Lafayette
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.4#319
Expected Predictive Rating-13.6#340
Pace68.5#210
Improvement+2.9#27

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#333
First Shot-4.4#299
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#288
Layup/Dunks-2.8#281
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#265
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#175
Freethrows-0.2#199
Improvement-0.3#204

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#281
First Shot-0.5#191
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#334
Layups/Dunks-4.1#313
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#83
Freethrows+2.8#40
Improvement+3.2#10
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 5.0% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 4.2% 10.6% 2.9%
.500 or above in Conference 34.2% 45.4% 31.9%
Conference Champion 2.5% 3.6% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 19.3% 13.6% 20.4%
First Four3.2% 4.4% 3.0%
First Round1.6% 2.6% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Away) - 17.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 410 - 1310 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 172 @Saint Joseph's L 76-85 14%     0 - 1 -7.0 +5.2 -12.0
  Sat, Nov 8 40 @Texas L 60-97 2%     0 - 2 -22.2 -6.9 -15.8
  Thu, Nov 13 163 Cornell L 78-97 27%     0 - 3 -22.1 -6.1 -14.7
  Mon, Nov 17 64 @West Virginia L 59-81 4%     0 - 4 -10.4 -4.0 -7.4
  Fri, Nov 21 341 @Stonehill L 70-74 45%     0 - 5 -12.2 -5.9 -6.3
  Fri, Nov 28 307 Le Moyne L 63-76 57%     0 - 6 -24.3 -17.9 -6.5
  Sat, Nov 29 306 Ball St. W 55-37 57%     1 - 6 +6.8 -14.3 +23.6
  Sun, Nov 30 220 Monmouth L 74-88 39%     1 - 7 -20.6 -3.0 -17.5
  Fri, Dec 5 329 Mercyhurst W 79-71 64%     2 - 7 -5.2 +8.4 -12.8
  Mon, Dec 8 255 @Penn L 72-74 25%     2 - 8 -4.2 -4.8 +0.6
  Thu, Dec 18 194 @Charlotte L 63-73 17%    
  Sat, Dec 20 131 @Georgia Tech L 63-77 9%    
  Wed, Dec 31 181 Colgate L 69-74 32%    
  Sat, Jan 3 339 @Loyola Maryland L 73-74 45%    
  Wed, Jan 7 289 Boston University W 71-70 52%    
  Sat, Jan 10 204 @Navy L 65-74 19%    
  Wed, Jan 14 304 @Bucknell L 67-72 34%    
  Sat, Jan 17 290 Holy Cross W 71-70 52%    
  Wed, Jan 21 289 @Boston University L 68-73 31%    
  Sat, Jan 24 309 @Lehigh L 68-72 35%    
  Mon, Jan 26 304 Bucknell W 70-69 56%    
  Sat, Jan 31 249 @American L 69-76 25%    
  Wed, Feb 4 204 Navy L 68-71 37%    
  Sat, Feb 7 332 @Army L 70-72 43%    
  Wed, Feb 11 339 Loyola Maryland W 76-71 67%    
  Sat, Feb 14 309 Lehigh W 71-69 57%    
  Wed, Feb 18 290 @Holy Cross L 68-73 32%    
  Sat, Feb 21 249 American L 72-73 45%    
  Wed, Feb 25 181 @Colgate L 66-77 16%    
  Sat, Feb 28 332 Army W 73-69 64%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.5 1st
2nd 0.3 1.7 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 5.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.1 4.2 1.4 0.1 9.3 4th
5th 0.3 3.2 5.9 1.8 0.2 0.0 11.3 5th
6th 0.3 2.8 6.2 2.5 0.2 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.5 3.4 0.2 0.0 13.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.8 6.2 3.9 0.5 0.0 13.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.1 5.6 3.5 0.5 0.0 13.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.3 3.7 2.1 0.5 0.0 12.0 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.2 7.2 10.8 13.2 14.1 13.7 12.1 8.9 6.3 3.7 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 93.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 93.6% 0.3    0.2 0.0
14-4 74.8% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 43.2% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 15.2% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
11-7 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 51.7% 51.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.3% 23.4% 23.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.2
14-4 0.8% 12.4% 12.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.7
13-5 2.1% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 1.8
12-6 3.7% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 0.4 3.3
11-7 6.3% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.6 5.8
10-8 8.9% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.6 8.3
9-9 12.1% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.6 11.5
8-10 13.7% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.4 13.3
7-11 14.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.9
6-12 13.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.1
5-13 10.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.7
4-14 7.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.1
3-15 4.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.2
2-16 1.9% 1.9
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.4 96.6 0.0%