Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#238
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#176
Pace77.2#26
Improvement+3.7#16

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#258
First Shot-4.4#298
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#121
Layup/Dunks+3.0#80
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#268
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.0#349
Freethrows+1.2#106
Improvement+2.4#34

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#187
First Shot+0.5#153
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#270
Layups/Dunks-1.4#236
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#92
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#117
Freethrows-1.3#266
Improvement+1.3#86
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.2% 19.1% 11.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 76.6% 79.6% 53.9%
.500 or above in Conference 85.6% 88.1% 66.0%
Conference Champion 27.7% 29.7% 12.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.4% 3.9%
First Four3.7% 3.8% 3.3%
First Round16.3% 17.3% 9.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Illinois (Home) - 88.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 416 - 717 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 24 @Texas Tech L 60-98 3%     0 - 1 -20.0 -10.6 -6.1
  Mon, Nov 10 43 @Saint Louis L 66-109 5%     0 - 2 -28.3 -8.6 -13.8
  Fri, Nov 14 264 Charleston Southern W 83-77 55%     1 - 2 +0.5 +0.1 -0.2
  Sun, Nov 16 280 @Alabama A&M L 65-74 48%     1 - 3 -12.5 -5.5 -7.2
  Thu, Nov 20 25 @Indiana L 53-73 3%     1 - 4 -2.1 -11.4 +9.5
  Mon, Nov 24 347 UMKC W 80-67 84%     2 - 4 -1.9 -2.9 +0.1
  Tue, Dec 2 327 @Northern Illinois W 99-64 60%     3 - 4 +28.1 +16.3 +9.8
  Sat, Dec 6 333 @Eastern Illinois W 82-74 63%     4 - 4 1 - 0 +0.5 +5.8 -5.5
  Thu, Dec 18 354 Western Illinois W 78-65 88%    
  Tue, Dec 23 251 @Missouri St. L 70-72 43%    
  Thu, Jan 1 322 Morehead St. W 79-71 78%    
  Sat, Jan 3 316 Southern Indiana W 82-74 77%    
  Tue, Jan 6 235 @SIU Edwardsville L 70-73 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 313 Arkansas Little Rock W 78-70 77%    
  Thu, Jan 15 214 @Southeast Missouri St. L 76-80 36%    
  Sat, Jan 17 252 @Tennessee Martin L 71-73 43%    
  Thu, Jan 22 266 Tennessee Tech W 80-76 66%    
  Sat, Jan 24 231 Tennessee St. W 77-74 61%    
  Thu, Jan 29 316 @Southern Indiana W 79-77 58%    
  Sat, Jan 31 322 @Morehead St. W 76-74 59%    
  Tue, Feb 3 235 SIU Edwardsville W 73-70 61%    
  Thu, Feb 5 313 @Arkansas Little Rock W 75-73 57%    
  Thu, Feb 12 252 Tennessee Martin W 74-70 64%    
  Sat, Feb 14 214 Southeast Missouri St. W 79-77 58%    
  Thu, Feb 19 231 @Tennessee St. L 74-77 39%    
  Sat, Feb 21 266 @Tennessee Tech L 77-79 45%    
  Thu, Feb 26 333 Eastern Illinois W 76-67 80%    
  Sat, Feb 28 354 @Western Illinois W 75-68 72%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.4 4.5 6.9 6.6 4.7 2.4 0.8 0.1 27.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.9 5.6 6.3 3.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 18.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 5.4 5.0 1.9 0.2 0.0 14.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.6 4.8 1.3 0.1 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.8 1.0 0.1 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.3 0.9 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.5 0.9 0.0 5.2 7th
8th 0.2 0.9 1.6 0.6 0.0 3.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 2.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.2 4.0 6.3 9.0 11.0 13.3 13.3 12.9 10.2 7.6 4.8 2.4 0.8 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8
18-2 99.6% 2.4    2.4 0.0
17-3 97.9% 4.7    4.4 0.3 0.0
16-4 87.1% 6.6    5.3 1.3 0.0
15-5 67.2% 6.9    4.3 2.3 0.3 0.0
14-6 35.2% 4.5    1.6 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-7 10.3% 1.4    0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-8 1.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 27.7% 27.7 19.1 6.5 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 53.5% 53.5% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.8% 46.4% 46.4% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4
18-2 2.4% 52.6% 52.6% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.1
17-3 4.8% 39.9% 39.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.2 2.9
16-4 7.6% 38.2% 38.2% 15.1 0.0 0.4 1.7 0.8 4.7
15-5 10.2% 31.0% 31.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 1.5 1.5 7.0
14-6 12.9% 25.3% 25.3% 15.6 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.1 9.6
13-7 13.3% 18.4% 18.4% 15.8 0.0 0.4 2.0 10.8
12-8 13.3% 11.4% 11.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.3 11.8
11-9 11.0% 6.4% 6.4% 15.9 0.1 0.7 10.3
10-10 9.0% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 8.7
9-11 6.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 6.1
8-12 4.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.0
7-13 2.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.2
6-14 1.2% 1.2
5-15 0.5% 0.5
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 18.2% 18.2% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 6.6 9.2 81.8 0.0%