Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.1 #143
Expected Predictive Rating +4.0 #103
Pace 76.3 #29
Improvement -1.5 #254

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #119 C B- D A C+
Defense #199 C C D+ C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #180 1.16 #166 +0.0 #176
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #266 0.63 #337 -2.6 #305
Three Pointers 45% #93 1.05 #135 +2.9 #88
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #162 +0.3 #162
Freethrows 0.39 #8 75% #90 0.29 #6
Second Chance 34.9% #64 1.08 #119 0.38 #66
Turnovers 19.0% #326
Total Offense +2.0 #119

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #187 1.15 #172 -0.1 #177
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #259 0.66 #43 +1.7 #59
Three Pointers 43% #106 1.07 #257 -2.3 #289
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #196 -0.6 #196
Freethrows 0.33 #266 72% #169 0.23 #258
Second Chance 28.9% #113 1.11 #271 0.32 #184
Turnovers 15.1% #265
Total Defense -0.8 #199

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.1% #115 0.7% #229
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -0.4% #179 0.4% #192
Possession Length 16.4 #83 16.7 #76
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #209 0.20 #270
Improvement -2.7 #322 +1.3 #104

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 10.2% 6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.8 13.1
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 99.6% 100.0% 99.5%
Conference Champion 1.7% 8.3% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round7.0% 10.2% 6.5%
Second Round0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Akron (Away) - 15.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 38 - 48 - 8
Quad 412 - 221 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 113 Troy L 97 - 103 OT 53% -8  0 - 1 -6 +6 D A- C -10 F C+ D
 Fri, Nov 7 174 Cornell W 110 - 102 70% +8  1 - 1 +4 +16 A+ A- C -13 F D- A-
 Mon, Nov 10 121 UNC Wilmington W 86 - 77 56% +8  2 - 1 +9 +11 A+ B- D+ -2 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 321 Cleveland St. W 102 - 95 84% +2  3 - 1 -3 +13 C- A C -16 F F C+
 Sun, Nov 16 151 Wright St. W 76 - 72 OT 53% -2  4 - 1 +4 -2 F A- F +6 B B- D+
 Tue, Nov 18 263 Eastern Kentucky W 93 - 78 82% +16  5 - 1 +6 -0 C C+ F +5 B C- A+
 Sat, Nov 22 321 Cleveland St. W 91 - 71 89% +14  6 - 1 +7 -1 B D F +6 B- B A-
 Wed, Dec 3 172 Austin Peay W 96 - 84 69% +3  7 - 1 +8 +19 A+ A B -11 F A+ C-
 Sun, Dec 14 218 @Portland L 78 - 88 56% -0  7 - 2 -10 -5 D- B F -4 F+ B+ C
 Sat, Dec 20 171 @Massachusetts W 69 - 59 46% +5  8 - 2 1 - 0 +12 -3 D+ C D +15 A+ A+ C+
 Mon, Dec 29 8 @Purdue L 60 - 101 3% -24  8 - 3 -18 -9 D- F D- -5 D A D+
 Sat, Jan 3 310 Northern Illinois W 77 - 73 88% +9  9 - 3 2 - 0 -8 -3 D- D D+ -5 F C A+
 Tue, Jan 6 145 Bowling Green W 96 - 93 63% +2  10 - 3 3 - 0 +1 +22 A+ A+ A -21 D F D
 Sat, Jan 10 302 @Central Michigan L 85 - 87 73% -1  10 - 4 3 - 1 -7 +7 F A+ F -14 C+ F F
 Tue, Jan 13 185 @Buffalo W 87 - 81 50% +7  11 - 4 4 - 1 +7 +11 B- B C -4 C+ B- F
 Fri, Jan 16 164 Toledo W 87 - 84 67% -0  12 - 4 5 - 1 -0 +7 C B- A+ -8 C F C+
 Tue, Jan 20 91 Miami (OH) L 101 - 107 OT 43% -6  12 - 5 5 - 2 -3 +11 B- A+ D- -14 F A F
 Sat, Jan 24 242 @Eastern Michigan W 76 - 75 2OT 60% +3  13 - 5 6 - 2 -0 -4 C F F +3 A+ D+ F
 Tue, Jan 27 214 Ohio W 72 - 57 76% +4  14 - 5 7 - 2 +9 -5 F A- F +14 A+ B D+
 Fri, Jan 30 62 @Akron L 82 - 93 15%
 Tue, Feb 3 164 @Toledo L 83 - 84 44%
 Sat, Feb 7 259 @Southern Miss W 81 - 77 64%
 Wed, Feb 11 242 Eastern Michigan W 81 - 72 79%
 Sat, Feb 14 295 @Ball St. W 77 - 71 71%
 Tue, Feb 17 145 @Bowling Green L 78 - 81 40%
 Tue, Feb 24 302 Central Michigan W 85 - 73 88%
 Sat, Feb 28 62 Akron L 85 - 90 34%
 Tue, Mar 3 310 @Northern Illinois W 82 - 75 73%
 Fri, Mar 6 273 Western Michigan W 86 - 76 84%
Totals 20 - 9 12 - 6 +1 +2 C B- D -1 C C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.3 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.1 2.7 0.3 9.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 11.1 23.6 22.7 9.8 0.9 69.5 3rd
4th 0.3 3.7 6.9 2.6 0.1 13.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 2.5 0.7 0.0 4.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.1 0.4 2.2 8.0 18.6 26.5 24.7 14.3 4.7 0.6 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 53.5% 0.3    0.1 0.2
15-3 22.2% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.3
14-4 2.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0
13-5 0.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.6% 14.9% 14.9% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 4.7% 15.8% 15.8% 12.3 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.9
14-4 14.3% 9.7% 9.7% 12.7 0.5 0.8 0.1 12.9
13-5 24.7% 8.0% 8.0% 12.9 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.0 22.7
12-6 26.5% 6.0% 6.0% 13.2 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.0 24.9
11-7 18.6% 4.9% 4.9% 13.7 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 17.7
10-8 8.0% 2.9% 2.9% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.8
9-9 2.2% 3.4% 3.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1
8-10 0.4% 3.9% 3.9% 15.0 0.0 0.4
7-11 0.1% 0.1
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 13.0 93.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%