South Carolina
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.9#92
Expected Predictive Rating+5.9#91
Pace76.8#32
Improvement+2.0#97

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#125
First Shot+0.8#146
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#88
Layup/Dunks-1.7#245
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.7#7
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#293
Freethrows-0.6#214
Improvement+1.6#90

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#78
First Shot+2.4#97
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#54
Layups/Dunks+5.2#25
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#67
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#130
Freethrows-5.5#352
Improvement+0.4#161
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 11.7% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.8% 9.9% 2.5%
Average Seed 10.2 9.9 10.5
.500 or above 62.2% 83.0% 57.7%
.500 or above in Conference 42.0% 66.5% 36.7%
Conference Champion 0.4% 1.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 0.6% 2.5%
First Four1.6% 3.4% 1.2%
First Round3.8% 9.8% 2.6%
Second Round1.3% 3.8% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 1.0% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Auburn (Away) - 17.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b3 - 54 - 8
Quad 24 - 57 - 13
Quad 34 - 111 - 14
Quad 46 - 217 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 289   North Alabama W 77-55 93%     1 - 0 +11.7 -8.1 +17.1
  Nov 10, 2019 281   Wyoming W 66-32 92%     2 - 0 +24.3 -0.5 +29.1
  Nov 15, 2019 313   Cleveland St. W 90-63 94%     3 - 0 +14.9 -0.4 +11.4
  Nov 19, 2019 178   Boston University L 70-78 81%     3 - 1 -11.5 -9.6 -1.5
  Nov 22, 2019 227   Gardner-Webb W 74-69 88%     4 - 1 -1.7 +0.7 -2.2
  Nov 26, 2019 42   Wichita St. L 47-70 32%     4 - 2 -12.1 -18.6 +7.2
  Nov 27, 2019 55   Northern Iowa L 72-78 39%     4 - 3 +2.9 +2.5 +0.3
  Dec 01, 2019 190   George Washington W 74-65 84%     5 - 3 +4.3 +2.1 +2.6
  Dec 04, 2019 201   @ Massachusetts W 84-80 71%     6 - 3 +4.3 +2.0 +1.8
  Dec 08, 2019 28   Houston L 56-76 36%     6 - 4 -10.4 -11.2 -0.1
  Dec 15, 2019 70   @ Clemson W 67-54 33%     7 - 4 +23.4 +1.3 +21.8
  Dec 22, 2019 48   @ Virginia W 70-59 24%     8 - 4 +24.1 +17.7 +7.6
  Dec 30, 2019 316   Stetson L 56-63 94%     8 - 5 -19.2 -20.9 +1.4
  Jan 07, 2020 19   Florida L 68-81 31%     8 - 6 0 - 1 -2.0 -2.8 +1.5
  Jan 11, 2020 52   @ Tennessee L 55-56 27%     8 - 7 0 - 2 +11.3 -11.5 +22.9
  Jan 15, 2020 14   Kentucky W 81-78 28%     9 - 7 1 - 2 +14.8 +7.4 +7.2
  Jan 18, 2020 132   @ Texas A&M W 81-67 53%     10 - 7 2 - 2 +19.1 +17.9 +1.8
  Jan 22, 2020 26   @ Auburn L 69-79 18%    
  Jan 25, 2020 150   Vanderbilt W 79-71 78%    
  Jan 29, 2020 39   @ Arkansas L 69-77 22%    
  Feb 01, 2020 63   Missouri W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 05, 2020 102   @ Mississippi L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 08, 2020 132   Texas A&M W 69-62 73%    
  Feb 12, 2020 73   @ Georgia L 73-77 35%    
  Feb 15, 2020 52   Tennessee L 67-68 48%    
  Feb 19, 2020 43   @ Mississippi St. L 67-75 23%    
  Feb 22, 2020 32   LSU L 77-80 38%    
  Feb 26, 2020 73   Georgia W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 29, 2020 35   @ Alabama L 77-86 21%    
  Mar 03, 2020 43   Mississippi St. L 70-72 43%    
  Mar 07, 2020 150   @ Vanderbilt W 76-74 57%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 1.5 0.4 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.5 1.1 0.1 4.3 4th
5th 0.2 2.9 2.8 0.4 0.0 6.4 5th
6th 0.1 2.4 5.2 1.1 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.6 6.5 3.1 0.1 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 5.9 5.9 0.7 0.0 13.3 8th
9th 0.5 4.7 7.4 1.7 0.0 14.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 3.3 7.6 3.1 0.2 14.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.4 3.6 0.3 0.0 13.3 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 2.9 1.7 0.2 6.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 14th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.8 6.9 12.0 16.9 18.4 16.9 12.6 7.3 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 88.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 46.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 10.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 14.7% 85.3% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.3% 87.3% 10.9% 76.4% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.7%
13-5 1.3% 65.3% 4.8% 60.5% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 63.5%
12-6 3.6% 35.8% 4.2% 31.6% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.1 2.3 33.0%
11-7 7.3% 17.1% 3.2% 13.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 6.0 14.3%
10-8 12.6% 4.9% 1.4% 3.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 12.0 3.5%
9-9 16.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.5% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 16.6 0.6%
8-10 18.4% 0.6% 0.6% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 18.3
7-11 16.9% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.9
6-12 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0
5-13 6.9% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.9
4-14 2.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 2.8
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.8% 1.0% 3.8% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.2 3.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%