Bucknell
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#305
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#296
Pace68.5#212
Improvement-1.6#290

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#320
First Shot-3.4#275
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#320
Layup/Dunks-6.7#349
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.9#14
Freethrows-1.0#248
Improvement-1.8#307

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#250
First Shot-3.0#280
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#140
Layups/Dunks+1.3#135
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#207
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#313
Freethrows-0.4#209
Improvement+0.1#172
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 5.5% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 10.8% 27.6% 10.5%
.500 or above in Conference 51.1% 67.5% 50.8%
Conference Champion 5.1% 10.6% 5.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.8% 4.1% 9.9%
First Four4.8% 3.2% 4.9%
First Round3.5% 4.1% 3.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa (Neutral) - 1.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 412 - 1112 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 284 Delaware W 78-70 57%     1 - 0 -1.6 -0.2 -1.6
  Fri, Nov 7 302 @Mount St. Mary's W 73-62 37%     2 - 0 +6.6 +3.9 +3.4
  Tue, Nov 11 257 @Princeton L 63-73 30%     2 - 1 -12.4 -7.6 -5.1
  Fri, Nov 14 115 Hofstra L 77-83 22%     2 - 2 -5.6 -0.1 -5.1
  Mon, Nov 17 102 @Pittsburgh L 50-84 8%     2 - 3 -26.4 -16.8 -12.3
  Thu, Nov 20 18 @St. John's L 49-97 1%     2 - 4 -27.8 -17.8 -6.4
  Mon, Nov 24 125 Bowling Green L 66-71 17%     2 - 5 -2.5 -2.8 +0.3
  Wed, Nov 26 209 Buffalo L 71-73 33%     2 - 6 -5.2 +4.7 -10.2
  Sun, Nov 30 162 Cornell L 72-101 32%     2 - 7 -32.2 -10.4 -20.2
  Wed, Dec 3 66 @Akron L 77-97 5%     2 - 8 -8.5 +6.1 -15.0
  Sat, Dec 6 285 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-73 57%     2 - 9 -16.6 -7.0 -10.2
  Tue, Dec 9 348 @Rider W 51-38 54%     3 - 9 +4.1 -14.7 +20.8
  Sat, Dec 20 22 Iowa L 57-80 1%    
  Wed, Dec 31 311 @Holy Cross L 69-71 42%    
  Sat, Jan 3 308 Lehigh W 72-68 63%    
  Wed, Jan 7 207 @Navy L 65-73 23%    
  Sat, Jan 10 340 Loyola Maryland W 76-70 72%    
  Wed, Jan 14 320 Lafayette W 72-67 66%    
  Sat, Jan 17 178 @Colgate L 66-76 19%    
  Wed, Jan 21 332 Army W 74-68 70%    
  Sat, Jan 24 340 @Loyola Maryland W 74-73 51%    
  Mon, Jan 26 320 @Lafayette L 69-70 45%    
  Sat, Jan 31 288 Boston University W 71-69 57%    
  Wed, Feb 4 248 @American L 69-75 30%    
  Sat, Feb 7 178 Colgate L 69-73 37%    
  Mon, Feb 9 207 Navy L 68-70 43%    
  Sat, Feb 14 288 @Boston University L 68-72 36%    
  Wed, Feb 18 248 American W 73-72 50%    
  Sun, Feb 22 311 Holy Cross W 72-68 64%    
  Wed, Feb 25 332 @Army L 70-71 49%    
  Sat, Feb 28 308 @Lehigh L 69-71 42%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.3 2.1 0.8 0.1 9.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.7 2.5 0.4 0.0 11.3 3rd
4th 0.5 3.7 5.9 2.3 0.4 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.5 6.4 2.7 0.3 0.0 13.4 5th
6th 0.2 3.0 6.5 3.3 0.3 0.0 13.3 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 5.7 3.2 0.3 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.4 3.1 0.5 0.0 10.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.3 2.5 0.5 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.5 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.7 6.4 9.5 12.7 14.2 14.2 12.6 9.9 7.1 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 92.0% 0.7    0.6 0.1
14-4 60.5% 1.3    0.8 0.5 0.0
13-5 39.1% 1.6    0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 13.2% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1
11-7 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.6 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 31.5% 31.5% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.8% 26.6% 26.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6
14-4 2.2% 20.0% 20.0% 15.9 0.1 0.4 1.7
13-5 4.0% 15.7% 15.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.4
12-6 7.1% 12.9% 12.9% 16.0 0.0 0.9 6.2
11-7 9.9% 10.3% 10.3% 16.0 1.0 8.9
10-8 12.6% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 1.0 11.6
9-9 14.2% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.8 13.5
8-10 14.2% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.4 13.7
7-11 12.7% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 12.5
6-12 9.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 9.4
5-13 6.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.4
4-14 3.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.7
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.6 94.1 0.0%