Pepperdine
West Coast
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#185
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#286
Pace73.6#68
Improvement-1.8#328

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#154
First Shot+2.3#114
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#269
Layup/Dunks-5.4#333
2 Pt Jumpshots+8.3#2
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#159
Freethrows-1.4#260
Improvement-0.9#284

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#246
First Shot-5.6#332
After Offensive Rebounds+3.3#12
Layups/Dunks-8.6#360
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#84
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#81
Freethrows-1.5#268
Improvement-0.8#275
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.1% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 12.1% 14.7% 4.3%
.500 or above in Conference 25.2% 27.2% 19.2%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 14.6% 13.2% 19.0%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
First Round0.8% 0.9% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Idaho St. (Home) - 75.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 32 - 63 - 15
Quad 48 - 311 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 199   @ UC Davis L 78-79 40%     0 - 1 +0.2 +3.4 -3.2
  Nov 12, 2023 320   Lafayette W 76-53 83%     1 - 1 +11.4 +0.8 +10.7
  Nov 13, 2023 347   LIU Brooklyn W 88-53 90%     2 - 1 +19.2 +0.3 +15.7
  Nov 17, 2023 129   UNLV L 68-82 46%     2 - 2 -14.5 -3.4 -11.8
  Nov 21, 2023 69   UC Irvine L 60-76 19%     2 - 3 -8.1 -3.7 -5.2
  Nov 22, 2023 99   Indiana St. L 82-90 28%     2 - 4 -3.4 +5.8 -8.9
  Nov 24, 2023 49   New Mexico L 71-90 14%     2 - 5 -9.0 -4.1 -3.1
  Nov 28, 2023 269   Idaho St. W 74-67 75%    
  Dec 03, 2023 38   @ Colorado L 68-84 6%    
  Dec 06, 2023 203   Cal St. Fullerton W 75-71 63%    
  Dec 09, 2023 245   UC San Diego W 79-73 71%    
  Dec 17, 2023 155   @ Louisville L 73-78 32%    
  Dec 21, 2023 285   William & Mary W 80-72 77%    
  Jan 04, 2024 10   @ Gonzaga L 70-90 3%    
  Jan 06, 2024 125   Santa Clara L 79-80 46%    
  Jan 11, 2024 279   Pacific W 81-73 76%    
  Jan 13, 2024 197   @ San Diego L 75-78 41%    
  Jan 18, 2024 10   Gonzaga L 73-87 10%    
  Jan 20, 2024 127   Loyola Marymount L 75-76 46%    
  Jan 25, 2024 125   @ Santa Clara L 76-83 26%    
  Jan 27, 2024 197   San Diego W 78-75 62%    
  Feb 03, 2024 187   Portland W 81-78 61%    
  Feb 08, 2024 72   San Francisco L 71-77 30%    
  Feb 10, 2024 127   @ Loyola Marymount L 72-79 26%    
  Feb 15, 2024 61   @ St. Mary's L 61-74 12%    
  Feb 17, 2024 187   Portland W 81-78 60%    
  Feb 21, 2024 279   @ Pacific W 78-76 56%    
  Feb 24, 2024 72   @ San Francisco L 68-80 15%    
  Feb 29, 2024 61   St. Mary's L 64-71 26%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 1.9 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 4.6 4.0 1.1 0.1 11.6 4th
5th 0.3 3.0 7.2 4.9 1.1 0.0 16.7 5th
6th 0.4 4.4 9.2 5.3 0.9 0.0 20.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 5.0 8.7 4.2 0.6 0.0 19.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.9 6.5 2.7 0.4 15.8 8th
9th 0.3 1.4 3.0 2.7 0.9 0.0 8.3 9th
Total 0.3 1.5 4.2 8.2 12.9 16.1 16.9 14.8 11.2 7.2 4.1 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 76.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 45.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0
12-4 20.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 2.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 28.6% 28.6% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.2% 3.6% 3.6% 13.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 0.6% 1.9% 1.9% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
11-5 1.9% 4.3% 4.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
10-6 4.1% 2.8% 2.8% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.0
9-7 7.2% 2.1% 2.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.0
8-8 11.2% 1.8% 1.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.0
7-9 14.8% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 14.6
6-10 16.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 16.7
5-11 16.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 16.0
4-12 12.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.9
3-13 8.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.2
2-14 4.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.2
1-15 1.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.5
0-16 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 99.0 0.0%