Charlotte
American Athletic
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#120
Expected Predictive Rating+5.7#100
Pace56.7#361
Improvement-0.1#187

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#215
First Shot-0.8#195
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#215
Layup/Dunks+0.5#148
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#52
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#298
Freethrows+0.0#178
Improvement-0.8#271

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#57
First Shot+2.9#91
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#74
Layups/Dunks+1.4#125
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#73
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#237
Freethrows+1.1#124
Improvement+0.7#100
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 3.9% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.5 12.3 13.4
.500 or above 70.3% 78.1% 54.2%
.500 or above in Conference 70.8% 74.6% 62.9%
Conference Champion 3.9% 4.5% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 1.0% 1.9%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
First Round3.2% 3.6% 2.2%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Davidson (Home) - 67.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 22 - 42 - 8
Quad 36 - 48 - 11
Quad 48 - 116 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 263   Maine W 69-52 86%     1 - 0 +8.5 -2.1 +11.9
  Nov 10, 2023 42   Liberty L 59-71 23%     1 - 1 -1.2 +5.0 -9.1
  Nov 15, 2023 171   Utah Valley W 62-45 73%     2 - 1 +13.7 -5.0 +19.8
  Nov 19, 2023 111   George Mason W 54-49 47%     3 - 1 +8.8 -7.2 +16.9
  Nov 20, 2023 83   Central Florida L 71-74 OT 38%     3 - 2 +3.2 -2.3 +5.7
  Nov 25, 2023 186   Georgia St. W 65-57 77%     4 - 2 +3.5 -3.3 +7.6
  Nov 29, 2023 141   Davidson W 62-57 67%    
  Dec 05, 2023 162   Stetson W 65-59 71%    
  Dec 09, 2023 7   @ Duke L 52-70 5%    
  Dec 16, 2023 85   @ Richmond L 57-63 29%    
  Dec 29, 2023 162   @ Stetson W 63-62 50%    
  Jan 02, 2024 91   @ SMU L 60-65 32%    
  Jan 06, 2024 18   Florida Atlantic L 60-68 22%    
  Jan 10, 2024 190   Tulsa W 65-57 75%    
  Jan 13, 2024 306   @ Texas San Antonio W 70-62 77%    
  Jan 16, 2024 249   @ Rice W 69-64 66%    
  Jan 20, 2024 77   North Texas L 52-53 47%    
  Jan 23, 2024 88   UAB W 65-64 51%    
  Jan 27, 2024 92   @ Tulane L 66-71 32%    
  Feb 03, 2024 208   East Carolina W 68-60 77%    
  Feb 06, 2024 163   @ South Florida W 61-60 51%    
  Feb 11, 2024 145   @ Temple L 62-63 46%    
  Feb 15, 2024 306   Texas San Antonio W 73-59 89%    
  Feb 18, 2024 89   Wichita St. W 63-62 51%    
  Feb 21, 2024 34   @ Memphis L 59-71 14%    
  Feb 24, 2024 190   @ Tulsa W 62-60 56%    
  Mar 02, 2024 163   South Florida W 63-57 70%    
  Mar 06, 2024 249   Rice W 72-61 82%    
  Mar 09, 2024 208   @ East Carolina W 65-63 58%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.0 3.0 1.2 0.2 8.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 4.9 3.9 1.1 0.1 11.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.6 5.0 4.5 1.1 0.1 12.3 4th
5th 0.9 5.1 5.0 1.1 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.7 5.5 1.7 0.1 11.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 5.2 2.0 0.2 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.2 2.7 0.3 8.1 8th
9th 0.3 3.0 3.4 0.5 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 3.1 0.8 0.0 5.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.9 2.1 1.1 0.1 4.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 1.4 0.8 0.1 2.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 3.0 5.0 8.2 11.0 13.2 14.6 13.6 11.9 8.4 5.2 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
16-2 79.7% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
15-3 51.7% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 20.8% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1
13-5 3.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 1.8 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 73.9% 39.1% 34.8% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 57.1%
17-1 0.2% 41.2% 5.9% 35.3% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 37.5%
16-2 1.0% 28.7% 11.3% 17.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 19.6%
15-3 2.6% 13.8% 8.7% 5.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.2 5.6%
14-4 5.2% 9.4% 7.7% 1.7% 11.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 4.8 1.8%
13-5 8.4% 5.0% 4.6% 0.3% 12.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.0 0.3%
12-6 11.9% 4.1% 4.1% 0.1% 12.5 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 11.4 0.1%
11-7 13.6% 3.2% 3.2% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 13.2
10-8 14.6% 2.3% 2.3% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 14.2
9-9 13.2% 1.5% 1.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.0
8-10 11.0% 1.2% 1.2% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.9
7-11 8.2% 1.2% 1.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 8.1
6-12 5.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.9
5-13 3.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.0
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.4% 2.9% 0.5% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 96.6 0.5%