SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#273
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#269
Pace70.4#130
Improvement+2.6#68

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#301
First Shot-7.3#341
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#25
Layup/Dunks+0.9#140
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#251
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#341
Freethrows-0.3#201
Improvement+0.7#132

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#228
First Shot+1.2#141
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#349
Layups/Dunks-0.1#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#46
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#62
Freethrows-3.7#345
Improvement+1.9#74
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 16.4% 27.3% 8.2%
.500 or above in Conference 47.2% 63.6% 34.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 0.6% 2.9%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee Tech (Away) - 42.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 31 - 31 - 10
Quad 412 - 713 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 37   @ Marquette L 77-88 4%     0 - 1 +2.2 -0.2 +4.1
  Nov 12, 2021 350   @ Chicago St. L 56-67 70%     0 - 2 -23.0 -17.4 -6.3
  Nov 19, 2021 207   Niagara L 60-70 34%     0 - 3 -12.1 -7.5 -5.6
  Nov 20, 2021 250   @ Youngstown St. W 69-66 34%     1 - 3 +0.8 -5.6 +6.4
  Nov 21, 2021 288   St. Thomas L 73-86 54%     1 - 4 -20.5 -4.2 -17.2
  Nov 27, 2021 45   @ Creighton L 65-70 5%     1 - 5 +7.7 +0.2 +7.4
  Nov 30, 2021 338   @ Nebraska Omaha W 75-65 62%     2 - 5 +0.5 -5.9 +6.2
  Dec 04, 2021 117   @ Bradley L 55-80 13%     2 - 6 -19.0 -18.0 +0.6
  Dec 08, 2021 261   Purdue Fort Wayne W 80-59 55%     3 - 6 +13.2 +2.1 +10.9
  Dec 12, 2021 265   UMKC W 60-56 56%     4 - 6 -4.0 -12.2 +8.2
  Dec 21, 2021 149   @ South Alabama L 69-84 18%     4 - 7 -11.7 -6.2 -4.5
  Jan 08, 2022 51   Murray St. L 69-74 11%     4 - 8 0 - 1 +1.8 +4.9 -3.6
  Jan 13, 2022 352   @ Eastern Illinois W 66-53 74%     5 - 8 1 - 1 +0.0 -6.3 +6.8
  Jan 17, 2022 62   Belmont L 64-80 13%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -10.2 -10.7 +1.4
  Jan 20, 2022 290   @ Tennessee Tech L 69-70 43%    
  Jan 22, 2022 145   @ Morehead St. L 62-72 16%    
  Jan 24, 2022 324   @ Tennessee Martin W 73-71 54%    
  Jan 27, 2022 308   Tennessee St. W 74-69 68%    
  Jan 29, 2022 316   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 77-76 49%    
  Jan 31, 2022 314   @ Austin Peay L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 03, 2022 352   Eastern Illinois W 70-58 87%    
  Feb 05, 2022 51   @ Murray St. L 60-78 4%    
  Feb 07, 2022 316   Southeast Missouri St. W 79-74 70%    
  Feb 10, 2022 324   Tennessee Martin W 75-68 74%    
  Feb 12, 2022 290   Tennessee Tech W 72-68 65%    
  Feb 17, 2022 308   @ Tennessee St. L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 19, 2022 62   @ Belmont L 65-82 5%    
  Feb 24, 2022 314   Austin Peay W 71-66 68%    
  Feb 26, 2022 145   Morehead St. L 64-69 35%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.1 2.0 1.2 0.2 6.8 3rd
4th 0.8 6.3 13.6 12.4 6.9 2.0 0.2 0.0 42.2 4th
5th 0.3 5.0 8.8 4.1 0.7 0.0 18.9 5th
6th 0.0 2.4 7.5 2.5 0.2 0.0 12.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.0 2.3 0.1 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.0 2.3 0.2 0.0 6.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.5 0.2 3.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.4 5.5 10.3 15.8 17.7 18.2 14.1 9.0 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 38.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 14.3% 14.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.3% 6.3% 6.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 1.4
12-6 4.0% 2.5% 2.5% 15.6 0.0 0.1 3.9
11-7 9.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 8.9
10-8 14.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 14.1
9-9 18.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 18.2
8-10 17.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 17.7
7-11 15.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.8
6-12 10.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.3
5-13 5.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.5
4-14 2.4% 2.4
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.8 0.1 0.4 99.5 0.0%