IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Kansas St.
Big 12
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+9.6	#57
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.6	#194
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.2	#69

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.5	#47

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.5%	0.5%	0.1%
Top 4 Seed	2.6%	2.7%	0.6%
Top 6 Seed	7.2%	7.5%	1.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid	27.6%	28.8%	10.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	27.0%	28.2%	10.1%
Average Seed	7.9	7.9	8.6

.500 or above	62.3%	64.4%	31.6%
.500 or above in Conference	35.0%	36.2%	18.2%
Conference Champion	0.8%	0.8%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	10.2%	9.5%	20.5%

First Four	4.8%	4.9%	2.9%
First Round	25.2%	26.3%	8.8%
Second Round	14.1%	14.8%	4.8%
Sweet Sixteen	4.5%	4.7%	1.3%
Elite Eight	1.6%	1.7%	0.4%
Final Four	0.5%	0.6%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: UNC Greensboro (Home) - 93.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 7	1 - 7
Quad 1b	2 - 4	3 - 10
Quad 2	4 - 3	7 - 13
Quad 3	4 - 1	11 - 14
Quad 4	6 - 0	17 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	225	UNC Greensboro	W	73-57	94%
Nov 08, 2025	320	Bellarmine	W	82-60	98%
Nov 13, 2025	91	California	W	74-67	73%
Nov 17, 2025	149	Tulsa	W	75-63	86%
Nov 20, 2025	33	Mississippi St.	L	70-74	36%
Nov 25, 2025	34	@ Indiana	L	67-74	27%
Dec 01, 2025	220	Bowling Green	W	79-63	92%
Dec 06, 2025	101	Seton Hall	W	69-61	75%
Dec 08, 2025	365	Mississippi Valley	W	84-46	100.0%
Dec 13, 2025	24	@ Creighton	L	67-75	23%
Dec 20, 2025	294	South Dakota	W	91-71	96%
Dec 28, 2025	348	Louisiana Monroe	W	82-57	98%
Jan 03, 2026	9	BYU	L	70-76	31%
Jan 07, 2026	10	@ Arizona	L	69-80	17%
Jan 10, 2026	68	@ Arizona St.	L	70-72	44%
Jan 14, 2026	74	Central Florida	W	78-73	66%
Jan 17, 2026	73	@ Oklahoma St.	L	74-75	46%
Jan 20, 2026	88	Utah	W	75-68	72%
Jan 24, 2026	13	Kansas	L	68-73	34%
Jan 27, 2026	61	@ West Virginia	L	64-67	41%
Feb 01, 2026	20	Iowa St.	L	68-72	37%
Feb 07, 2026	55	@ TCU	L	67-70	40%
Feb 11, 2026	45	Cincinnati	W	67-66	52%
Feb 14, 2026	1	@ Houston	L	54-72	7%
Feb 17, 2026	23	Baylor	L	67-70	41%
Feb 21, 2026	12	@ Texas Tech	L	64-75	17%
Feb 25, 2026	82	@ Colorado	L	69-70	50%
Feb 28, 2026	55	TCU	W	70-67	59%
Mar 03, 2026	61	West Virginia	W	67-64	61%
Mar 07, 2026	13	@ Kansas	L	65-76	19%
Projected Record						16 - 14	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0		0.8	1st
2nd													0.2	0.5	0.8	0.3	0.1				1.9	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	1.0	1.3	0.4	0.1	0.0				3.0	3rd
4th											0.2	1.3	1.9	0.7	0.1						4.2	4th
5th										0.1	1.2	2.6	1.2	0.1							5.2	5th
6th									0.0	1.1	3.3	1.9	0.2								6.5	6th
7th									0.6	3.1	2.7	0.5	0.0								6.9	7th
8th								0.2	2.4	3.7	1.0	0.0									7.3	8th
9th							0.1	1.7	4.4	2.0	0.1										8.4	9th
10th						0.0	0.8	4.3	3.2	0.4	0.0										8.7	10th
11th					0.0	0.4	3.4	4.3	0.9	0.0											9.0	11th
12th				0.0	0.2	2.3	4.5	1.7	0.1												8.8	12th
13th				0.1	1.6	4.0	2.4	0.2	0.0												8.4	13th
14th		0.0	0.1	1.3	3.4	2.7	0.4														8.0	14th
15th		0.2	1.2	2.9	2.5	0.5	0.0	0.0													7.3	15th
16th	0.4	1.3	2.1	1.5	0.4	0.0	0.0														5.7	16th

Total	0.4	1.5	3.4	5.8	8.1	10.0	11.8	12.4	11.7	10.3	8.5	6.6	4.4	2.7	1.5	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.0			Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	73.0%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
15-3	41.8%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0
14-4	13.1%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	1.8%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.1%	0.0					0.0		0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.8%	0.8		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	50.0%	50.0%	2.0		0.0		0.0																100.0%
17-1	0.0%		100.0%	41.1%	58.9%	2.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
16-2	0.3%		100.0%	22.1%	77.9%	2.6		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0														100.0%
15-3	0.7%		100.0%	13.1%	86.9%	3.5		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1		0.0											100.0%
14-4	1.5%		100.0%	10.9%	89.1%	4.4		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0									100.0%
13-5	2.7%		98.3%	4.6%	93.7%	5.9			0.0	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		98.2%
12-6	4.4%		95.0%	3.1%	91.9%	7.0			0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	0.8	0.9	0.8	0.5	0.3	0.0						0.2		94.9%
11-7	6.6%		83.2%	1.7%	81.5%	7.9			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.0	1.3	1.1	0.8	0.2						1.1		82.9%
10-8	8.5%		66.2%	0.8%	65.4%	8.9				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.1	1.4	1.6	0.6	0.0					2.9		65.9%
9-9	10.3%		43.4%	0.6%	42.8%	9.4						0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.1	1.6	0.8	0.0					5.9		43.0%
8-10	11.7%		17.0%	0.1%	16.9%	10.2							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	0.9	0.0					9.7		16.9%
7-11	12.4%		5.4%	0.2%	5.2%	10.4								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.0					11.7		5.2%
6-12	11.8%		0.7%	0.0%	0.7%	10.5									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1						11.7		0.7%
5-13	10.0%		0.0%	0.0%		11.0												0.0						10.0
4-14	8.1%																							8.1
3-15	5.8%																							5.8
2-16	3.4%																							3.4
1-17	1.5%																							1.5
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		27.6%	0.9%	26.8%	7.9		0.2	0.3	0.8	1.3	1.9	2.7	3.4	4.3	4.6	5.2	2.9	0.1					72.4		27.0%