Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#179
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#216
Pace62.5#340
Improvement+2.4#50

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#265
First Shot-3.7#279
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#188
Layup/Dunks+5.0#41
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#110
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.1#334
Freethrows-3.7#348
Improvement+2.3#37

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#99
First Shot+3.2#75
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#249
Layups/Dunks+2.2#102
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#144
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#169
Freethrows+0.1#174
Improvement+0.1#186
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.0% 7.4% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.8 14.2
.500 or above 59.2% 71.5% 49.1%
.500 or above in Conference 58.0% 64.6% 52.7%
Conference Champion 6.7% 8.4% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 3.7% 6.7%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round5.9% 7.4% 4.8%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Away) - 44.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 31 - 3
Quad 34 - 75 - 11
Quad 411 - 415 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 98 @Nevada L 50-77 19%     0 - 1 -19.0 -13.8 -8.3
  Sat, Nov 15 315 Jackson St. W 68-51 84%     1 - 1 +4.9 -6.4 +11.7
  Wed, Nov 19 181 @Indiana St. L 51-60 39%     1 - 2 -7.4 -20.2 +12.9
  Wed, Nov 26 181 Indiana St. W 75-73 62%     2 - 2 -2.4 +4.7 -7.1
  Sat, Nov 29 331 Alcorn St. W 83-58 87%     3 - 2 +11.6 +13.2 +1.1
  Wed, Dec 3 237 @Georgia Southern L 69-77 49%     3 - 3 -9.1 -2.4 -7.1
  Sat, Dec 13 326 Louisiana W 65-44 86%     4 - 3 +8.2 -0.4 +12.0
  Wed, Dec 17 206 @Tulane L 68-69 45%    
  Mon, Dec 29 218 UTEP W 65-60 69%    
  Fri, Jan 2 158 @Middle Tennessee L 65-69 34%    
  Sun, Jan 4 145 @Western Kentucky L 68-73 32%    
  Thu, Jan 8 107 Liberty L 65-67 42%    
  Sat, Jan 10 284 Delaware W 68-60 78%    
  Wed, Jan 14 158 Middle Tennessee W 68-66 56%    
  Sat, Jan 17 253 @Jacksonville St. W 63-62 54%    
  Sat, Jan 24 159 Kennesaw St. W 75-73 55%    
  Wed, Jan 28 218 @UTEP L 62-63 47%    
  Sat, Jan 31 125 @Sam Houston St. L 66-73 27%    
  Wed, Feb 4 133 New Mexico St. W 65-64 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 125 Sam Houston St. L 69-70 48%    
  Thu, Feb 12 260 @Missouri St. W 63-62 54%    
  Sat, Feb 14 187 @Florida International L 68-71 41%    
  Wed, Feb 18 253 Jacksonville St. W 66-59 73%    
  Sat, Feb 21 159 @Kennesaw St. L 72-76 35%    
  Thu, Feb 26 260 Missouri St. W 66-59 74%    
  Sat, Feb 28 187 Florida International W 71-68 62%    
  Thu, Mar 5 107 @Liberty L 62-70 24%    
  Sat, Mar 7 284 @Delaware W 65-63 58%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.0 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.2 3.1 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 8.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.0 3.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 9.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.6 1.9 0.2 0.0 10.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.1 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.2 2.2 5.4 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.2 1.7 4.9 3.3 0.4 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 4.1 3.3 0.6 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.2 1.1 3.4 3.1 0.8 0.0 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.5 2.5 0.7 0.0 0.0 7.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.7 0.5 0.0 5.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.9 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.5 5.7 8.1 9.9 11.7 12.7 11.8 10.9 8.4 6.0 4.2 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 97.7% 0.4    0.4 0.0
17-3 91.5% 1.1    0.9 0.2
16-4 74.0% 1.6    1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 48.8% 2.0    1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0
14-6 17.5% 1.1    0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.7% 6.7 3.8 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 30.8% 30.8% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.4% 28.7% 28.7% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.2% 25.8% 25.8% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9
16-4 2.2% 25.8% 25.8% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6
15-5 4.2% 18.6% 18.6% 13.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 3.4
14-6 6.0% 13.9% 13.9% 13.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 5.2
13-7 8.4% 11.4% 11.4% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 7.5
12-8 10.9% 8.3% 8.3% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 10.0
11-9 11.8% 5.3% 5.3% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 11.2
10-10 12.7% 3.0% 3.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 12.3
9-11 11.7% 2.0% 2.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.4
8-12 9.9% 1.2% 1.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 9.7
7-13 8.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 8.0
6-14 5.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.7
5-15 3.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.5
4-16 1.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.8
3-17 0.9% 0.9
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.0 1.5 0.5 94.0 0.0%