Jacksonville St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -2.2 205
Results Rating -4.2 237
Consistency 0.14 91
Pace 63.7 308
Improvement +3.4 66

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 240 C- C- C- C+ B+
Defense C 164 C C+ C D- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 48% 9 D 52% 317 +2.6 89
2 Pt. Jumpers 33% 235 F+ 30% 357 -3.5 336
Three Pointers 38% 250 B 37% 70 -0.2 184
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.4 25 D+ -2.5 269
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 214
Second Chance C- 28.7% 228 C- 0.99 247 C- 0.28 243
Opponents' Steals B- 8.5% 93
Other Turnovers D- 8.7% 333
Turnovers C- 17.2% 219
Freethrows B 0.34 58 D- 68% 328 C+ 0.23 132
Total Offense C- -2.5 240

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 37% 329 B- 9.6% 109
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 156 C- 6.2% 267
Three Pointers C- 81% 252 C+ 0.7% 123
Total D+ 50% 301 C 5.8% 213


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 198 C+ 57% 135 -0.8 144
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 298 C+ 37% 114 -1.7 50
Three Pointers 45% 61 C 34% 197 +2.2 291
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.4 252 C+ -0.7 149
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 162
Second Chance B- 27.8% 86 C 1.03 180 C+ 0.29 105
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.7% 230
Other Turnovers C+ 7.6% 122
Turnovers C 16.3% 200
Freethrows D 0.34 297 F 77% 357 D- 0.26 330
Total Defense C +0.3 164

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 45% 124 C 11.1% 163
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 212 D+ 3.6% 255
Three Pointers C 83% 154 D 0.2% 333
Total C 56% 194 C- 4.9% 223

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.6 298 17.3 175
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 208 0.18 234
Consistency 0.12 186 0.11 89
Improvement +2.1 88 +1.3 122

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 205 204 202
Results Rating Rank 236 236 235
Conference Record 10 - 10 10 - 10 10 - 10
Conference Finish 6 6 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 34 - 94 - 11
Quad 48 - 612 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 14 239 Coastal Carolina W 74 - 67 70% +7  80% 1 - 0 C -1 C +1 C- A- C C -1 A+ F F+
 Wed, Nov 19 207 South Alabama L 65 - 71 62% +6  81% 1 - 1 D -11 F+ -9 D+ D C- C- -3 C- C D
 Mon, Nov 24 144 @Arkansas St. L 63 - 74 28% -7  13% 1 - 2 D+ -7 F -14 F F+ F A- +7 C+ A+ B
