Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.1#339
Expected Predictive Rating-16.6#354
Pace69.5#185
Improvement-4.4#355

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#277
First Shot-3.1#264
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#244
Layup/Dunks+0.6#151
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#276
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#154
Freethrows-2.8#321
Improvement-0.8#242

Defense
Total Defense-7.0#351
First Shot-6.5#354
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#227
Layups/Dunks-5.9#347
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#203
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#178
Freethrows-0.7#227
Improvement-3.6#357
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.4% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.8% 7.3% 1.7%
.500 or above in Conference 20.3% 35.6% 20.0%
Conference Champion 1.0% 0.8% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 32.8% 19.8% 33.1%
First Four1.7% 2.3% 1.7%
First Round0.8% 1.0% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Mason (Away) - 2.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 48 - 149 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 139 Towson L 56-67 12%     0 - 1 -9.5 -12.1 +1.7
  Tue, Nov 11 352 NJIT L 64-66 68%     0 - 2 -17.9 -11.3 -6.7
  Sat, Nov 15 341 Stonehill W 74-63 51%     1 - 2 -0.2 +2.7 -2.2
  Sun, Nov 16 294 @Fairfield L 82-85 26%     1 - 3 -7.4 +5.6 -12.9
  Wed, Nov 19 138 @Duquesne L 78-92 8%     1 - 4 -9.5 +1.9 -10.5
  Fri, Nov 21 22 @Kentucky L 46-88 1%     1 - 5 -23.4 -18.6 -3.6
  Sun, Nov 30 364 Coppin St. W 95-84 84%     2 - 5 -10.5 +11.9 -22.6
  Wed, Dec 3 229 @Hampton L 71-93 17%     2 - 6 -23.0 -4.5 -17.5
  Tue, Dec 9 331 @VMI L 70-86 36%     2 - 7 -23.4 +0.4 -25.7
  Sat, Dec 13 298 Mount St. Mary's L 73-81 48%     2 - 8 -18.5 -9.0 -9.0
  Sun, Dec 21 77 @George Mason L 60-82 2%    
  Wed, Dec 31 249 @American L 72-81 20%    
  Sat, Jan 3 319 Lafayette W 74-73 55%    
  Wed, Jan 7 332 @Army L 73-77 37%    
  Sat, Jan 10 304 @Bucknell L 70-76 28%    
  Wed, Jan 14 180 Colgate L 72-79 27%    
  Sat, Jan 17 288 Boston University L 73-74 46%    
  Mon, Jan 19 309 @Lehigh L 71-77 30%    
  Sat, Jan 24 304 Bucknell L 73-74 49%    
  Wed, Jan 28 249 American L 75-78 39%    
  Sat, Jan 31 204 @Navy L 67-78 15%    
  Wed, Feb 4 309 Lehigh W 74-73 51%    
  Sat, Feb 7 288 @Boston University L 70-77 26%    
  Wed, Feb 11 319 @Lafayette L 71-76 33%    
  Sun, Feb 15 289 Holy Cross L 73-74 46%    
  Wed, Feb 18 332 Army W 76-74 59%    
  Sat, Feb 21 180 @Colgate L 69-82 13%    
  Wed, Feb 25 204 Navy L 70-75 32%    
  Sat, Feb 28 289 @Holy Cross L 70-77 26%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.1 2.6 0.7 0.1 5.8 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 3.9 1.0 0.1 7.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.3 1.9 0.1 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.2 3.0 0.2 0.0 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.4 6.9 4.0 0.4 0.0 15.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.6 7.3 4.2 0.7 0.0 18.3 9th
10th 0.4 1.6 4.2 6.5 6.3 3.0 0.5 0.0 22.5 10th
Total 0.4 1.6 4.4 8.0 11.4 14.0 14.7 13.7 11.6 8.5 5.5 3.5 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 92.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 68.1% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 46.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 15.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 3.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 17.9% 17.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.2% 16.7% 16.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.7% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.1 0.6
12-6 1.7% 10.3% 10.3% 16.0 0.2 1.6
11-7 3.5% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.3 3.2
10-8 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.3 5.2
9-9 8.5% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.3 8.2
8-10 11.6% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 11.4
7-11 13.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 13.6
6-12 14.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.6
5-13 14.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.9
4-14 11.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.4
3-15 8.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.0
2-16 4.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.3
1-17 1.6% 1.6
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.8 98.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%