Charlotte
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#194
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#248
Pace61.7#356
Improvement-3.1#344

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#176
First Shot-1.1#205
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#127
Layup/Dunks+0.6#152
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#281
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#133
Freethrows-1.4#275
Improvement-4.3#363

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#243
First Shot-0.1#175
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#305
Layups/Dunks+0.6#152
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#168
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#158
Freethrows-1.7#291
Improvement+1.2#98
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.0% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 15.0
.500 or above 14.4% 16.4% 4.8%
.500 or above in Conference 33.0% 34.7% 24.9%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.0% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 9.4% 8.6% 13.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round0.9% 0.9% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Home) - 83.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 61 - 8
Quad 33 - 84 - 16
Quad 49 - 412 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 181 Indiana St. W 92-76 58%     1 - 0 +11.6 +20.2 -8.4
  Fri, Nov 7 266 Tennessee Tech W 70-65 73%     2 - 0 -3.6 -1.6 -1.6
  Tue, Nov 11 127 Davidson L 55-62 44%     2 - 1 -7.8 -7.1 -2.2
  Sun, Nov 16 63 @Virginia Tech L 76-84 10%     2 - 2 +3.7 +12.4 -9.2
  Fri, Nov 21 231 @Appalachian St. L 63-65 45%     2 - 3 -3.0 +6.0 -9.6
  Thu, Nov 27 90 Illinois St. L 69-79 22%     2 - 4 -4.2 +2.4 -7.2
  Fri, Nov 28 102 Richmond L 66-71 25%     2 - 5 -0.3 -0.3 -0.4
  Tue, Dec 2 310 N.C. A&T W 74-57 81%     3 - 5 +5.3 +1.5 +5.0
  Sun, Dec 7 46 Utah St. L 53-79 16%     3 - 6 -17.7 -12.4 -7.5
  Sun, Dec 14 170 @College of Charleston L 67-74 33%     3 - 7 -4.8 -3.5 -1.5
  Thu, Dec 18 319 Lafayette W 73-63 83%    
  Sun, Dec 21 189 Illinois-Chicago W 72-70 59%    
  Wed, Dec 31 158 Temple W 73-72 52%    
  Sat, Jan 3 100 Wichita St. L 66-70 35%    
  Wed, Jan 7 286 @Texas San Antonio W 71-69 55%    
  Sun, Jan 11 208 @Rice L 67-69 42%    
  Wed, Jan 14 83 Tulsa L 69-75 27%    
  Sun, Jan 18 280 @East Carolina W 70-69 54%    
  Sun, Jan 25 206 Tulane W 73-69 63%    
  Wed, Jan 28 158 @Temple L 70-76 31%    
  Sat, Jan 31 208 Rice W 70-66 63%    
  Wed, Feb 4 100 @Wichita St. L 63-73 18%    
  Sun, Feb 8 75 @Memphis L 64-77 12%    
  Sun, Feb 15 286 Texas San Antonio W 74-66 75%    
  Wed, Feb 18 83 @Tulsa L 66-78 13%    
  Sat, Feb 21 280 East Carolina W 73-66 75%    
  Wed, Feb 25 145 North Texas L 63-64 49%    
  Sun, Mar 1 117 @Florida Atlantic L 68-77 22%    
  Wed, Mar 4 119 UAB L 71-74 41%    
  Sun, Mar 8 86 @South Florida L 68-80 14%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.5 0.5 0.0 3.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 3.6 1.7 0.1 6.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.7 3.0 0.3 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.3 4.9 0.9 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.4 3.8 6.1 2.0 0.1 12.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.1 6.7 3.1 0.2 13.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.2 3.5 0.4 0.0 13.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.1 3.3 0.4 0.0 11.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 8.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.0 13th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.7 7.0 11.0 13.6 15.2 14.8 12.2 9.2 5.8 3.3 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 78.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 51.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 16.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.1
15-3 0.2% 13.6% 13.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.7% 9.4% 9.4% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.6% 4.7% 4.7% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.5
12-6 3.3% 4.7% 4.7% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.1
11-7 5.8% 3.3% 3.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.6
10-8 9.2% 1.9% 1.9% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.0
9-9 12.2% 0.9% 0.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.1
8-10 14.8% 0.4% 0.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 14.8
7-11 15.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.1
6-12 13.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.5
5-13 11.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.0
4-14 7.0% 7.0
3-15 3.7% 3.7
2-16 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 14.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 99.1 0.0%