Texas A&M
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#130
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#145
Pace62.4#330
Improvement+5.7#11

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#239
First Shot-2.9#272
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#111
Layup/Dunks+0.8#141
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#220
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#312
Freethrows+1.8#60
Improvement+5.5#4

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#69
First Shot+5.8#36
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#298
Layups/Dunks+5.6#18
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#118
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#317
Freethrows+2.7#40
Improvement+0.2#172
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.4 10.7 11.8
.500 or above 4.2% 10.4% 2.6%
.500 or above in Conference 3.6% 9.4% 2.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 22.4% 9.3% 25.7%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri (Away) - 20.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 10
Quad 23 - 74 - 17
Quad 33 - 27 - 19
Quad 45 - 112 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 327   Northwestern St. W 77-63 92%     1 - 0 +0.7 -1.6 +2.3
  Nov 11, 2019 246   Louisiana Monroe W 63-57 83%     2 - 0 -1.7 -10.5 +9.1
  Nov 15, 2019 3   Gonzaga L 49-79 11%     2 - 1 -14.4 -18.9 +4.9
  Nov 20, 2019 277   Troy W 56-52 86%     3 - 1 -5.4 -21.5 +16.0
  Nov 28, 2019 94   Harvard L 51-62 38%     3 - 2 -5.6 -20.8 +15.5
  Nov 29, 2019 74   Temple L 42-65 32%     3 - 3 -15.8 -20.8 +3.6
  Dec 01, 2019 252   Fairfield L 62-67 76%     3 - 4 -10.2 -1.7 -9.2
  Dec 08, 2019 54   Texas L 50-60 25%     3 - 5 -0.7 -10.0 +8.0
  Dec 15, 2019 298   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 63-60 88%     4 - 5 -7.7 -1.1 -6.1
  Dec 21, 2019 63   Oregon St. W 64-49 38%     5 - 5 +20.3 -8.4 +28.9
  Dec 30, 2019 263   Texas Southern W 58-55 85%     6 - 5 -5.7 -17.7 +12.1
  Jan 04, 2020 37   @ Arkansas L 59-69 13%     6 - 6 0 - 1 +4.4 +0.3 +3.3
  Jan 07, 2020 102   Mississippi W 57-47 52%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +11.8 -7.0 +20.3
  Jan 11, 2020 142   @ Vanderbilt W 69-50 41%     8 - 6 2 - 1 +23.5 +4.4 +21.3
  Jan 14, 2020 31   LSU L 85-89 OT 26%     8 - 7 2 - 2 +5.1 +9.5 -4.3
  Jan 18, 2020 93   South Carolina L 67-81 48%     8 - 8 2 - 3 -11.1 +0.0 -11.8
  Jan 21, 2020 64   @ Missouri L 55-64 20%    
  Jan 25, 2020 68   Oklahoma St. L 59-62 41%    
  Jan 28, 2020 57   @ Tennessee L 55-64 19%    
  Feb 01, 2020 61   @ Georgia L 61-70 20%    
  Feb 04, 2020 64   Missouri L 58-61 39%    
  Feb 08, 2020 93   @ South Carolina L 62-68 27%    
  Feb 12, 2020 19   Florida L 56-65 21%    
  Feb 15, 2020 61   Georgia L 64-67 39%    
  Feb 19, 2020 40   @ Alabama L 64-76 14%    
  Feb 22, 2020 50   Mississippi St. L 60-65 34%    
  Feb 25, 2020 16   Kentucky L 58-67 20%    
  Feb 29, 2020 31   @ LSU L 62-75 12%    
  Mar 04, 2020 25   @ Auburn L 58-71 11%    
  Mar 07, 2020 37   Arkansas L 60-66 28%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 1.0 0.2 1.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.9 0.6 3.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.6 2.0 0.2 5.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 3.2 4.3 0.7 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 4.1 7.4 2.6 0.1 14.7 11th
12th 0.1 1.8 7.8 11.5 5.3 0.4 0.0 27.0 12th
13th 2.1 7.9 10.8 5.5 0.8 0.0 27.2 13th
14th 3.0 4.6 2.7 0.4 0.0 10.8 14th
Total 5.2 14.4 21.8 22.0 17.1 10.4 5.5 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-6 9.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 13.6% 9.1% 4.5% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.0%
10-8 0.9% 2.7% 1.6% 1.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.1%
9-9 2.4% 1.0% 0.8% 0.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 2.4 0.2%
8-10 5.5% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 5.4
7-11 10.4% 0.2% 0.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 10.4
6-12 17.1% 17.1
5-13 22.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 21.9
4-14 21.8% 0.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 21.8
3-15 14.4% 14.4
2-16 5.2% 5.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.7%