Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#183
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#208
Pace78.1#20
Improvement-1.7#291

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#245
First Shot-4.7#297
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#56
Layup/Dunks+8.0#15
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#357
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.0#351
Freethrows+0.9#121
Improvement-0.6#234

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#139
First Shot+1.8#117
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#232
Layups/Dunks-0.3#195
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#4
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#103
Freethrows-5.1#356
Improvement-1.1#279
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 5.4% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.8
.500 or above 41.6% 49.0% 25.2%
.500 or above in Conference 48.4% 51.7% 41.0%
Conference Champion 4.8% 5.6% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 12.7% 10.9% 16.9%
First Four1.0% 0.9% 1.1%
First Round4.4% 5.0% 2.9%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Kentucky (Home) - 69.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 34 - 65 - 10
Quad 48 - 413 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 84   @ Wichita St. L 61-71 17%     0 - 1 -0.9 -11.5 +11.6
  Nov 14, 2023 172   @ Murray St. W 86-81 36%     1 - 1 +7.7 +7.8 -0.3
  Nov 24, 2023 230   Bowling Green W 72-65 59%     2 - 1 +3.8 -11.7 +14.6
  Nov 25, 2023 199   Canisius L 77-85 53%     2 - 2 -9.7 -4.9 -3.9
  Nov 26, 2023 209   UNC Asheville L 67-77 54%     2 - 3 -12.1 -5.9 -6.4
  Dec 03, 2023 225   Eastern Kentucky W 81-76 69%    
  Dec 09, 2023 321   @ Buffalo W 78-73 68%    
  Dec 12, 2023 130   @ Wright St. L 80-86 28%    
  Dec 16, 2023 275   Austin Peay W 73-65 78%    
  Dec 19, 2023 152   @ California Baptist L 68-72 34%    
  Dec 30, 2023 180   Abilene Christian W 77-74 60%    
  Jan 06, 2024 61   Liberty L 69-75 28%    
  Jan 10, 2024 141   @ Sam Houston St. L 72-77 31%    
  Jan 13, 2024 216   Jacksonville St. W 71-67 65%    
  Jan 18, 2024 254   @ New Mexico St. W 77-76 53%    
  Jan 20, 2024 175   @ UTEP L 70-73 38%    
  Jan 25, 2024 228   Florida International W 78-73 68%    
  Feb 01, 2024 141   Sam Houston St. W 75-74 52%    
  Feb 03, 2024 221   Middle Tennessee W 68-64 66%    
  Feb 07, 2024 102   @ Louisiana Tech L 66-75 22%    
  Feb 10, 2024 216   @ Jacksonville St. L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 15, 2024 175   UTEP W 73-70 58%    
  Feb 17, 2024 254   New Mexico St. W 80-73 73%    
  Feb 24, 2024 221   @ Middle Tennessee L 65-67 45%    
  Feb 28, 2024 102   Louisiana Tech L 69-72 41%    
  Mar 02, 2024 228   @ Florida International L 75-76 47%    
  Mar 09, 2024 61   @ Liberty L 66-78 14%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.8 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 2.9 3.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 10.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 5.2 5.0 1.8 0.2 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.8 6.0 5.4 1.3 0.0 14.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 6.5 5.2 0.9 0.0 14.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 6.0 5.3 0.9 0.0 13.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.8 4.4 1.0 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.9 3.6 0.9 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.6 1.9 0.5 0.0 7.4 9th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.0 4.1 7.0 10.2 13.0 14.7 13.6 12.5 9.4 6.4 3.7 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 89.6% 0.7    0.6 0.1
13-3 68.3% 1.4    0.9 0.4 0.0
12-4 39.1% 1.4    0.6 0.7 0.1 0.0
11-5 14.3% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.8% 4.8 2.4 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 27.1% 16.9% 10.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.2%
14-2 0.8% 23.0% 23.0% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-3 2.0% 20.4% 20.4% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.6
12-4 3.7% 13.8% 13.8% 13.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.2
11-5 6.4% 13.1% 13.1% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.5
10-6 9.4% 7.2% 7.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 8.7
9-7 12.5% 5.4% 5.4% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 11.8
8-8 13.6% 4.4% 4.4% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 13.0
7-9 14.7% 2.2% 2.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 14.4
6-10 13.0% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.3 12.7
5-11 10.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 10.0
4-12 7.0% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 6.9
3-13 4.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.1
2-14 2.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.0
1-15 0.6% 0.6
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.3 95.2 0.0%