Davidson
Atlantic 10
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#141
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#153
Pace63.9#309
Improvement-2.9#353

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#163
First Shot+1.6#139
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#245
Layup/Dunks+1.8#111
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#360
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#79
Freethrows+1.2#101
Improvement-1.2#306

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#140
First Shot+4.2#69
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#342
Layups/Dunks-0.3#193
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#57
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#235
Freethrows+3.7#17
Improvement-1.7#331
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 5.0% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.5 13.0 13.8
.500 or above 43.5% 60.8% 35.2%
.500 or above in Conference 42.5% 51.5% 38.2%
Conference Champion 3.1% 4.7% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 10.6% 7.2% 12.3%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 0.6%
First Round3.6% 4.8% 3.0%
Second Round0.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Away) - 32.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 53 - 8
Quad 35 - 68 - 13
Quad 46 - 214 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 59   Maryland W 64-61 24%     1 - 0 +11.9 +5.6 +6.7
  Nov 12, 2023 46   Clemson L 65-68 20%     1 - 1 +7.5 +2.8 +4.4
  Nov 17, 2023 241   @ East Tennessee St. L 68-70 60%     1 - 2 -3.2 -4.4 +1.2
  Nov 21, 2023 307   Boston University W 69-45 87%     2 - 2 +13.0 +1.4 +14.4
  Nov 24, 2023 61   @ St. Mary's L 55-89 17%     2 - 3 -22.3 -3.6 -22.7
  Nov 29, 2023 120   @ Charlotte L 57-62 33%    
  Dec 02, 2023 131   Wright St. W 76-74 58%    
  Dec 06, 2023 311   Campbell W 70-57 88%    
  Dec 09, 2023 284   Miami (OH) W 74-63 84%    
  Dec 21, 2023 286   South Carolina Upstate W 74-63 84%    
  Dec 30, 2023 121   Ohio L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 03, 2024 70   Dayton L 63-66 38%    
  Jan 09, 2024 176   Rhode Island W 71-66 67%    
  Jan 13, 2024 147   @ George Washington L 73-76 41%    
  Jan 17, 2024 172   @ Fordham L 66-67 46%    
  Jan 20, 2024 85   Richmond L 65-67 44%    
  Jan 24, 2024 148   @ Saint Louis L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 27, 2024 82   Virginia Commonwealth L 65-67 44%    
  Feb 04, 2024 130   @ Loyola Chicago L 65-69 36%    
  Feb 07, 2024 84   @ Duquesne L 68-76 25%    
  Feb 10, 2024 111   George Mason W 66-65 52%    
  Feb 13, 2024 204   La Salle W 74-67 72%    
  Feb 17, 2024 109   @ St. Bonaventure L 63-69 32%    
  Feb 20, 2024 172   Fordham W 69-64 67%    
  Feb 24, 2024 85   @ Richmond L 62-70 25%    
  Feb 27, 2024 70   @ Dayton L 60-69 20%    
  Mar 02, 2024 140   Massachusetts W 74-71 60%    
  Mar 06, 2024 130   Loyola Chicago W 68-66 56%    
  Mar 09, 2024 126   @ Saint Joseph's L 65-69 35%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.8 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 3.0 1.2 0.1 0.0 5.7 4th
5th 0.6 3.4 2.1 0.2 6.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.4 3.8 0.6 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.3 1.6 0.1 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.5 3.5 0.4 7.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 4.8 1.1 0.0 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 4.3 2.9 0.2 8.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.6 0.7 8.4 11th
12th 0.2 2.0 4.5 1.8 0.1 8.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.4 2.5 0.2 0.0 7.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.0 2.6 0.5 0.0 7.5 14th
15th 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.0 1.4 0.4 0.0 5.8 15th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.3 6.0 8.8 11.1 12.9 13.3 12.1 10.7 7.9 5.5 3.4 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 95.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 82.3% 0.6    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 57.6% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 23.1% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 5.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 50.0% 11.1% 38.9% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 43.8%
16-2 0.2% 34.8% 17.4% 17.4% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 21.1%
15-3 0.8% 20.8% 14.1% 6.7% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 7.8%
14-4 1.8% 15.5% 14.5% 1.0% 12.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.2%
13-5 3.4% 11.5% 11.0% 0.5% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.0 0.5%
12-6 5.5% 7.9% 7.9% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 5.1
11-7 7.9% 7.5% 7.5% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 7.4
10-8 10.7% 5.5% 5.5% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.1
9-9 12.1% 3.0% 3.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.7
8-10 13.3% 2.9% 2.9% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 12.9
7-11 12.9% 1.6% 1.6% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 12.7
6-12 11.1% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.0
5-13 8.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.7
4-14 6.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 5.9
3-15 3.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.3
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.8% 3.7% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.6 96.2 0.2%