Ohio
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#175
Expected Predictive Rating-1.2#186
Pace74.2#60
Improvement+3.1#22

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#139
First Shot+2.5#109
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#276
Layup/Dunks+1.7#113
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#29
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#256
Freethrows-0.2#194
Improvement+2.0#49

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#242
First Shot+0.9#133
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#340
Layups/Dunks-0.5#197
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#274
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#163
Freethrows+2.1#67
Improvement+1.1#101
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 5.2% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.2
.500 or above 45.3% 58.3% 33.1%
.500 or above in Conference 68.2% 79.9% 57.2%
Conference Champion 4.0% 6.7% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.6% 2.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round3.9% 5.2% 2.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bowling Green (Home) - 48.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 66 - 11
Quad 48 - 414 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 153 Arkansas St. L 85-89 56%     0 - 1 -6.6 +4.6 -10.9
  Thu, Nov 6 90 Illinois St. W 72-68 35%     1 - 1 +6.8 -0.5 +7.3
  Tue, Nov 11 39 @St. Mary's L 60-90 8%     1 - 2 -14.9 -3.3 -11.9
  Sat, Nov 15 10 @Louisville L 81-106 3%     1 - 3 -3.2 +9.5 -10.6
  Wed, Nov 19 227 Bethune-Cookman L 73-76 71%     1 - 4 -9.9 -0.5 -9.4
  Mon, Nov 24 77 George Mason L 69-92 21%     1 - 5 -15.3 +2.9 -19.1
  Tue, Nov 25 134 Loyola Marymount L 58-70 40%     1 - 6 -10.3 -12.6 +2.6
  Wed, Dec 3 336 Maine W 79-57 88%     2 - 6 +8.2 +9.4 +0.4
  Sat, Dec 6 161 Marshall W 88-81 57%     3 - 6 +4.1 +10.1 -6.3
  Sat, Dec 13 111 St. Bonaventure W 88-83 OT 33%     4 - 6 +8.4 +8.9 -0.9
  Sat, Dec 20 124 Bowling Green L 77-78 48%    
  Tue, Dec 30 323 @Central Michigan W 80-74 70%    
  Sat, Jan 3 226 @Eastern Michigan L 74-75 49%    
  Tue, Jan 6 152 Massachusetts W 82-81 56%    
  Sat, Jan 10 216 Buffalo W 82-77 70%    
  Tue, Jan 13 167 @Toledo L 80-83 38%    
  Fri, Jan 16 306 @Ball St. W 75-71 64%    
  Tue, Jan 20 327 Northern Illinois W 86-74 86%    
  Sat, Jan 24 65 Akron L 85-91 28%    
  Tue, Jan 27 131 @Kent St. L 83-89 30%    
  Sat, Jan 31 216 @Buffalo L 79-80 48%    
  Tue, Feb 3 253 Western Michigan W 82-75 74%    
  Sat, Feb 14 106 @Miami (OH) L 77-85 23%    
  Tue, Feb 17 306 Ball St. W 78-68 82%    
  Sat, Feb 21 327 @Northern Illinois W 83-77 70%    
  Sat, Feb 28 167 Toledo W 83-80 59%    
  Tue, Mar 3 152 @Massachusetts L 79-84 35%    
  Fri, Mar 6 106 Miami (OH) L 80-82 43%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 4.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.5 2.5 0.9 0.1 9.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.1 2.8 0.5 0.0 11.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.9 5.8 3.3 0.4 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.2 2.3 6.4 3.7 0.6 0.0 13.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 6.0 4.3 0.5 0.0 12.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.6 4.5 0.8 0.0 10.9 7th
8th 0.4 3.0 4.3 1.2 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.3 1.3 0.1 6.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 2.4 1.4 0.1 4.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.5 0.9 0.1 3.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 3.1 5.8 8.8 11.9 14.2 14.9 13.1 11.1 7.3 4.3 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 84.1% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
15-3 56.3% 1.2    0.7 0.5 0.0
14-4 28.5% 1.2    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 7.2% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 1.9 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 13.2% 13.2% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.8% 15.1% 15.1% 12.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7
15-3 2.2% 15.7% 15.7% 13.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.8
14-4 4.3% 11.5% 11.5% 13.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.8
13-5 7.3% 8.6% 8.6% 13.5 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 6.6
12-6 11.1% 6.8% 6.8% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 10.3
11-7 13.1% 4.9% 4.9% 14.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 12.5
10-8 14.9% 3.3% 3.3% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 14.4
9-9 14.2% 2.3% 2.3% 15.4 0.2 0.1 13.9
8-10 11.9% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.8
7-11 8.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.8
6-12 5.8% 5.8
5-13 3.1% 3.1
4-14 1.4% 1.4
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.3 1.0 0.3 96.0 0.0%