Texas A&M
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.2#93
Expected Predictive Rating+5.0#110
Pace69.1#198
Improvement-0.5#258

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#132
First Shot+0.4#157
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#118
Layup/Dunks+6.6#28
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#168
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.1#329
Freethrows+1.0#114
Improvement-1.3#328

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#70
First Shot+4.8#57
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#238
Layups/Dunks+0.7#161
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#281
Freethrows+5.9#5
Improvement+0.7#65
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.6% 1.7% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.2% 11.6% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 10.5% 10.9% 4.6%
Average Seed 9.1 9.0 11.2
.500 or above 33.7% 34.8% 15.5%
.500 or above in Conference 19.4% 19.7% 13.8%
Conference Champion 0.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.4% 26.2% 29.6%
First Four3.0% 3.0% 3.3%
First Round9.4% 9.8% 3.4%
Second Round4.8% 5.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen1.3% 1.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Troy (Home) - 94.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 10
Quad 24 - 56 - 15
Quad 32 - 18 - 16
Quad 45 - 013 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 345   Northwestern St. W 77-63 97%     1 - 0 -3.2 -2.7 -0.5
  Nov 11, 2019 237   Louisiana Monroe W 63-57 87%     2 - 0 -1.0 -9.7 +9.1
  Nov 15, 2019 5   Gonzaga L 49-79 15%     2 - 1 -13.8 -18.1 +4.7
  Nov 20, 2019 304   Troy W 79-62 94%    
  Nov 28, 2019 102   Harvard W 70-69 53%    
  Dec 08, 2019 21   Texas L 62-70 23%    
  Dec 15, 2019 301   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-55 93%    
  Dec 21, 2019 67   Oregon St. W 71-70 50%    
  Dec 30, 2019 274   Texas Southern W 84-70 90%    
  Jan 04, 2020 32   @ Arkansas L 66-76 18%    
  Jan 07, 2020 46   Mississippi L 69-71 41%    
  Jan 11, 2020 120   @ Vanderbilt L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 14, 2020 33   LSU L 74-77 38%    
  Jan 18, 2020 65   South Carolina L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 21, 2020 47   @ Missouri L 63-71 26%    
  Jan 25, 2020 49   Oklahoma St. L 66-68 46%    
  Jan 28, 2020 19   @ Tennessee L 65-76 17%    
  Feb 01, 2020 69   @ Georgia L 71-77 31%    
  Feb 04, 2020 47   Missouri L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 08, 2020 65   @ South Carolina L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 12, 2020 31   Florida L 61-65 35%    
  Feb 15, 2020 69   Georgia W 74-73 49%    
  Feb 19, 2020 68   @ Alabama L 74-80 30%    
  Feb 22, 2020 56   Mississippi St. L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 25, 2020 6   Kentucky L 63-73 17%    
  Feb 29, 2020 33   @ LSU L 71-80 22%    
  Mar 04, 2020 24   @ Auburn L 67-78 19%    
  Mar 07, 2020 32   Arkansas L 69-73 37%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.0 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 1.4 0.7 0.0 2.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.6 0.8 0.0 2.8 5th
6th 0.3 2.4 1.9 0.0 4.7 6th
7th 0.4 2.1 3.0 0.9 0.1 6.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 4.2 1.0 0.1 6.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.5 0.2 7.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 3.6 4.7 0.5 9.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 3.3 5.0 1.7 0.1 10.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.1 2.9 0.2 12.0 12th
13th 0.4 1.5 4.4 5.7 3.9 0.8 16.7 13th
14th 1.4 4.1 5.0 4.3 2.0 0.4 17.1 14th
Total 1.4 4.5 6.5 9.2 11.1 13.5 13.0 10.8 10.7 7.0 5.5 3.0 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1
14-4 46.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
13-5 23.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 32.5% 67.5% 3.7 0.1 0.1 100.0%
14-4 0.5% 100.0% 24.1% 75.9% 5.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 100.0%
13-5 1.2% 99.6% 5.5% 94.0% 7.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.5%
12-6 1.9% 85.0% 7.0% 78.0% 7.8 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.3 83.8%
11-7 3.0% 76.1% 4.7% 71.4% 9.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.7 75.0%
10-8 5.5% 45.1% 1.3% 43.8% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.4 3.0 44.4%
9-9 7.0% 28.4% 28.4% 10.9 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.6 5.0 28.4%
8-10 10.7% 6.8% 0.0% 6.7% 10.5 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 10.0 6.7%
7-11 10.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 11.0 0.1 10.7 0.0%
6-12 13.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 11.0 0.1 12.9 0.5%
5-13 13.5% 13.5
4-14 11.1% 11.1
3-15 9.2% 9.2
2-16 6.5% 6.5
1-17 4.5% 4.5
0-18 1.4% 1.4
Total 100% 11.2% 0.7% 10.5% 9.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.7 2.1 2.7 1.1 88.8 10.5%