Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +1.9 #129
Expected Predictive Rating +2.2 #131
Pace 63.3 #320
Improvement -2.6 #298

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #94 C B- C C+ D+
Defense #215 B- D+ D C- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% #336 1.15 #179 -4.2 #316
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #113 0.69 #289 +0.3 #165
Three Pointers 45% #102 1.13 #34 +4.6 #45
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #151 +0.7 #153
Freethrows 0.31 #172 78% #19 0.24 #114
Second Chance 33.8% #90 1.10 #105 0.37 #75
Turnovers 16.1% #158
Total Offense +3.1 #94

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #313 1.10 #100 +4.0 #57
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #91 0.65 #33 +0.0 #178
Three Pointers 43% #104 1.02 #191 -1.3 #243
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #85 +2.7 #90
Freethrows 0.31 #218 75% #302 0.23 #245
Second Chance 31.4% #220 1.14 #295 0.36 #272
Turnovers 14.2% #310
Total Defense -1.2 #215

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.8% #300 -1.4% #68
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 3.4% #121 -4.2% #100
Possession Length 18.4 #281 17.7 #237
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.09 #356 0.12 #33
Improvement +3.0 #42 -5.7 #363

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.0% 18.3% 14.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.9 13.3
.500 or above 97.1% 98.9% 93.4%
.500 or above in Conference 89.6% 94.5% 79.4%
Conference Champion 7.8% 10.6% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round17.0% 18.3% 14.2%
Second Round0.9% 1.0% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: College of Charleston (Home) - 67.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 22 - 22 - 3
Quad 37 - 69 - 9
Quad 410 - 419 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 49 @Central Florida L 78 - 82 13% -1  0 - 1 +10 +7 B- C C+ +3 A- D- A+
 Fri, Nov 7 225 @Iona L 73 - 81 60% -14  0 - 2 -9 -3 C+ D F -5 C D B
 Fri, Nov 14 323 @Bucknell W 83 - 77 79% +7  1 - 2 -1 +3 B- F C- -5 C- F A+
 Wed, Nov 19 147 @Temple L 76 - 81 43% -1  1 - 3 -1 +4 B- F+ C -5 D- A+ B-
 Fri, Nov 28 202 La Salle W 63 - 58 67% +3  2 - 3 +2 -7 C- F D- +10 A- C- B+
 Sat, Nov 29 206 Merrimack W 78 - 58 67% +12  3 - 3 +17 +9 B D D- +10 B A+ D+
 Sun, Nov 30 194 @Penn W 77 - 60 54% +4  4 - 3 +18 +8 B+ A F +11 A+ D- D+
 Wed, Dec 3 170 @Columbia L 70 - 72 49% -6  4 - 4 +0 +2 D A- D -2 C- A+ D
 Sun, Dec 7 92 @Pittsburgh W 80 - 73 25% +7  5 - 4 +16 +22 A+ C A+ -5 F+ A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 13 76 @Syracuse W 70 - 69 20% +0  6 - 4 +12 +17 A+ A- B- -5 C+ F+ C+
 Sun, Dec 21 176 Quinnipiac W 74 - 66 73% +2  7 - 4 +4 +3 F A+ D+ +1 A+ F+ F+
 Mon, Dec 29 207 Campbell W 86 - 72 77% +12  8 - 4 1 - 0 +8 +14 C+ A+ F+ -5 A F+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 201 @Drexel W 70 - 67 56% +8  9 - 4 2 - 0 +3 +12 B- A+ C -8 B- C- F
 Thu, Jan 8 163 @Towson W 78 - 67 47% +7  10 - 4 3 - 0 +14 +13 D+ A+ A +1 B- C- B+
 Sat, Jan 10 186 Monmouth W 67 - 64 OT 74% -1  11 - 4 4 - 0 -2 -7 F C C +5 A+ B+ C-
 Thu, Jan 15 238 @Stony Brook L 71 - 76 62% -6  11 - 5 4 - 1 -6 +10 C C A- -17 D- D- F
 Sat, Jan 17 193 Elon L 85 - 89 75% -3  11 - 6 4 - 2 -9 +11 A F+ D+ -20 F B- F
 Thu, Jan 22 293 @N.C. A&T L 78 - 79 73% +5  11 - 7 4 - 3 -5 +7 D C B+ -13 C+ F F
 Sat, Jan 24 133 @William & Mary L 82 - 89 39% -5  11 - 8 4 - 4 -2 +15 C B+ A+ -18 C- F F
 Thu, Jan 29 160 College of Charleston W 77 - 72 68%
 Sat, Jan 31 186 @Monmouth W 70 - 69 53%
 Thu, Feb 5 256 Northeastern W 83 - 73 83%
 Sat, Feb 7 163 Towson W 69 - 64 68%
 Thu, Feb 12 160 @College of Charleston L 74 - 75 46%
 Sat, Feb 14 121 @UNC Wilmington L 69 - 73 36%
 Thu, Feb 19 235 Hampton W 74 - 65 80%
 Sat, Feb 21 256 @Northeastern W 80 - 76 65%
 Sat, Feb 28 238 Stony Brook W 75 - 66 80%
 Tue, Mar 3 201 Drexel W 70 - 63 76%
Totals 18 - 11 11 - 7 +2 +3 C B- C -1 B- D+ D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 2.2 3.9 1.5 7.8 1st
2nd 0.2 4.6 9.7 4.7 0.4 19.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.8 10.3 5.5 0.4 19.1 3rd
4th 0.6 8.2 7.3 0.7 16.9 4th
5th 0.0 3.1 8.3 1.2 12.5 5th
6th 0.4 6.3 2.4 0.0 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.9 3.8 0.2 6.0 7th
8th 0.3 2.7 1.1 0.0 4.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 1.5 0.0 2.5 9th
10th 0.2 1.0 0.2 1.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.6 6.8 14.9 22.1 23.6 18.1 9.1 1.9 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 81.3% 1.5    1.0 0.6 0.0
13-5 43.1% 3.9    1.3 1.9 0.6 0.1
12-6 11.9% 2.2    0.2 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.8% 7.8 2.5 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 1.9% 31.3% 31.3% 11.9 0.1 0.4 0.1 1.3
13-5 9.1% 27.8% 27.8% 12.5 0.0 1.3 1.1 0.1 6.6
12-6 18.1% 25.0% 25.0% 12.8 0.0 1.4 2.5 0.6 0.0 13.6
11-7 23.6% 19.0% 19.0% 13.1 0.7 2.8 1.0 0.0 19.1
10-8 22.1% 13.2% 13.2% 13.3 0.3 1.5 1.1 0.1 19.2
9-9 14.9% 8.7% 8.7% 13.6 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 13.6
8-10 6.8% 6.6% 6.6% 14.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 6.4
7-11 2.6% 5.9% 5.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.5
6-12 0.7% 5.6% 5.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.7
5-13 0.2% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 17.0% 17.0% 0.0% 13.0 83.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 11.9 21.0 69.7 9.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%