 Wed, Nov 26 124 North Dakota St. L 43 - 56 33% -10  13% 1 - 3 D -11 F -26 F D- F A+ +13 C+ A+ C
 Mon, Dec 1 343 North Alabama L 66 - 73 89% +2  61% 1 - 4 F -23 F -13 F B C+ F -10 C D F
 Sat, Dec 13 305 @Georgia St. L 73 - 77 64% -5  5% 1 - 5 D -10 C +1 F+ B A+ F -11 D D- F
 Wed, Dec 17 298 Eastern Kentucky L 59 - 62 80% -5  3% 1 - 6 D- -14 F -20 F F C- B+ +5 B+ F+ A+
 Sat, Dec 20 165 @East Tennessee St. W 81 - 75 31% +1  46% 2 - 6 B +9 A+ +18 A+ C+ C- D- -8 F B B-
 Mon, Dec 29 152 Western Kentucky W 78 - 67 51% +12  89% 3 - 6 1 - 0 B +8 C+ +4 A+ F F B +5 A B B-
 Fri, Jan 2 289 @Delaware W 67 - 64 59% +4  86% 4 - 6 2 - 0 C -1 C- -0 C- C+ F C -1 D A F
 Sun, Jan 4 127 @Liberty L 69 - 78 23% -4  23% 4 - 7 2 - 1 C- -4 C- -1 F+ C B+ D+ -3 A+ F D
 Wed, Jan 7 187 Florida International W 71 - 64 59% +1  56% 5 - 7 3 - 1 C+ +2 C- -1 B+ A- F B +4 C A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 169 @Kennesaw St. L 82 - 88 32% -5  2% 5 - 8 3 - 2 C- -3 B- +4 A C C- D- -7 C F D-
 Wed, Jan 14 112 Sam Houston St. L 62 - 77 40% -7  1% 5 - 9 3 - 3 D- -15 D- -6 D D+ B F -10 F D+ B
 Sat, Jan 17 192 Louisiana Tech W 64 - 60 60% +10  98% 6 - 9 4 - 3 C -1 C+ +3 B- C C- C- -3 B F+ D+
 Fri, Jan 23 158 Middle Tennessee W 75 - 58 52% +9  95% 7 - 9 5 - 3 B+ +14 A- +10 A F C+ A- +7 A B D-
 Wed, Jan 28 187 @Florida International W 78 - 74 36% -4  17% 8 - 9 6 - 3 B- +5 D -6 C F C+ A +11 C A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 31 193 @Missouri St. L 67 - 74 37% -7  6% 8 - 10 6 - 4 D+ -6 D- -7 F+ A- F C+ +1 C- F+ C+
 Thu, Feb 5 152 @Western Kentucky W 71 - 66 29% +1  52% 9 - 10 7 - 4 B +8 D+ -3 F A- F A+ +12 A A+ C
 Sat, Feb 7 169 Kennesaw St. W 77 - 58 55% +11  92% 10 - 10 8 - 4 A- +16 C+ +3 B C+ C+ A+ +13 A+ D+ C
 Wed, Feb 11 259 UTEP L 64 - 69 73% -0  46% 10 - 11 8 - 5 D- -13 D+ -2 A- D+ F+ F -12 F B+ B-
 Sat, Feb 14 182 New Mexico St. L 70 - 79 58% -5  12% 10 - 12 8 - 6 D- -13 D+ -3 F C+ A+ F -10 C F D
 Wed, Feb 18 192 @Louisiana Tech L 71 - 77 37% -11  0% 10 - 13 8 - 7 C- -5 C -0 B+ F C+ D+ -4 F B+ B
 Sat, Feb 21 112 @Sam Houston St. L 78 - 82 20% -3  29% 10 - 14 8 - 8 C+ +2 B+ +8 B+ F A+ D -5 D+ C C
 Thu, Feb 26 289 Delaware W 80 - 70 OT 78% +2  59% 11 - 14 9 - 8 C -0 C+ +2 B+ C- C+ C- -2 C- A D+
 Sat, Feb 28 127 Liberty L 78 - 81 44% +3  81% 11 - 15 9 - 9 C- -4 B +6 B- C A+ F+ -10 F A+ C-
 Thu, Mar 5 182 @New Mexico St. L 75 - 77 OT 35% +6  82% 11 - 16 9 - 10 C -0 D -6 F A B- B+ +6 A- C D-
