Kansas St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#67
Expected Predictive Rating+8.7#70
Pace79.2#15
Improvement-2.0#311

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#61
First Shot+4.1#74
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#84
Layup/Dunks+4.1#50
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#327
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#69
Freethrows-0.8#234
Improvement-0.7#238

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#91
First Shot+3.3#76
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#238
Layups/Dunks-0.8#205
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#71
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#109
Freethrows+0.5#140
Improvement-1.3#286
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.0% 1.1% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.6% 18.1% 8.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 17.4% 17.9% 8.5%
Average Seed 9.1 9.1 9.3
.500 or above 50.2% 51.5% 25.4%
.500 or above in Conference 21.2% 21.6% 13.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 11.0% 10.6% 18.3%
First Four4.7% 4.8% 2.7%
First Round14.9% 15.4% 6.9%
Second Round6.4% 6.6% 3.3%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 1.2% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.4%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Home) - 94.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 12
Quad 24 - 38 - 15
Quad 33 - 111 - 16
Quad 45 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 291 UNC Greensboro W 93-64 95%     1 - 0 +18.9 +2.5 +12.7
  Sat, Nov 8 275 Bellarmine W 98-71 94%     2 - 0 +17.9 +16.2 +1.3
  Thu, Nov 13 80 California W 99-96 66%     3 - 0 +7.1 +17.1 -10.3
  Mon, Nov 17 81 Tulsa W 84-83 66%     4 - 0 +5.1 +4.0 +1.1
  Thu, Nov 20 84 Mississippi St. W 98-77 57%     5 - 0 +27.6 +21.2 +5.1
  Fri, Nov 21 24 Nebraska L 85-86 26%     5 - 1 +14.1 +12.5 +1.6
  Tue, Nov 25 26 @Indiana L 69-86 19%     5 - 2 +0.8 -0.4 +2.5
  Mon, Dec 1 125 Bowling Green L 66-82 80%     5 - 3 -16.5 +0.6 -18.5
  Sat, Dec 6 58 Seton Hall L 67-78 57%     5 - 4 -4.3 -6.8 +3.5
  Mon, Dec 8 365 Mississippi Valley W 108-49 99.5%    6 - 4 +33.0 +15.9 +12.3
  Sat, Dec 13 38 @Creighton W 83-76 25%     7 - 4 +22.4 +21.1 +1.7
  Sat, Dec 20 274 South Dakota W 97-80 95%    
  Sun, Dec 28 356 Louisiana Monroe W 95-70 99%    
  Sat, Jan 3 9 BYU L 77-85 22%    
  Wed, Jan 7 3 @Arizona L 76-93 6%    
  Sat, Jan 10 63 @Arizona St. L 81-84 38%    
  Wed, Jan 14 55 Central Florida W 86-84 56%    
  Sat, Jan 17 51 @Oklahoma St. L 86-91 33%    
  Tue, Jan 20 119 Utah W 87-79 78%    
  Sat, Jan 24 17 Kansas L 74-80 30%    
  Tue, Jan 27 68 @West Virginia L 73-76 40%    
  Sun, Feb 1 4 Iowa St. L 76-87 17%    
  Sat, Feb 7 54 @TCU L 76-81 34%    
  Wed, Feb 11 69 Cincinnati W 79-76 62%    
  Sat, Feb 14 8 @Houston L 66-81 10%    
  Tue, Feb 17 32 Baylor L 85-87 43%    
  Sat, Feb 21 27 @Texas Tech L 77-86 21%    
  Wed, Feb 25 65 @Colorado L 83-86 39%    
  Sat, Feb 28 54 TCU W 79-78 55%    
  Tue, Mar 3 68 West Virginia W 76-73 61%    
  Sat, Mar 7 17 @Kansas L 71-83 15%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.7 4th
5th 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.5 0.0 2.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 2.3 0.9 0.1 4.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.3 1.9 0.2 0.0 6.2 7th
8th 0.4 3.3 3.4 0.5 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.1 2.3 4.9 1.3 0.1 8.7 9th
10th 1.1 5.5 2.9 0.2 9.7 10th
11th 0.4 4.0 5.1 0.8 0.0 10.2 11th
12th 0.1 2.3 6.4 1.9 0.0 10.7 12th
13th 0.0 1.3 5.2 3.5 0.3 0.0 10.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.8 4.3 4.9 0.8 0.0 10.8 14th
15th 0.1 0.9 3.4 4.2 1.2 0.0 9.9 15th
16th 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.9 0.9 0.0 5.4 16th
Total 0.1 0.9 2.7 6.1 10.7 14.0 15.9 15.5 12.9 9.6 5.7 3.2 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 55.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 27.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 100.0% 100.0% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.8% 99.6% 2.2% 97.4% 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6%
12-6 1.7% 99.6% 1.2% 98.4% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.6%
11-7 3.2% 92.4% 0.7% 91.6% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.2 92.3%
10-8 5.7% 81.4% 0.5% 80.9% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.5 1.3 0.4 1.1 81.3%
9-9 9.6% 50.1% 0.3% 49.8% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.9 1.8 0.0 4.8 50.0%
8-10 12.9% 16.9% 0.0% 16.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 0.1 10.7 16.8%
7-11 15.5% 1.7% 1.7% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 15.2 1.7%
6-12 15.9% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 15.8 0.1%
5-13 14.0% 14.0
4-14 10.7% 10.7
3-15 6.1% 6.1
2-16 2.7% 2.7
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 17.6% 0.1% 17.4% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.1 3.5 4.0 4.0 0.1 82.4 17.4%