Colgate
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#180
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#176
Pace67.4#240
Improvement-0.7#220

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#167
First Shot+2.5#111
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#322
Layup/Dunks+3.2#73
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#76
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#177
Freethrows-3.0#327
Improvement-0.6#224

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#224
First Shot-2.1#243
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#144
Layups/Dunks-2.8#279
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#199
Freethrows-1.0#250
Improvement-0.1#195
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.7% 35.8% 30.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 13.9 14.9
.500 or above 88.1% 96.1% 87.9%
.500 or above in Conference 94.2% 97.6% 94.1%
Conference Champion 46.3% 63.1% 46.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.2% 0.5%
First Four3.3% 0.7% 3.3%
First Round29.1% 35.4% 28.9%
Second Round0.8% 1.8% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida (Away) - 1.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 22 - 6
Quad 417 - 619 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 12 @Michigan St. L 69-80 3%     0 - 1 +10.0 +9.5 +0.4
  Fri, Nov 7 209 Northeastern L 65-68 68%     0 - 2 -9.2 -6.1 -3.3
  Tue, Nov 11 272 Drexel W 90-83 76%     1 - 2 -1.8 +14.2 -16.0
  Fri, Nov 14 14 @Illinois L 65-84 3%     1 - 3 +1.8 +2.7 -1.9
  Mon, Nov 17 165 @Siena W 72-69 35%     2 - 3 +5.7 +8.3 -2.3
  Thu, Nov 20 164 @Cornell L 94-95 2OT 34%     2 - 4 +1.9 -3.9 +6.0
  Fri, Nov 28 328 Albany W 69-67 80%     3 - 4 -8.1 -3.4 -4.5
  Sun, Nov 30 196 Fordham W 72-62 54%     4 - 4 +7.6 +5.2 +3.3
  Wed, Dec 10 111 @St. Bonaventure L 77-85 23%     4 - 5 -1.6 +7.8 -9.4
  Sun, Dec 21 13 @Florida L 64-86 2%    
  Sun, Dec 28 200 Harvard W 72-68 65%    
  Wed, Dec 31 319 @Lafayette W 74-69 68%    
  Sat, Jan 3 332 @Army W 76-70 71%    
  Wed, Jan 7 249 American W 78-71 73%    
  Sat, Jan 10 309 Lehigh W 77-67 82%    
  Wed, Jan 14 339 @Loyola Maryland W 79-72 73%    
  Sat, Jan 17 304 Bucknell W 76-66 81%    
  Wed, Jan 21 249 @American W 75-74 51%    
  Sat, Jan 24 288 Boston University W 76-67 79%    
  Wed, Jan 28 289 Holy Cross W 76-67 78%    
  Sat, Jan 31 309 @Lehigh W 74-70 64%    
  Wed, Feb 4 332 Army W 79-67 86%    
  Sat, Feb 7 304 @Bucknell W 73-69 63%    
  Wed, Feb 11 289 @Holy Cross W 73-70 59%    
  Sat, Feb 14 204 Navy W 73-69 66%    
  Mon, Feb 16 288 @Boston University W 73-70 59%    
  Sat, Feb 21 339 Loyola Maryland W 82-69 87%    
  Wed, Feb 25 319 Lafayette W 77-66 84%    
  Sat, Feb 28 204 @Navy L 70-72 44%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.7 7.8 11.5 11.3 7.7 3.9 1.0 46.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.3 7.4 6.7 3.3 1.0 0.1 22.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.3 5.4 3.6 1.1 0.1 12.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 4.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.2 1.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.9 5.1 8.0 11.5 14.1 15.6 14.9 12.3 7.8 3.9 1.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.0    1.0
17-1 100.0% 3.9    3.9 0.0
16-2 99.1% 7.7    7.4 0.3
15-3 91.9% 11.3    9.9 1.5 0.0
14-4 77.0% 11.5    8.0 3.3 0.3 0.0
13-5 50.0% 7.8    3.6 3.2 0.9 0.0
12-6 18.9% 2.7    0.6 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0
11-7 3.4% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 46.3% 46.3 34.4 9.6 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.0% 61.7% 61.7% 12.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4
17-1 3.9% 52.3% 52.3% 13.5 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.9
16-2 7.8% 50.0% 50.0% 14.1 0.0 0.7 1.8 1.2 0.1 3.9
15-3 12.3% 42.3% 42.3% 14.6 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.6 0.4 7.1
14-4 14.9% 36.2% 36.2% 14.9 0.1 1.1 3.1 1.1 9.5
13-5 15.6% 31.4% 31.4% 15.2 0.0 0.5 2.6 1.8 10.7
12-6 14.1% 26.8% 26.8% 15.4 0.0 0.2 1.6 1.9 10.3
11-7 11.5% 20.3% 20.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.7 9.2
10-8 8.0% 17.3% 17.3% 15.9 0.2 1.2 6.6
9-9 5.1% 13.5% 13.5% 15.9 0.0 0.6 4.4
8-10 2.9% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 0.2 2.7
7-11 1.6% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.1 1.5
6-12 0.8% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.0 0.8
5-13 0.3% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3
4-14 0.1% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 30.7% 30.7% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.4 2.4 6.5 12.2 9.2 69.3 0.0%