IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Dartmouth
Ivy League
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.7	#230
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	75.2	#29
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.0	#264

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.7	#191

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.0%	7.3%	3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.3	13.8	14.3

.500 or above	37.7%	47.3%	21.3%
.500 or above in Conference	41.6%	47.5%	31.4%
Conference Champion	6.1%	7.7%	3.4%
Last Place in Conference	20.2%	16.2%	27.1%

First Four	0.4%	0.4%	0.5%
First Round	6.0%	7.3%	3.8%
Second Round	0.3%	0.4%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Marist (Home) - 63.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 5	3 - 10
Quad 4	8 - 5	11 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2025	237	Marist	W	67-63	63%
Nov 12, 2025	250	@ Bryant	L	78-80	43%
Nov 16, 2025	201	Appalachian St.	W	66-64	55%
Nov 29, 2025	297	@ St. Peter's	W	66-65	52%
Dec 03, 2025	356	New Hampshire	W	79-66	86%
Dec 06, 2025	155	@ Wyoming	L	66-73	28%
Dec 09, 2025	94	@ Colorado St.	L	65-77	14%
Dec 13, 2025	277	Boston University	W	70-64	68%
Dec 16, 2025	352	@ Holy Cross	W	75-69	68%
Dec 19, 2025	254	@ Sacred Heart	L	77-79	44%
Dec 29, 2025	5	@ Florida	L	64-92	1%
Jan 05, 2026	172	@ Harvard	L	67-73	31%
Jan 10, 2026	160	@ Cornell	L	78-84	30%
Jan 17, 2026	278	Penn	W	78-72	68%
Jan 19, 2026	171	Princeton	W	73-72	51%
Jan 24, 2026	265	Columbia	W	82-77	66%
Jan 30, 2026	92	@ Yale	L	68-80	15%
Jan 31, 2026	168	@ Brown	L	67-73	31%
Feb 07, 2026	172	Harvard	W	71-70	51%
Feb 13, 2026	92	Yale	L	71-77	30%
Feb 14, 2026	168	Brown	W	70-69	50%
Feb 21, 2026	265	@ Columbia	L	79-80	46%
Feb 27, 2026	278	@ Penn	L	74-75	49%
Feb 28, 2026	171	@ Princeton	L	69-75	32%
Mar 07, 2026	160	Cornell	L	80-81	49%
Projected Record						11 - 14	6 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.5	1.5	2.2	1.3	0.5	0.1		6.1	1st
2nd								0.1	1.5	3.6	3.2	1.1	0.2				9.7	2nd
3rd							0.2	2.5	5.5	3.0	0.7	0.0					11.9	3rd
4th						0.2	3.0	6.6	3.3	0.3	0.0						13.6	4th
5th					0.3	3.8	7.5	3.3	0.4								15.3	5th
6th			0.0	0.8	4.5	7.1	2.9	0.2									15.5	6th
7th		0.1	1.5	5.2	5.8	2.3	0.1	0.0									15.1	7th
8th	0.9	2.9	4.4	3.5	1.1	0.1											12.9	8th

Total	0.9	3.0	6.0	9.4	11.8	13.6	13.7	12.7	10.7	7.4	5.4	3.3	1.4	0.5	0.1			Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
13-1	100.0%	0.5		0.5	0.0
12-2	88.7%	1.3		1.0	0.3	0.0
11-3	65.8%	2.2		1.3	0.8	0.1
10-4	27.9%	1.5		0.5	0.7	0.3	0.0
9-5	6.8%	0.5		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1
8-6	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	6.1%	6.1		3.4	2.0	0.6	0.1

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.1%		50.1%	50.1%		11.3											0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0			0.1
13-1	0.5%		47.6%	47.6%		12.0												0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.3
12-2	1.4%		39.5%	39.5%		12.5												0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.9
11-3	3.3%		27.9%	27.9%		13.3												0.0	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	2.4
10-4	5.4%		19.5%	19.5%		13.6												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0	4.4
9-5	7.4%		16.4%	16.4%		14.2													0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	6.2
8-6	10.7%		9.4%	9.4%		16.2													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.3	9.7
7-7	12.7%		5.8%	5.8%		16.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	12.0
6-8	13.7%		1.2%	1.2%		16.2														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	13.6
5-9	13.6%																							13.6
4-10	11.8%																							11.8
3-11	9.4%																							9.4
2-12	6.0%																							6.0
1-13	3.0%																							3.0
0-14	0.9%																							0.9

Total	100%		6.0%	6.0%	0.0%	14.3											0.0	0.2	0.9	1.3	1.6	1.4	0.8	94.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%