Preseason Rankings
Butler
Big East
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.8#66
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.7#156
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#53
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#83
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 2.2% 2.3% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 6.1% 6.3% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.8% 26.5% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 24.3% 25.0% 6.0%
Average Seed 8.0 8.0 8.9
.500 or above 55.9% 57.1% 21.9%
.500 or above in Conference 33.8% 34.6% 12.8%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.4% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 14.0% 13.5% 29.2%
First Four4.6% 4.7% 1.6%
First Round23.3% 24.0% 5.3%
Second Round12.5% 12.8% 2.9%
Sweet Sixteen3.7% 3.8% 0.4%
Elite Eight1.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Indiana (Home) - 96.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 10
Quad 25 - 48 - 15
Quad 33 - 111 - 16
Quad 46 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2025 298   Southern Indiana W 82-63 97%    
  Nov 08, 2025 359   IU Indianapolis W 84-57 99%    
  Nov 11, 2025 349   Chicago St. W 85-61 98%    
  Nov 15, 2025 44   @ SMU L 72-78 29%    
  Nov 21, 2025 70   South Carolina W 70-69 52%    
  Nov 23, 2025 46   Virginia L 64-67 39%    
  Nov 28, 2025 191   Wright St. W 81-67 89%    
  Dec 02, 2025 291   Eastern Michigan W 83-64 95%    
  Dec 06, 2025 62   Boise St. W 72-70 59%    
  Dec 13, 2025 59   Providence W 73-71 57%    
  Dec 16, 2025 4   @ Connecticut L 62-78 9%    
  Dec 20, 2025 71   Northwestern W 70-69 53%    
  Dec 22, 2025 357   NJIT W 82-56 99%    
  Dec 30, 2025 24   @ Creighton L 69-78 22%    
  Jan 03, 2026 39   Villanova L 67-68 47%    
  Jan 06, 2026 8   St. John's L 71-78 29%    
  Jan 14, 2026 50   @ Xavier L 72-77 33%    
  Jan 17, 2026 101   @ Seton Hall W 68-67 53%    
  Jan 20, 2026 84   DePaul W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 23, 2026 43   Marquette L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 28, 2026 8   @ St. John's L 68-81 15%    
  Jan 31, 2026 69   Georgetown W 75-71 61%    
  Feb 04, 2026 59   @ Providence L 70-74 38%    
  Feb 07, 2026 43   @ Marquette L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 11, 2026 4   Connecticut L 65-75 20%    
  Feb 15, 2026 101   Seton Hall W 71-64 71%    
  Feb 18, 2026 69   @ Georgetown L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 21, 2026 50   Xavier W 75-74 52%    
  Feb 25, 2026 39   @ Villanova L 64-71 28%    
  Mar 04, 2026 24   Creighton L 72-75 39%    
  Mar 07, 2026 84   @ DePaul L 72-73 48%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.0 6.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.8 2.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 8.4 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 3.7 3.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.5 3.7 1.1 0.1 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.8 3.6 1.0 0.0 12.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.4 3.2 0.8 0.1 13.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.5 4.9 2.6 0.6 0.0 12.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.6 3.7 1.9 0.3 0.0 11.7 10th
11th 0.3 1.1 2.2 2.5 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 9.0 11th
Total 0.3 1.1 2.5 4.4 6.7 8.5 10.3 11.0 10.6 10.6 9.4 7.8 5.9 4.3 2.9 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 89.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 72.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 40.6% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 15.6% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0
14-6 3.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 77.8% 22.2% 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.2% 100.0% 37.5% 62.5% 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.4% 100.0% 17.8% 82.2% 3.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.0% 100.0% 19.8% 80.2% 4.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.8% 99.5% 12.2% 87.3% 5.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.5%
14-6 2.9% 97.2% 11.5% 85.7% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 96.8%
13-7 4.3% 90.2% 6.4% 83.8% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.4 89.6%
12-8 5.9% 77.7% 4.2% 73.5% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.2 1.3 76.8%
11-9 7.8% 63.8% 2.8% 61.0% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.5 1.6 0.5 0.0 2.8 62.7%
10-10 9.4% 40.2% 1.3% 38.9% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.6 0.7 0.0 5.6 39.4%
9-11 10.6% 15.6% 0.8% 14.7% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 9.0 14.9%
8-12 10.6% 4.4% 0.5% 3.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 10.1 4.0%
7-13 11.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.9 0.7%
6-14 10.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.3 0.1%
5-15 8.5% 0.1% 0.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
4-16 6.7% 6.7
3-17 4.4% 4.4
2-18 2.5% 2.5
1-19 1.1% 1.1
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 25.8% 2.0% 23.8% 8.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.2 3.0 3.9 4.7 5.5 2.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 74.2 24.3%