 Sat, Mar 7 259 @UTEP W 64 - 61 51% +3  82% 12 - 16 10 - 10 C +1 D- -7 D D+ F A- +8 B C+ B
 Tue, Mar 10 182 New Mexico St. L 63 - 68 46% -5  4% 12 - 17 D+ -6 D- -8 B+ F F C+ +1 C+ B C+
Totals 12 - 17 10 - 10 -2 C- -3 B D+ B+ C +0 B D- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D F+ B D+ 48% 33% 38% B+ C- C- C- C- C- B D- C+ C C+ C+ C C+ 38% 17% 45% D+ C B- C C+ C D F D-
1.05 52% 30% 37% -3 +1 1.00 29% 1.0 .28 17% .34 68% .23 1.08 57% 37% 34% -1 0 1.02 28% 1.0 .29 16% .34 77% .26
Nov
14		 Coastal Carolina C D- F B D- 47% 14% 39% A+ C- D A+ A- C A+ D+ A- C B+ F+ A+ A+ 32% 21% 47% D- A+ D F F F+ C- F F
1.11 48% 14% 37% -7 +1 0.92 24% 1.7 .39 12% .39 70% .27 1.00 47% 45% 16% -15 0 0.72 30% 1.3 .40 12% .27 94% .26
Nov
19		 South Alabama F+ F D+ B- D 33% 5% 62% B D+ D+ D D C- F F F C- B F A C 57% 19% 23% D- C- B+ F C D F B- F+
0.98 44% 33% 35% -4 +2 0.98 27% 1.0 .27 18% .07 25% .02 1.07 52% 56% 27% -3 +2 1.00 18% 1.5 .27 11% .41 63% .25
Nov
24		 Arkansas St. F F A+ F F 38% 16% 46% B- F B- F F+ F A+ F+ A+ A- B A+ C- B- 39% 8% 53% D- C+ A+ C+ A+ B F F+ F
0.86 47% 75% 17% -10 +1 0.84 31% 0.6 .18 20% .50 66% .33 1.01 53% 0% 35% -5 +2 0.96 22% 1.0 .22 22% .51 79% .40
Nov
26		 North Dakota St. F F F F F 29% 29% 43% D- F C F D- F A+ F A+ A+ F A+ F C- 23% 34% 43% A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ C F+ A+ C
0.69 42% 17% 22% -18 -2 0.62 29% 0.6 .17 24% .49 57% .28 0.90 70% 20% 42% +2 -3 1.00 23% 0.4 .09 16% .33 59% .19
Dec
1		 North Alabama F F F D+ F 46% 8% 46% B F D+ A+ B C+ A- F F+ F A- D B- B- 52% 10% 38% F C C- D- D F C F D
1.00 41% 0% 32% -13 +2 0.81 31% 1.5 .45 14% .35 45% .16 1.11 44% 40% 30% -9 +2 0.88 32% 1.2 .37 14% .32 78% .25
Dec
13		 Georgia St. C F F B F 54% 10% 37% A F+ C- A+ B A+ B- F F+ F A+ F D D 21% 26% 53% C D C- F D- F F F+ F
1.11 43% 20% 37% -8 +3 0.90 32% 1.3 .41 6% .32 50% .16 1.17 33% 45% 35% -3 -2 0.93 28% 1.2 .34 11% .54 84% .46
Dec
17		 Eastern Kentucky F F B+ F F 48% 14% 38% A- F D+ F F C- A+ B- A+ B+ A+ B D+ A 31% 13% 56% F B+ F C F+ A+ B+ F C
0.93 45% 50% 25% -10 +1 0.86 31% 0.5 .17 16% .47 76% .36 0.98 29% 33% 36% -8 0 0.87 39% 1.1 .42 27% .22 90% .19
Dec
20		 East Tennessee St. A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 5% 50% A- A+ A+ F C+ C- A+ F A+ D- B F F F 39% 21% 39% B- F A- D B B- F D- F
1.31 61% 50% 55% +18 +2 1.43 42% 0.7 .31 19% .54 67% .36 1.21 53% 50% 53% +12 0 1.26 21% 1.2 .25 18% .57 79% .45
Dec
29		 Western Kentucky C+ B- A+ A+ A+ 46% 3% 51% A+ A+ F+ F F F A+ C- A+ B A A- A A 31% 13% 56% C- A F A+ B B- D A C
