Princeton
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.1 #212
Expected Predictive Rating -6.0 #259
Pace 64.8 #286
Improvement +5.0 #15

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #247 C- D+ C C C
Defense #176 C+ C D C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% #331 1.05 #303 -5.6 #343
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #244 0.77 #146 -1.1 #236
Three Pointers 51% #21 0.99 #216 +4.3 #51
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #244 -2.4 #246
Freethrows 0.30 #190 74% #115 0.22 #161
Second Chance 25.0% #323 1.07 #137 0.27 #278
Turnovers 16.9% #214
Total Offense -2.8 #247

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #94 1.19 #215 -2.6 #268
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #207 0.85 #315 -0.5 #220
Three Pointers 38% #253 0.85 #15 +4.6 #24
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #132 +1.5 #132
Freethrows 0.31 #203 74% #290 0.23 #226
Second Chance 27.1% #63 1.18 #331 0.32 #186
Turnovers 14.0% #317
Total Defense -0.3 #176

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.1% #201 0.8% #236
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.5% #253 -3.6% #111
Possession Length 19.3 #339 16.9 #96
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.06 #365 0.18 #216
Improvement +4.0 #18 +1.0 #124

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 6.5% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 1.1% 2.5% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 57.4% 78.8% 47.4%
Conference Champion 2.1% 4.5% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 9.4% 2.9% 12.4%
First Four3.6% 4.4% 3.3%
First Round3.9% 5.2% 3.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Away) - 31.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 4
Quad 32 - 103 - 14
Quad 47 - 510 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 62 @Akron L 69 - 104 9% -20  0 - 1 -23 -8 C- F D+ -12 D C+ F
 Tue, Nov 11 323 Bucknell W 73 - 63 82% +12  1 - 1 -3 -3 D D D +0 D A+ B
 Sat, Nov 15 17 @Kansas L 57 - 76 2% -6  1 - 2 +2 -5 D C+ F+ +8 B A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 225 @Iona L 69 - 89 41% -18  1 - 3 -21 -9 F+ F C- -10 F+ D D+
 Thu, Nov 20 256 Northeastern W 70 - 57 69% +10  2 - 3 +5 -6 F A+ F +12 A+ C+ B
 Mon, Nov 24 127 Bradley L 64 - 88 31% -8  2 - 4 -22 -8 C B F -14 F A+ C-
 Tue, Nov 25 147 Temple L 75 - 79 35% +1  2 - 5 -3 +4 A- D C -8 F A+ B
 Wed, Nov 26 198 Vermont L 74 - 79 48% -7  2 - 6 -8 +6 B C A -14 D+ F D+
 Sun, Nov 30 139 Saint Joseph's L 58 - 60 33% -1  2 - 7 -1 -4 C+ C F +4 A- F A
 Wed, Dec 3 186 @Monmouth L 58 - 63 34% -3  2 - 8 -4 -9 C F F +5 B- A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 280 @Loyola Chicago L 68 - 73 53% +1  2 - 9 -9 -1 D- D A- -8 D+ F F+
 Wed, Dec 10 206 Merrimack L 56 - 59 60% -2  2 - 10 -9 -6 F C+ B- -3 B- A F
 Mon, Dec 22 147 @Temple L 61 - 65 26% -3  2 - 11 -0 -1 D D C +0 C C+ C
 Tue, Dec 30 198 Vermont W 75 - 69 OT 59% +4  3 - 11 +0 +1 B+ F F+ -0 A F C
 Mon, Jan 5 194 Penn W 78 - 76 58% -1  4 - 11 1 - 0 -3 +6 A- F+ C+ -9 B+ F B+
 Sat, Jan 10 71 Yale W 76 - 60 22% +2  5 - 11 2 - 0 +21 +8 B+ C F+ +14 A+ B- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 177 @Harvard L 80 - 87 OT 32% +7  5 - 12 2 - 1 -5 +11 D- A+ A -16 D+ B- F
 Mon, Jan 19 237 @Dartmouth L 69 - 71 43% +3  5 - 13 2 - 2 -3 +7 B- D A+ -11 C C F
 Sat, Jan 24 264 Brown W 63 - 53 71% +1  6 - 13 3 - 2 +1 -4 F D- A+ +6 A+ F F+
 Fri, Jan 30 174 @Cornell L 80 - 85 32%
 Sat, Jan 31 170 @Columbia L 70 - 75 30%
 Sat, Feb 7 194 @Penn L 71 - 75 36%
 Fri, Feb 13 174 Cornell W 83 - 82 54%
 Sat, Feb 14 170 Columbia W 73 - 72 53%
 Fri, Feb 20 264 @Brown L 64 - 65 48%
 Fri, Feb 27 177 Harvard W 67 - 66 55%
 Sat, Feb 28 237 Dartmouth W 75 - 71 65%
 Sat, Mar 7 71 @Yale L 66 - 80 10%
Totals 10 - 18 7 - 7 -3 -3 C- D+ C +0 C+ C D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 2.1 1st
2nd 1.5 9.5 8.9 3.0 0.3 23.2 2nd
3rd 0.3 9.6 8.1 0.8 0.0 18.9 3rd
4th 0.0 5.1 10.0 1.1 16.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 11.4 2.4 0.0 15.1 5th
6th 0.3 6.8 4.8 0.1 12.0 6th
7th 0.3 3.4 5.8 0.3 9.7 7th
8th 0.9 1.8 0.3 2.9 8th
Total 1.2 5.5 14.1 21.9 23.6 18.7 10.3 4.0 0.7 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
11-3 55.1% 0.4    0.2 0.2
10-4 24.4% 1.0    0.3 0.6 0.1
9-5 5.6% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
8-6 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-3 0.7% 16.3% 16.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.6
10-4 4.0% 13.4% 13.4% 15.5 0.3 0.3 3.5
9-5 10.3% 10.1% 10.1% 15.9 0.1 1.0 9.3
8-6 18.7% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.0 1.6 17.1
7-7 23.6% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 1.4 22.2
6-8 21.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 21.7
5-9 14.1% 14.1
4-10 5.5% 5.5
3-11 1.2% 1.2
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 15.9 95.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%