Missouri
Southeastern
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#126
Expected Predictive Rating+3.9#113
Pace69.6#150
Improvement+6.4#5

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#165
First Shot-0.8#208
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#83
Layup/Dunks+3.0#72
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#112
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#331
Freethrows+0.5#143
Improvement+4.2#13

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#107
First Shot+3.7#64
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#303
Layups/Dunks+2.2#99
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#220
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#190
Freethrows+2.2#47
Improvement+2.2#56
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.9% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.2 10.7 11.8
.500 or above 1.5% 6.1% 1.1%
.500 or above in Conference 3.2% 13.0% 2.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.9% 2.4% 9.5%
First Four0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama (Away) - 8.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 12
Quad 23 - 55 - 17
Quad 32 - 27 - 18
Quad 44 - 111 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 333   Central Michigan W 78-68 93%     1 - 0 -3.9 -3.0 -0.7
  Nov 15, 2021 265   UMKC L 66-80 84%     1 - 1 -22.0 -10.5 -10.8
  Nov 18, 2021 295   Northern Illinois W 54-37 88%     2 - 1 +6.6 -12.4 +21.5
  Nov 21, 2021 63   SMU W 80-75 OT 29%     3 - 1 +13.2 +0.0 +12.6
  Nov 22, 2021 42   Florida St. L 58-81 23%     3 - 2 -12.6 -6.8 -6.7
  Nov 26, 2021 87   Wichita St. L 55-61 44%     3 - 3 -1.9 -12.1 +10.1
  Dec 02, 2021 104   @ Liberty L 45-66 33%     3 - 4 -14.0 -19.1 +2.3
  Dec 07, 2021 352   Eastern Illinois W 72-44 96%     4 - 4 +10.0 -0.2 +12.3
  Dec 11, 2021 7   @ Kansas L 65-102 6%     4 - 5 -16.6 -1.8 -13.7
  Dec 18, 2021 111   Utah W 83-75 53%     5 - 5 +9.7 +9.6 +0.1
  Dec 22, 2021 11   Illinois L 63-88 10%     5 - 6 -8.3 -4.3 -3.6
  Dec 29, 2021 3   @ Kentucky L 56-83 5%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -5.3 -12.0 +8.9
  Jan 08, 2022 16   Alabama W 92-86 19%     6 - 7 1 - 1 +18.0 +22.9 -5.0
  Jan 12, 2022 31   @ Arkansas L 43-87 14%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -29.6 -24.2 -3.8
  Jan 15, 2022 60   Texas A&M L 64-67 37%     6 - 9 1 - 3 +3.0 -6.0 +9.1
  Jan 18, 2022 109   @ Mississippi W 78-53 34%     7 - 9 2 - 3 +31.8 +17.6 +16.4
  Jan 22, 2022 16   @ Alabama L 69-83 8%    
  Jan 25, 2022 8   Auburn L 66-79 13%    
  Jan 29, 2022 36   @ Iowa St. L 61-72 14%    
  Feb 02, 2022 35   Florida L 67-73 29%    
  Feb 05, 2022 60   @ Texas A&M L 63-71 20%    
  Feb 08, 2022 85   @ Vanderbilt L 64-71 25%    
  Feb 12, 2022 109   Mississippi W 66-65 55%    
  Feb 15, 2022 31   Arkansas L 71-78 28%    
  Feb 19, 2022 48   @ Mississippi St. L 64-74 17%    
  Feb 22, 2022 15   Tennessee L 63-72 20%    
  Feb 26, 2022 13   @ LSU L 59-76 6%    
  Mar 01, 2022 113   @ South Carolina L 68-72 34%    
  Mar 05, 2022 201   Georgia W 77-70 74%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 5 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 4th
5th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.1 1.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 2.2 0.5 0.0 3.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.8 2.2 0.1 6.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 6.3 5.9 0.6 0.0 14.1 10th
11th 0.0 1.6 9.1 10.1 2.0 0.0 22.9 11th
12th 0.0 1.1 9.0 11.5 3.3 0.2 25.2 12th
13th 0.9 7.2 9.5 3.0 0.2 20.7 13th
14th 1.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.2 14th
Total 2.3 9.8 20.5 24.8 20.7 12.7 6.0 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 25.6% 25.6% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 25.6%
10-8 0.7% 5.1% 5.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.1%
9-9 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 2.3 0.8%
8-10 6.0% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 6.0
7-11 12.7% 0.1% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 12.7
6-12 20.7% 20.7
5-13 24.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 24.8
4-14 20.5% 20.5
3-15 9.8% 9.8
2-16 2.3% 2.3
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.0%