6 10.0 2.7 0.1 21.7 12th
13th 1.0 6.0 7.5 2.4 0.1 16.9 13th
14th 0.5 2.0 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.6 14th
Total 0.5 3.0 8.9 16.9 21.9 20.2 15.1 8.3 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 100.0% 7.0% 93.0% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7 0.3% 75.1% 1.7% 73.4% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 74.7%
10-8 1.2% 37.5% 1.0% 36.5% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.8 36.9%
9-9 3.6% 14.4% 0.1% 14.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.1 14.3%
8-10 8.3% 2.6% 0.1% 2.5% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.0 2.5%
7-11 15.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 15.1 0.2%
6-12 20.2% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 20.2
5-13 21.9% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 21.9
4-14 16.9% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 16.9
3-15 8.9% 8.9
2-16 3.0% 3.0
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18
Total 100% 1.6% 0.1% 1.5% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 98.4 1.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%