1.13 63% 100% 50% +16 +3 1.40 20% 0.6 .12 25% .75 69% .52 0.97 41% 29% 27% -13 0 0.78 44% 0.6 .26 16% .36 67% .24
Jan
2		 Delaware C- D+ F C- D- 51% 3% 46% A+ C- D A C+ F A+ F A+ C D F C- D+ 28% 10% 62% D D C A+ A F A+ D- A+
1.11 55% 0% 33% -3 +3 1.03 26% 1.3 .33 18% .53 69% .37 1.06 64% 60% 35% +5 +1 1.14 19% 0.3 .06 13% .12 83% .10
Jan
4		 Liberty C- D- F D- F 51% 10% 39% A F+ B- D C B+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A A+ C- A+ 50% 4% 46% D+ A+ F B F D F F F
1.08 48% 20% 32% -8 +2 0.90 34% 1.2 .40 14% .35 89% .31 1.23 50% 0% 36% -4 +3 1.00 31% 0.9 .28 11% .49 79% .39
Jan
7		 Florida International C- C- A- A+ B+ 44% 10% 46% B B+ B- A- A- F A B- A B C- F+ A+ C 46% 23% 31% C+ C A+ F+ A+ C+ D- F F
1.10 56% 50% 42% +6 +2 1.17 38% 1.2 .46 25% .41 75% .31 0.99 59% 45% 27% -1 0 1.00 18% 1.2 .21 19% .36 84% .30
Jan
10		 Kennesaw St. B- C- A+ A+ A- 55% 4% 40% A+ A C+ D+ C C- B F D D- C+ A+ C- C+ 48% 9% 43% D- C C+ F F D- F D- F
1.13 54% 50% 47% +6 +3 1.21 31% 0.9 .28 17% .45 63% .28 1.21 55% 25% 35% -2 +2 1.02 33% 1.5 .52 14% .54 74% .40
Jan
14		 Sam Houston St. D- F A+ F+ F+ 47% 13% 40% A- D C F+ D+ B B F C F F A+ F F 49% 11% 40% F F B+ F D+ B A+ C- A+
1.00 48% 50% 28% -7 +2 0.91 29% 0.9 .26 14% .36 63% .23 1.24 74% 20% 47% +14 +2 1.34 30% 1.3 .39 19% .14 71% .10
Jan
17		 Louisiana Tech C+ D+ F A C+ 45% 9% 45% A- B- D+ B- C C- A- B+ A C- A- F+ A+ B- 40% 31% 29% B+ B F C- F+ D+ C F F
1.10 50% 0% 40% -3 +2 1.00 30% 1.1 .33 19% .38 78% .30 1.03 47% 46% 25% -6 -1 0.88 44% 0.9 .38 17% .27 92% .25
Jan
23		 Middle Tennessee A- D- F A+ A 60% 9% 32% A+ A C F F C+ B+ A A A- A+ F B+ A+ 40% 17% 43% F+ A B- B B D- C- A+ B-
1.23 50% 25% 60% +7 +3 1.21 26% 0.6 .15 15% .37 84% .31 0.95 42% 50% 30% -7 +1 0.89 28% 0.9 .25 13% .26 57% .15
Jan
28		 Florida International D A F F D+ 62% 8% 30% A+ C F C- F C+ A+ D A+ A C C- A- B- 50% 10% 40% F C A+ C+ A+ A+ D- D- F+
0.98 68% 25% 20% -1 +3 1.06 18% 1.0 .18 20% .50 69% .34 0.93 58% 40% 29% -3 +2 1.00 22% 1.0 .22 24% .36 73% .26
Jan
31		 Missouri St. D- B+ B F D 24% 50% 26% F F+ A+ F+ A- F A+ B A+ C+ F C+ B- D 21% 32% 47% A C- D F+ F+ C+ D+ A+ C+
0.98 70% 43% 18% -1 -5 0.90 50% 0.9 .47 26% .54 78% .42 1.08 90% 33% 32% +4 -3 1.04 35% 1.3 .44 18% .37 57% .21
Feb
5		 Western Kentucky D+ F A F F 56% 26% 18% B+ F A- C+ A- F A+ C+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A 26% 22% 52% A- A B A+ A+ C F+ F F
