Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.9#327
Expected Predictive Rating-8.4#293
Pace71.3#136
Improvement-2.5#328

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#282
First Shot-4.5#300
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#152
Layup/Dunks-3.0#283
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#257
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#169
Freethrows-0.3#205
Improvement-3.1#355

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#343
First Shot-3.1#281
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#325
Layups/Dunks-3.1#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#187
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#185
Freethrows-0.1#185
Improvement+0.6#140
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.6
.500 or above 0.5% 0.8% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 6.4% 9.3% 2.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 37.0% 24.9% 55.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Michigan (Home) - 59.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 31 - 81 - 14
Quad 46 - 67 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 358 Louisiana Monroe W 102-82 76%     1 - 0 +2.7 +13.9 -12.5
  Fri, Nov 7 40 @Wisconsin L 72-97 2%     1 - 1 -10.1 +2.2 -11.1
  Mon, Nov 10 91 @Grand Canyon L 59-88 5%     1 - 2 -20.2 -9.2 -10.2
  Tue, Nov 18 93 @Northern Iowa L 57-70 5%     1 - 3 -4.4 -0.4 -5.7
  Fri, Nov 21 287 @Loyola Chicago W 76-59 28%     2 - 3 +13.1 +10.4 +5.1
  Tue, Nov 25 192 @Austin Peay L 59-77 16%     2 - 4 -17.1 -5.9 -12.6
  Tue, Dec 2 238 Lindenwood L 64-99 40%     2 - 5 -42.2 -14.6 -25.6
  Sat, Dec 6 116 @Bradley L 55-84 7%     2 - 6 -22.7 -15.5 -6.1
  Sat, Dec 13 190 @Elon L 79-85 15%     2 - 7 -4.9 +2.0 -6.8
  Sat, Dec 20 323 Central Michigan W 77-74 60%    
  Tue, Dec 30 216 Buffalo L 76-79 37%    
  Sat, Jan 3 131 @Kent St. L 76-91 9%    
  Tue, Jan 6 167 Toledo L 76-82 28%    
  Tue, Jan 13 226 @Eastern Michigan L 68-77 20%    
  Sat, Jan 17 152 Massachusetts L 76-83 25%    
  Tue, Jan 20 175 @Ohio L 74-86 14%    
  Sat, Jan 24 306 @Ball St. L 68-73 33%    
  Tue, Jan 27 253 Western Michigan L 76-78 44%    
  Sat, Jan 31 106 @Miami (OH) L 70-87 6%    
  Wed, Feb 11 124 Bowling Green L 71-80 21%    
  Sat, Feb 14 323 @Central Michigan L 74-77 39%    
  Tue, Feb 17 216 @Buffalo L 73-82 20%    
  Sat, Feb 21 175 Ohio L 77-83 30%    
  Tue, Feb 24 167 @Toledo L 73-85 14%    
  Sat, Feb 28 306 Ball St. W 71-70 55%    
  Tue, Mar 3 131 Kent St. L 79-88 22%    
  Fri, Mar 6 65 @Akron L 75-96 3%    
Projected Record 7 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 1.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.1 1.1 0.1 4.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.8 3.8 0.8 0.0 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.2 5.7 1.6 0.1 12.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 5.2 7.3 2.8 0.2 16.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.9 6.7 8.4 3.5 0.4 0.0 21.0 12th
13th 1.2 4.9 8.3 7.5 2.8 0.3 24.9 13th
Total 1.2 5.0 10.2 15.1 17.1 16.0 13.5 9.5 6.1 3.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 0.0%
14-4 30.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 5.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 5.7% 5.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.3% 0.3
11-7 0.8% 2.2% 2.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.7
10-8 1.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.7
9-9 3.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.4
8-10 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.1
7-11 9.5% 9.5
6-12 13.5% 13.5
5-13 16.0% 16.0
4-14 17.1% 17.1
3-15 15.1% 15.1
2-16 10.2% 10.2
1-17 5.0% 5.0
0-18 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%