IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.3	#199
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.7	#130
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.3	#211

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.0	#200

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	17.0%	20.2%	12.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	14.1	14.8

.500 or above	71.8%	81.5%	58.3%
.500 or above in Conference	82.1%	87.1%	75.2%
Conference Champion	23.8%	29.0%	16.6%
Last Place in Conference	1.6%	1.0%	2.4%

First Four	2.1%	1.7%	2.6%
First Round	17.1%	20.5%	12.5%
Second Round	0.8%	1.1%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Hofstra (Home) - 58.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	3 - 5	3 - 6
Quad 4	15 - 6	18 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2025	178	Hofstra	W	66-64	58%
Nov 11, 2025	301	@ UMKC	W	67-65	59%
Nov 14, 2025	164	Fordham	W	76-75	55%
Nov 18, 2025	171	Princeton	W	71-69	56%
Nov 21, 2025	104	Akron	L	74-81	27%
Dec 01, 2025	242	@ Delaware	L	76-77	47%
Dec 05, 2025	215	Quinnipiac	W	78-74	63%
Dec 07, 2025	254	@ Sacred Heart	L	76-77	49%
Dec 10, 2025	250	Bryant	W	80-75	68%
Dec 13, 2025	8	@ St. John's	L	62-86	2%
Dec 20, 2025	205	@ Vermont	L	63-66	41%
Dec 29, 2025	269	@ Mount St. Mary's	W	71-70	52%
Jan 02, 2026	222	Siena	W	73-69	64%
Jan 04, 2026	237	@ Marist	L	63-64	47%
Jan 09, 2026	335	Niagara	W	74-63	82%
Jan 11, 2026	346	Canisius	W	77-64	85%
Jan 14, 2026	313	@ Rider	W	70-67	61%
Jan 19, 2026	297	@ St. Peter's	W	65-63	57%
Jan 22, 2026	257	Merrimack	W	68-62	68%
Jan 24, 2026	260	Manhattan	W	77-71	69%
Jan 30, 2026	319	Fairfield	W	75-65	79%
Feb 05, 2026	222	@ Siena	L	70-72	44%
Feb 07, 2026	269	Mount St. Mary's	W	74-67	71%
Feb 13, 2026	346	@ Canisius	W	74-67	70%
Feb 15, 2026	335	@ Niagara	W	71-66	66%
Feb 20, 2026	297	St. Peter's	W	68-60	75%
Feb 22, 2026	257	@ Merrimack	L	65-66	49%
Feb 27, 2026	313	Rider	W	73-64	77%
Mar 01, 2026	260	@ Manhattan	W	74-73	50%
Projected Record						17 - 12	13 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	1.3	3.5	5.5	5.8	4.4	2.4	0.8		23.8	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	1.7	4.5	4.8	3.1	1.1	0.2	0.0			15.7	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	1.9	4.2	4.0	1.8	0.3	0.0					12.4	3rd
4th											0.1	1.4	3.9	3.5	1.0	0.1							10.1	4th
5th										0.0	1.0	3.1	3.4	0.9	0.1								8.6	5th
6th									0.0	0.5	2.6	3.1	0.9	0.1									7.3	6th
7th								0.0	0.3	1.9	2.6	0.9	0.1	0.0									5.8	7th
8th							0.0	0.1	1.4	2.3	1.1	0.1											5.1	8th
9th							0.1	0.8	1.8	0.9	0.1	0.0											3.8	9th
10th						0.1	0.6	1.4	0.9	0.1													3.1	10th
11th				0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	0.7	0.1														2.1	11th
12th			0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0														1.6	12th
13th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0															0.8	13th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.2	2.0	3.1	4.6	5.8	7.6	8.9	10.5	10.5	10.9	10.2	8.9	6.9	4.5	2.4	0.8			Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.8		0.8
19-1	99.8%	2.4		2.4	0.0
18-2	96.3%	4.4		3.9	0.5	0.0
17-3	83.6%	5.8		4.5	1.2	0.1
16-4	61.7%	5.5		3.3	1.9	0.3	0.0
15-5	34.4%	3.5		1.4	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0
14-6	11.5%	1.3		0.2	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-7	1.6%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	23.8%	23.8		16.5	5.8	1.3	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.8%		66.8%	66.8%		11.6							0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.3
19-1	2.4%		51.9%	51.9%		12.6											0.0	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0		1.2
18-2	4.5%		46.5%	46.5%		13.3												0.0	0.4	0.8	0.7	0.2	0.0	2.4
17-3	6.9%		36.0%	36.0%		13.8												0.0	0.2	0.8	0.9	0.4	0.1	4.4
16-4	8.9%		28.9%	28.9%		14.5												0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	0.8	0.2	6.4
15-5	10.2%		24.6%	24.6%		15.8													0.0	0.3	0.8	1.1	0.6	7.7
14-6	10.9%		18.5%	18.5%		16.9													0.0	0.1	0.3	1.1	0.8	8.9
13-7	10.5%		14.2%	14.2%		17.9														0.0	0.2	0.6	1.0	9.0
12-8	10.5%		9.4%	9.4%		17.6														0.0	0.0	0.4	0.7	9.5
11-9	8.9%		6.3%	6.3%		19.0															0.0	0.1	0.6	8.4
10-10	7.6%		3.4%	3.4%		18.4																0.0	0.2	7.3
9-11	5.8%		2.2%	2.2%		18.0																0.0	0.1	5.7
8-12	4.6%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	4.5
7-13	3.1%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	3.1
6-14	2.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.0
5-15	1.2%																							1.2
4-16	0.7%																							0.7
3-17	0.3%																							0.3
2-18	0.1%																							0.1
1-19	0.0%																							0.0
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		17.0%	17.0%	0.0%	15.2							0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.3	1.4	3.0	4.2	4.7	4.3	83.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	7.5						49.7	24.8			0.6	24.8