0.99 41% 50% 14% -12 +1 0.79 37% 1.0 .37 22% .90 72% .65 0.92 57% 17% 25% -12 -1 0.76 27% 0.6 .16 14% .39 88% .34
Feb
7		 Kennesaw St. C+ C- C+ A B 41% 11% 48% B B C C+ C+ C+ C+ D- C- A+ A B- A+ A+ 31% 12% 57% B- A+ B+ F D+ C C C C
1.16 53% 40% 41% +3 +1 1.11 30% 1.0 .30 15% .43 71% .30 0.88 44% 33% 21% -16 +1 0.71 30% 1.2 .36 17% .34 68% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
11		 UTEP D+ C+ D- A+ A- 37% 22% 41% C+ A- C- C- D+ F+ F+ F F F C F+ F F 24% 17% 59% F+ F C A+ B+ B- F D- F
1.07 60% 33% 47% +8 0 1.17 31% 1.0 .31 22% .30 57% .17 1.15 60% 43% 46% +12 -1 1.24 25% 0.7 .18 18% .39 74% .29
Feb
14		 New Mexico St. D+ F F D- F 43% 16% 41% B+ F F+ A+ C+ A+ F+ F+ F F C A+ B- B 42% 9% 49% F C B+ F F D F F F
1.06 40% 22% 29% -13 +1 0.78 23% 1.6 .37 5% .30 68% .21 1.20 58% 0% 32% -5 +2 0.96 28% 1.6 .44 12% .54 84% .45
Feb
18		 Louisiana Tech C F D A+ A- 36% 19% 45% C B+ F D- F C+ A- F C+ D+ F A F+ F 50% 15% 35% F F A+ C- B+ B F+ A- D+
1.01 41% 33% 48% +2 0 1.06 24% 0.9 .21 17% .38 64% .24 1.10 83% 29% 38% +13 +2 1.30 26% 0.9 .22 21% .34 58% .20
Feb
21		 Sam Houston St. B+ A+ F A- B+ 39% 22% 39% C B+ F F F A+ C- A C+ D D- B- D+ D+ 38% 20% 42% B- D+ B D C C F F F
1.16 76% 17% 38% +5 0 1.11 20% 0.7 .13 10% .30 78% .23 1.22 65% 33% 37% +3 0 1.09 32% 1.1 .35 16% .50 82% .41
Feb
26		 Delaware C+ D- F A+ B- 49% 8% 43% A+ B+ D+ B- C- C+ B A+ A C- A+ F F C+ 41% 6% 53% F C- C+ A+ A D+ F C- F
1.20 52% 0% 50% +4 +2 1.16 27% 1.1 .30 13% .31 94% .29 1.05 40% 67% 42% +1 +2 1.08 19% 0.3 .05 16% .34 79% .27
Feb
28		 Liberty B D+ A+ A C 59% 6% 35% A+ B- D A+ C A+ A+ D A F+ F F F F 44% 4% 52% C F A- A+ A+ C- F+ F F
1.23 52% 67% 41% +2 +3 1.12 27% 1.5 .40 11% .35 70% .25 1.28 76% 50% 44% +16 +3 1.40 12% 0.0 .00 13% .32 78% .25
Mar
5		 New Mexico St. D F F F F 39% 35% 25% D- F A C A B- A+ F C+ B+ F+ A+ A+ A- 32% 32% 36% B- A- A F C D- F A- F
0.99 40% 22% 23% -17 -2 0.65 42% 1.1 .47 13% .52 56% .29 1.01 67% 22% 25% -7 -2 0.84 26% 1.2 .30 12% .52 66% .34
Mar
7		 UTEP D- F D- A+ F+ 48% 20% 32% B+ D D- B- D+ F A- D- B- A- B- F A+ B 25% 36% 39% B+ B A+ F C+ B F D F
0.96 33% 33% 50% -5 +1 0.93 26% 1.1 .29 22% .42 68% .29 0.91 55% 44% 24% -5 -3 0.86 17% 1.4 .23 19% .41 73% .30
Mar
10		 New Mexico St. D- A+ F C- B 43% 12% 45% A B+ F+ F F F B- F D+ C+ A A+ F C+ 37% 31% 33% C C+ B- B+ B C+ F F+ F
0.98 78% 0% 32% +2 +1 1.10 23% 0.6 .13 20% .39 65% .25 1.06 44% 20% 50% -3 -1 0.94 31% 0.8 .26 16% .42 78% .33



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%