VMI
Southern
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#197
Expected Predictive Rating-1.8#198
Pace71.1#115
Improvement+2.1#83

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#93
First Shot+3.8#68
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#234
Layup/Dunks-0.7#192
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#340
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.9#4
Freethrows-0.7#237
Improvement+3.2#28

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#313
First Shot-4.3#309
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#204
Layups/Dunks+3.2#65
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#296
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#346
Freethrows-0.4#225
Improvement-1.1#244
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 5.1% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 45.6% 54.3% 25.2%
.500 or above in Conference 63.9% 72.9% 42.8%
Conference Champion 2.6% 3.4% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.3% 2.6%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round4.4% 4.9% 3.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Samford (Home) - 69.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 35 - 66 - 10
Quad 48 - 514 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 299   @ Presbyterian L 72-73 OT 65%     0 - 1 -6.5 -0.7 -5.8
  Nov 20, 2021 177   @ Marist L 74-78 OT 37%     0 - 2 -2.1 -0.4 -1.5
  Nov 24, 2021 299   Presbyterian L 54-59 73%     0 - 3 -13.0 -14.9 +1.3
  Nov 25, 2021 329   Central Arkansas W 73-67 82%     1 - 3 -5.1 -8.1 +2.9
  Nov 26, 2021 281   @ New Orleans L 71-79 61%     1 - 4 -12.4 -1.7 -10.9
  Dec 03, 2021 245   @ Portland W 90-82 52%     2 - 4 +5.9 +15.6 -9.7
  Dec 05, 2021 160   @ Seattle W 89-82 34%     3 - 4 +9.7 +11.1 -1.9
  Dec 11, 2021 223   Gardner-Webb W 64-61 65%     4 - 4 -2.4 -10.8 +8.3
  Dec 14, 2021 49   @ Wake Forest L 70-77 10%     4 - 5 +5.4 +1.6 +3.9
  Dec 29, 2021 115   @ Wofford W 80-73 23%     5 - 5 1 - 0 +13.3 +8.5 +4.8
  Jan 01, 2022 102   Furman W 76-67 35%     6 - 5 2 - 0 +11.4 +9.0 +3.2
  Jan 05, 2022 174   @ East Tennessee St. L 79-80 36%     6 - 6 2 - 1 +1.1 +5.2 -4.1
  Jan 08, 2022 175   UNC Greensboro L 56-72 56%     6 - 7 2 - 2 -19.0 -11.1 -9.1
  Jan 13, 2022 196   @ Mercer L 91-97 40%     6 - 8 2 - 3 -5.0 +17.7 -22.7
  Jan 15, 2022 283   @ The Citadel W 90-85 62%     7 - 8 3 - 3 +0.5 +4.7 -4.7
  Jan 20, 2022 237   Samford W 84-79 70%    
  Jan 22, 2022 100   Chattanooga L 72-76 36%    
  Jan 26, 2022 102   @ Furman L 71-80 19%    
  Jan 29, 2022 174   East Tennessee St. W 75-74 58%    
  Feb 02, 2022 175   @ UNC Greensboro L 65-68 36%    
  Feb 04, 2022 312   Western Carolina W 84-74 83%    
  Feb 10, 2022 196   Mercer W 77-75 61%    
  Feb 12, 2022 283   The Citadel W 84-76 79%    
  Feb 17, 2022 237   @ Samford W 82-81 49%    
  Feb 19, 2022 100   @ Chattanooga L 69-78 18%    
  Feb 23, 2022 115   Wofford L 73-76 42%    
  Feb 26, 2022 312   @ Western Carolina W 82-77 65%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 3.5 1.2 0.1 6.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 3.3 6.7 2.8 0.1 13.1 3rd
4th 0.3 4.3 9.1 4.2 0.3 18.2 4th
5th 0.3 3.4 10.0 5.8 0.4 20.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.5 8.9 6.0 0.7 0.0 19.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.7 6.4 4.0 0.6 13.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 2.4 1.3 0.1 4.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.8 5.7 11.4 16.7 21.2 19.0 13.3 7.3 2.6 0.5 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 85.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 48.7% 1.3    0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0
12-6 10.1% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 0.7 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.5% 18.2% 18.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 2.6% 13.8% 13.8% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.3
12-6 7.3% 12.3% 12.3% 14.2 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 6.4
11-7 13.3% 7.1% 7.1% 14.6 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.0 12.3
10-8 19.0% 5.0% 5.0% 15.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 18.1
9-9 21.2% 3.7% 3.7% 15.3 0.0 0.5 0.2 20.4
8-10 16.7% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4 16.3
7-11 11.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 11.3
6-12 5.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.7
5-13 1.8% 1.8
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.2 1.0 95.4 0.0%