Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -9.4 #317
Expected Predictive Rating -12.2 #338
Pace 69.7 #158
Improvement +3.6 #39

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #279 D+ C- D+ D+ B-
Defense #327 D+ D D C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #237 1.10 #250 -2.2 #262
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #321 0.75 #193 -2.9 #320
Three Pointers 50% #25 0.92 #298 +2.3 #105
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #255 -2.9 #260
Freethrows 0.27 #271 70% #274 0.19 #280
Second Chance 28.0% #254 1.05 #180 0.29 #238
Turnovers 17.7% #263
Total Offense -4.0 #279

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #106 1.28 #321 -4.3 #319
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #148 0.89 #343 -1.8 #314
Three Pointers 37% #289 0.99 #141 +2.6 #85
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #289 -3.5 #290
Freethrows 0.30 #192 76% #341 0.23 #212
Second Chance 32.5% #266 1.19 #335 0.39 #326
Turnovers 14.1% #316
Total Defense -5.4 #327

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.5% #83 0.2% #182
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -6.7% #293 6.6% #305
Possession Length 18.2 #263 16.7 #75
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #297 0.21 #313
Improvement +0.1 #173 +3.5 #23

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 5.5% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.5% 2.0% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 28.9% 57.2% 23.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 11.8% 3.0% 13.4%
First Four3.3% 5.1% 3.0%
First Round1.7% 3.1% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Navy (Away) - 14.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 410 - 1310 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 163 Towson L 56 - 67 20% -4  0 - 1 -11 -10 F+ F C -2 D+ B- D+
 Tue, Nov 11 339 NJIT L 64 - 66 68% +1  0 - 2 -16 -12 F+ B- F -4 B- F C
 Sat, Nov 15 334 Stonehill W 74 - 63 57% +3  1 - 2 -0 +5 B C C+ -5 F+ C A-
 Sun, Nov 16 272 @Fairfield L 82 - 85 28% -4  1 - 3 -6 +5 A- F F+ -11 C- F F
 Wed, Nov 19 122 @Duquesne L 78 - 92 9% -12  1 - 4 -9 +3 B- D+ C -10 D F A
 Fri, Nov 21 27 @Kentucky L 46 - 88 1% -26  1 - 5 -24 -19 F D+ F -4 C C+ D+
 Sun, Nov 30 364 Coppin St. W 95 - 84 89% +7  2 - 5 -12 +11 A+ B+ F -23 F C D-
 Wed, Dec 3 235 @Hampton L 71 - 93 22% -15  2 - 6 -23 -4 F A+ F -18 F A+ D+
 Tue, Dec 9 353 @VMI L 70 - 86 54% -15  2 - 7 -26 -1 F+ C C- -27 F F F
 Sat, Dec 13 286 Mount St. Mary's L 73 - 81 53% -5  2 - 8 -18 -7 B- F D -11 F F A-
 Sun, Dec 21 86 @George Mason L 79 - 86 5% +1  2 - 9 +3 +14 C+ A+ C+ -11 B F+ F+
 Wed, Dec 31 233 @American L 69 - 84 22% -10  2 - 10 0 - 1 -16 -0 B- D- F -17 F C- D-
 Sat, Jan 3 316 Lafayette L 64 - 79 61% -15  2 - 11 0 - 2 -27 -10 D- F C -19 F+ F F+
 Wed, Jan 7 335 @Army W 84 - 76 OT 45% +3  3 - 11 1 - 2 -0 +2 D- C D -2 B- D- F
 Sat, Jan 10 323 @Bucknell L 67 - 70 40% +9  3 - 12 1 - 3 -10 -6 C+ F F -4 C+ D+ A
 Wed, Jan 14 213 Colgate L 80 - 86 38% -3  3 - 13 1 - 4 -12 +0 C- D- A+ -12 C D- D-
 Sat, Jan 17 283 Boston University W 74 - 57 52% +1  4 - 13 2 - 4 +7 -7 F A+ C+ +14 A+ A- A
 Mon, Jan 19 304 @Lehigh L 81 - 88 35% +2  4 - 14 2 - 5 -12 +9 A- D- A -22 F D- F
 Sat, Jan 24 323 Bucknell W 67 - 62 63% +14  5 - 14 3 - 5 -8 -3 F C F -4 A+ D+ D+
 Wed, Jan 28 233 American W 77 - 68 41% +8  6 - 14 4 - 5 +2 -2 F B- C+ +4 C+ A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 31 178 @Navy L 65 - 76 15%
 Wed, Feb 4 304 Lehigh W 74 - 72 58%
 Sat, Feb 7 283 @Boston University L 71 - 76 31%
 Wed, Feb 11 316 @Lafayette L 73 - 76 39%
 Sun, Feb 15 325 Holy Cross W 75 - 71 63%
 Wed, Feb 18 335 Army W 79 - 74 67%
 Sat, Feb 21 213 @Colgate L 71 - 80 20%
 Wed, Feb 25 178 Navy L 68 - 73 31%
 Sat, Feb 28 325 @Holy Cross L 72 - 74 41%
Totals 10 - 19 8 - 10 -9 -4 D+ C- D+ -5 D+ D D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.5 3rd
4th 0.0 3.0 9.2 6.1 1.1 0.1 19.5 4th
5th 1.7 11.1 6.5 0.7 0.0 19.9 5th
6th 0.2 8.1 8.3 0.8 0.0 17.4 6th
7th 0.0 3.1 10.6 1.4 0.0 15.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 7.3 3.5 0.0 11.5 8th
9th 0.1 3.2 4.5 0.3 8.1 9th
10th 0.9 2.5 0.5 4.0 10th
Total 1.0 6.5 15.7 24.2 23.8 16.9 8.7 2.6 0.6 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 53.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 8.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.6% 9.8% 9.8% 16.0 0.1 0.6
11-7 2.6% 11.4% 11.4% 16.0 0.3 2.3
10-8 8.7% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.6 8.1
9-9 16.9% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 1.1 15.8
8-10 23.8% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.8 23.0
7-11 24.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.4 23.8
6-12 15.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 15.5
5-13 6.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.4
4-14 1.0% 1.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 16.0 96.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%