Cornell
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -1.2 #174
Expected Predictive Rating -2.3 #210
Pace 80.5 #7
Improvement -0.5 #214

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #56 A- C+ C- C B+
Defense #352 F+ D+ D C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #210 1.23 #102 +0.6 #156
2 Pt. Jumpers 9% #355 0.85 #54 -4.4 #353
Three Pointers 54% #6 1.18 #14 +11.0 #1
1st FG Attempt 1.17 #19 +7.1 #22
Freethrows 0.30 #203 74% #140 0.22 #178
Second Chance 29.8% #210 1.14 #73 0.34 #130
Turnovers 17.5% #255
Total Offense +6.1 #56

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #77 1.27 #314 -4.8 #332
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #200 0.83 #290 -0.4 #211
Three Pointers 38% #271 1.19 #355 -1.6 #261
1st FG Attempt 1.15 #350 -6.8 #350
Freethrows 0.32 #254 72% #144 0.23 #240
Second Chance 29.8% #142 1.24 #353 0.37 #297
Turnovers 14.1% #313
Total Defense -7.3 #352

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.8% #26 0.8% #238
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 11.5% #28 12.3% #357
Possession Length 14.5 #6 17.7 #241
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #84 0.22 #332
Improvement +1.9 #85 -2.4 #312

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.0% 7.5% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.6
.500 or above 33.3% 41.8% 14.9%
.500 or above in Conference 56.4% 66.5% 34.4%
Conference Champion 2.2% 3.0% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 10.1% 6.1% 18.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round6.0% 7.5% 2.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Princeton (Home) - 68.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 49 - 312 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 143 @Kent St. L 102 - 110 30% -8  0 - 1 -4 +18 A+ B+ F -21 F F+ F
 Sun, Nov 9 88 @Illinois St. L 65 - 76 16% -4  0 - 2 -2 -4 F B- C+ +3 B- C B+
 Thu, Nov 13 316 @Lafayette W 97 - 78 69% +7  1 - 2 +13 +15 B+ B+ C- -4 C C- F+
 Tue, Nov 18 335 Army W 86 - 73 88% +6  2 - 2 -1 -5 B- F+ F +3 B+ B- F+
 Thu, Nov 20 213 Colgate W 95 - 94 2OT 69% -0  3 - 2 -5 -5 C+ F F -1 B+ D- D
 Sun, Nov 30 323 @Bucknell W 101 - 72 71% +21  4 - 2 +22 +21 A+ B+ F -1 B F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 86 @George Mason L 81 - 99 16% -5  4 - 3 -8 +9 A+ C- D+ -17 F B B-
 Wed, Dec 3 163 @Towson L 80 - 93 36% -3  4 - 4 -10 +13 A+ D- D+ -23 F F C-
 Sun, Dec 7 239 @Samford L 90 - 93 51% +3  4 - 5 -4 +6 D- A+ C+ -10 F F+ B-
 Sun, Dec 21 309 @Albany W 83 - 75 67% -0  5 - 5 +2 +20 A A+ C+ -17 F D+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 7 @Michigan St. L 97 - 114 2% -6  5 - 6 +7 +23 A+ C+ B+ -14 F B+ D
 Mon, Jan 5 170 Columbia L 99 - 104 60% -1  5 - 7 0 - 1 -9 +9 B A- D -17 F B D+
 Sat, Jan 10 237 Dartmouth L 91 - 102 72% -8  5 - 8 0 - 2 -18 +8 B- B- F -26 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 71 @Yale L 68 - 102 13% -21  5 - 9 0 - 3 -23 -4 F+ F+ B -19 F D+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 264 @Brown W 89 - 67 56% +13  6 - 9 1 - 3 +19 +19 A+ C B- +0 F+ A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 24 177 @Harvard W 86 - 79 39% -2  7 - 9 2 - 3 +9 +20 A B+ C- -11 C F F+
 Fri, Jan 30 212 Princeton W 85 - 80 68%
 Sat, Jan 31 194 Penn W 91 - 87 64%
 Sat, Feb 7 170 @Columbia L 87 - 90 37%
 Fri, Feb 13 212 @Princeton L 82 - 83 46%
 Sat, Feb 14 194 @Penn L 88 - 90 42%
 Sat, Feb 21 177 Harvard W 83 - 80 61%
 Fri, Feb 27 71 Yale L 86 - 92 28%
 Sat, Feb 28 264 Brown W 84 - 76 76%
 Sat, Mar 7 237 @Dartmouth W 91 - 90 51%
Totals 12 - 13 7 - 7 -1 +6 A- C+ C- -7 F+ D+ D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.4 2.2 1st
2nd 1.7 9.2 8.4 2.6 0.2 22.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 9.8 7.9 0.9 0.0 18.8 3rd
4th 0.0 5.1 10.1 1.1 0.0 16.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 10.7 2.3 0.0 14.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 6.9 4.9 0.1 12.2 6th
7th 0.5 4.0 5.7 0.3 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.3 1.3 2.0 0.4 3.9 8th
Total 0.3 1.8 6.3 14.1 21.2 23.9 18.3 9.8 3.7 0.6 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 71.5% 0.4    0.3 0.2
10-4 29.8% 1.1    0.3 0.7 0.1
9-5 5.9% 0.6    0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 0.6 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.6% 34.1% 34.1% 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
10-4 3.7% 17.9% 17.9% 13.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 3.1
9-5 9.8% 19.1% 19.1% 14.1 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.5 7.9
8-6 18.3% 13.4% 13.4% 14.7 0.0 0.6 1.7 0.1 15.9
7-7 23.9% 3.4% 3.4% 15.2 0.0 0.6 0.2 23.1
6-8 21.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 21.1
5-9 14.1% 14.1
4-10 6.3% 6.3
3-11 1.8% 1.8
2-12 0.3% 0.3
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 14.4 94.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 12.7 47.6 38.1 11.9 2.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 0.3%